Geelong U91 price forecast
As of Sun 15 Nov, Geelong U91 averages 218.2 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 5.1 c/L to 213.1 c/L by Sun 22 Nov.
U91Outlook updated
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Likely to fall
Estimate only: prices may edge down about 5.1 c/L by Sun 22 Nov.
- Last 7 days
- Down 11.9 c/L
- Chance of a 5 c/L+ rise in 3 days
- 14%
- Typical miss, a week ahead
- 4.0 c/L(no change: 4.5)
Geelong prices are typical right now
Cheaper than on 64% of the last 91 days. Usual range 203.3 to 234.4 c/L.
Alert me
- At a priceAlert me below 204.8Get a price alert in the FuelRadar app.
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Capital cities
City averages, Sun 15 Nov.
See the Geelong U91 forecast in the app
The 7-day Geelong forecast, updated each day, and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
Questions about the Geelong forecast
Geelong U91 forecast explained
What usually happens next
The estimate is down about 5.1 c/L to 213.1 c/L by . After a market-wide move, the model restated its estimate at today's price level, so it does not expect a return to the earlier low.
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 15.7 c/L to 195.8 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude rose 3.5% to US$95.84 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
What is the U91 estimate each day, and can I download it?
U91: last 30 days and the next 7
U91: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 237.3 c/L on 17 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 218.2 c/L on 15 Nov 2026 to 213.1 c/L on 22 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Sun 15 Nov, then the FuelRadar Geelong estimate dated Sun 15 Nov with its likely range shaded.
First lower estimate: Mon 16 Nov, about 217.5 c/L (0.7 below today).
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 218.2 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 216.2 to 219.6 c/L217.5
- likely 214.1 to 220.4 c/L216.3
- likely 212.0 to 221.2 c/L215.1
- likely 210.3 to 223.5 c/L214.6
- likely 208.5 to 225.7 c/L214.1
- likely 206.8 to 228.0 c/L213.6
- likely 205.1 to 230.2 c/L213.1
When is fuel cheapest in Geelong?
Geelong's price cycle is paused, with no regular price jumps lately (the last jump started Fri 18 Sept): its U91 prices are following wholesale costs and the recent trend, so they tend to move a week or two after the terminal gate price.
On Fri 13 Nov the national terminal gate (wholesale) price was 195.8 c/L and the Geelong city average 221.5 c/L, 25.7 c/L above it.
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the U91 weekday averages in Geelong were within 1.1 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| Cheapest weekday | No set dayNo day led most of 11 full weeks |
|---|
Terminal gate prices published by the Australian Institute of Petroleum.
What usually follows a Geelong price peak?
What usually happens after a peak
Past 3 cyclesSource: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
5 days after their peak, the last 3 Geelong cycles since Mar 2026 sat a median 3.4 c/L below the peak, the middle half from 4.1 below to 2.7 above.
Past Geelong cycles lined up on their peak day, from the city daily averages. A record of past cycles, not a forecast.
How Geelong compares
On Sun 15 Nov Geelong's U91 city average was 0.3 c/L above Melbourne's. It is 3.6 c/L below the Victoria average and 5.0 c/L below the Australia average of current station reports. Geelong's city daily average was 235.7 c/L in October, 19.1 c/L higher than in September. Geelong's price cycle is paused, with no regular price jumps lately (the last jump started Fri 18 Sept). Geelong averaged 235.7 c/L for U91 in October 2026, the sixth cheapest of the 105 Victoria towns we ranked and 2.0 c/L below Melbourne.
| Area | U91 average (c/L) |
|---|---|
| GeelongCity daily average, Sun 15 Nov | 218.2 |
| MelbourneCity daily average, Sun 15 Nov | 217.9 |
| Victoria1,630 current station reports | 221.8 |
| Australia6,908 current station reports | 223.2 |
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 3.95 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.51 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Over 564 week-ahead checks the forecast missed by less than assuming prices stay the same.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.87 | 0.95 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 1.65 | 2.21 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 3.95 | 4.51 | Closer than no change |
| 14 days ahead | 6.74 | 7.38 | Closer than no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Geelong forecast graphics for news
How does FuelRadar make the forecast?
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Geelong's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.8 c/L on average over the 56 days to 15 Nov, about the same as assuming prices stay the same (0.8 c/L).
56 days checked · 21 Sept to 15 Nov
Forecast test resultsFuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report
Forecast questions
When will U91 prices go down in Geelong?
Likely to fall: U91 in Geelong is estimated to edge down about 4.6 c/L, to 213.6 c/L by Sat 21 Nov (likely 206.8–228.0), from 218.2 c/L reported Sun 15 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy U91 in Geelong?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Geelong over the last 11 full weeks to Sat 14 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 1.1 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's U91 price outlook?
Accurate enough for tomorrow's call. Further out it is an estimate, and the range widens with each day. From 21 Sept to 15 Nov our next-day U91 forecasts for Geelong were off by 0.8 c/L on average over 56 days checked. Assuming prices wouldn't move was just as close.
What were the lowest and highest U91 prices in Geelong in the last 90 days?
Since Mon 17 Aug, the Geelong U91 city daily average ranged from 197.2 c/L on Tue 18 Aug to 239.6 c/L on Mon 12 Oct. It was 218.2 c/L on Sun 15 Nov.
Will petrol prices go up tomorrow in Geelong?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Geelong estimate for Mon 16 Nov is 217.5 c/L, down 0.7 c/L on the 218.2 c/L reported for Sun 15 Nov. Next-day estimates for Geelong missed by 0.8 c/L on average over 56 days checked, about the same as assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you buy.
When will diesel prices go down in Geelong?
Diesel does not usually follow the petrol price cycle, so there is no regular low to wait for. The Geelong diesel city daily average was 262.2 c/L on Sun 15 Nov, down 10.9 c/L over 30 days. The national wholesale diesel price fell 9.9 c/L over the five days to Fri 13 Nov. FuelRadar names no date for a fall: the Geelong diesel forecast gives its day-by-day estimate and likely range.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map.