Adelaide U91 price forecast
As of Thu 12 Nov, Adelaide U91 averages 214.3 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 2.7 c/L to 211.6 c/L by Thu 19 Nov.
U91Outlook updated
Likely to fall
Estimate only: prices may edge down about 2.7 c/L by Thu 19 Nov.
More about this price
Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 5.6 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 5.8 c/L.
Adelaide prices are typical right now
The city average of 214.3 c/L sits inside the usual range of 204.1 to 233.0 c/L for the last 91 days. That is higher than on 36% of the last 91 days.
U91: last 30 days and the next 7
U91: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 237.6 c/L on 14 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 214.3 c/L on 12 Nov 2026 to 211.6 c/L on 19 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Thu 12 Nov, then the FuelRadar Adelaide estimate dated Thu 12 Nov with its likely range shaded.
First lower estimate: Fri 13 Nov, about 213.3 c/L (1.0 below today).
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 214.3 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 212.3 to 214.9 c/L213.3
- likely 210.2 to 216.9 c/L212.6
- likely 208.1 to 218.9 c/L211.9
- likely 206.5 to 221.5 c/L211.8
- likely 205.0 to 224.0 c/L211.7
- likely 203.5 to 226.7 c/L211.7
- likely 201.9 to 229.3 c/L211.6
Adelaide U91 forecast explained
What usually happens next
Adelaide has no regular price cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in its daily averages, blended with the latest five-day change in wholesale prices. That puts it down about 2.7 c/L by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: wholesale petrol in Adelaide fell 14.3 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.3% to US$93.12 a barrel. The estimate already blends in that wholesale change.
Cheapest U91 in Adelaide now
Updated
Other capitals
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Thu 12 Nov.
When is fuel cheapest in Adelaide?
Adelaide's price cycle is paused, with no regular price jumps lately (the last jump started Fri 18 Sept): its U91 prices are following wholesale costs and the recent trend, so they tend to move a week or two after the terminal gate price.
On Fri 6 Nov the national terminal gate (wholesale) price was 211.5 c/L and the Adelaide city average 224.3 c/L, 12.8 c/L above it.
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 12 full weeks to : the U91 weekday averages in Adelaide were within 0.4 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| Cheapest weekday | No set dayNo day led most of 12 full weeks |
|---|
Terminal gate prices published by the Australian Institute of Petroleum.
Adelaide this week and a year ago
Adelaide U91 averaged 218.8 c/L over the seven days to 11 November 2026, 41.8 c/L above the same week a year earlier (177.0 c/L).
| Week | Average (c/L) |
|---|---|
| Latest seven days5 Nov to 11 November 2026 | 218.8 |
| Same week a year earlier6 Nov to 12 November 2025 | 177.0 |
| Change | 41.8 higher |
The same weekdays 52 weeks apart, from the city daily averages.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.55 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.70 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 50,257 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.87 | 0.97 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.08 | 2.37 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.55 | 4.70 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.89 | 8.00 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Adelaide forecast graphics for news
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Adelaide's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.8 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.8 c/L).
56 days checked · 18 Sept to 12 Nov
Forecast test resultsFuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report
Forecast questions
When will U91 prices go down in Adelaide?
Estimate only: U91 in Adelaide is estimated to edge down about 2.7 c/L, to 211.6 c/L by Thu 19 Nov (likely 201.9–229.3), from 214.3 c/L reported Thu 12 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 5.6 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 5.8 c/L. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy U91 in Adelaide?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Adelaide over the last 12 full weeks to Wed 11 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 0.4 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's U91 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. Each estimate shows its likely range. From 18 Sept to 12 Nov our next-day U91 forecasts for Adelaide were off by 0.8 c/L on average over 56 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.9 c/L).
What were the lowest and highest U91 prices in Adelaide in the last 90 days?
Since Fri 14 Aug, the Adelaide U91 city daily average ranged from 196.9 c/L on Sat 15 Aug to 238.1 c/L on Mon 12 Oct. It was 214.3 c/L on Thu 12 Nov.
Will petrol prices go up tomorrow in Adelaide?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Adelaide estimate for Fri 13 Nov is 213.3 c/L, down 1.0 c/L on the 214.3 c/L reported for Thu 12 Nov. Next-day estimates for Adelaide missed by 0.8 c/L on average over 56 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you buy.
When will diesel prices go down in Adelaide?
Diesel does not usually follow the petrol price cycle, so there is no regular low to wait for. The Adelaide diesel city daily average was 258.8 c/L on Thu 12 Nov, down 23.4 c/L over 30 days. Wholesale diesel in Adelaide fell 9.9 c/L over the five days to Fri 6 Nov. FuelRadar names no date for a fall: the Adelaide diesel forecast gives its day-by-day estimate and likely range.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map.











