Adelaide E10 price forecast

As of Tue 10 Nov, Adelaide E10 averages 214.5 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 2.0 c/L to 212.5 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, Liberty Seaford, is 203.5 c/L, 11.0 c/L under the average.

E10Outlook updated

Likely to fall

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may edge down about 2.0 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 5.6 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 5.5 c/L.
City average (estimate) · 214.5 c/L
Last 7 days From 219.8 on Mon 2 Nov
Expected by 212.5 c/L

Cheapest of 32 stations: 203.5 c/L at Liberty Seaford · Updated

Lowest estimate: Mon 16 Nov, about 212.5 c/L (2.0 below today).

Alert me below 201.5
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E10: last 30 days and the next 7

E10: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 229.0 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 214.5 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 212.5 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

Reported city daily averageEstimate with likely range

Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Adelaide estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.

Day by day

Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 214.5 c/L (dashed line).

  1. likely 211.5 to 218.4 c/L213.8
  2. likely 209.7 to 219.8 c/L213.0
  3. likely 208.5 to 222.4 c/L212.9
  4. likely 207.2 to 225.0 c/L212.7
  5. likely 205.9 to 227.6 c/L212.6
  6. likely 204.7 to 230.3 c/L212.5
  7. likely 204.7 to 230.3 c/L212.5

Adelaide prices are typical right now

The city average of 214.5 c/L sits inside the usual range of 195.6 to 226.2 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 41% of the last 90 days.

Adelaide E10 forecast explained

What usually happens next

Adelaide has no regular price cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in its daily averages. That puts it down about 2.0 c/L by .

What could change it

Wholesale and crude signals: wholesale petrol in Adelaide fell 14.3 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.

Other capitals

Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.

Other capitals
CapitalAverage (c/L)Price cycleCall
Sydney224.3 (lowest)Cycle paused222.4 by Tue 17 Nov
Melbourne224.6Cycle paused222.5 by Tue 17 Nov
Brisbane224.6Cycle paused222.5 by Tue 17 Nov
Canberra240.5Cycle paused240.5 by Tue 17 Nov
Hobart229.9Cycle paused229.9 by Tue 17 Nov

When is E10 cheapest in Adelaide?

No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the E10 weekday averages in Adelaide were within 0.8 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.

When is E10 cheapest in Adelaide?
90-day low192.0 c/LMon 17 Aug
Today against the 90-day low+22.5 c/LCity average 214.5 c/L on Mon 9 Nov

From 90 days of Adelaide E10 city daily averages to Mon 9 Nov.

Adelaide this week and a year ago

Adelaide E10 averaged 217.2 c/L over the seven days to 8 November 2026, 58.0 c/L above the same week a year earlier (159.2 c/L).

Adelaide E10 weekly averages
WeekAverage (c/L)
Latest seven days2 Nov to 8 November 2026217.2
Same week a year earlier3 Nov to 9 November 2025159.2
Change+58.0

The same weekdays 52 weeks apart, from the city daily averages.

See the Adelaide E10 forecast in the app

The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.

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FuelRadar app Today screen with the fill-up call for Brisbane and the cheapest Unleaded 91 within 15 km
FuelRadar app fuel map with Unleaded 91 prices around Brisbane, each marked Cheap, Average or Pricey

App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.

How accurate is the forecast?

Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
4.55 c/L
"Prices stay the same"
4.70 c/L

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.

From 50,257 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.

Average miss by days ahead, beside assuming prices stay the same
AheadMissNo changeResult
Next day0.870.97Closer than no change
3 days ahead2.082.37Closer than no change
7 days ahead4.554.70About the same as no change
14 days ahead7.898.00About the same as no change
Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction.
How we check accuracy

Adelaide forecast graphics for news

The Adelaide E10 forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).

Get these as graphics:

Forecast board16:94:59:16

When to fill16:94:59:16

Free to use in news coverage with the credit "Source: FuelRadar". The media page has the dated addresses.

How we forecast

FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Adelaide's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.

Next-day estimates missed by 1.0 c/L on average, further off than assuming prices stay the same (0.9 c/L).

56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov

Forecast test results

Forecast questions

When will E10 prices go down in Adelaide?

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): E10 in Adelaide is estimated to edge down about 2.0 c/L, to 212.5 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 204.7–230.3), from 214.5 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 5.6 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 5.5 c/L. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.

What is the best day to buy E10 in Adelaide?

No weekday was consistently cheaper in Adelaide over the last 11 full weeks to Sun 8 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 0.8 c/L of each other.

How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's E10 price outlook?

Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. Each estimate shows its likely range. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day E10 forecasts for Adelaide were off by 1.0 c/L on average over 56 days checked. Assuming prices wouldn't move was closer (0.9 c/L).

What were the lowest and highest E10 prices in Adelaide in the last 90 days?

Since Wed 12 Aug, the Adelaide E10 city daily average ranged from 192.0 c/L on Mon 17 Aug to 229.2 c/L on Tue 13 Oct. It was 214.5 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.

Will e10 prices go up tomorrow in Adelaide?

Estimate only: FuelRadar's Adelaide estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 213.8 c/L, down 0.7 c/L on the 214.5 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Adelaide missed by 1.0 c/L on average over 56 days checked, further off than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.

When will diesel prices go down in Adelaide?

Diesel does not usually follow the petrol price cycle, so there is no regular low to wait for. The Adelaide diesel city daily average was 263.4 c/L on Mon 9 Nov, down 18.8 c/L over 30 days. Wholesale diesel in Adelaide fell 9.9 c/L over the five days to Fri 6 Nov. FuelRadar names no date for a fall: the Adelaide diesel forecast gives its day-by-day estimate and likely range.

How often is the outlook updated?

We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.

Fuel price reports

What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.