Adelaide P95 price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Adelaide P95 averages 235.4 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 1.4 c/L to 234.0 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, Mobil Sheidow Park, is 219.5 c/L, 15.9 c/L under the average.
P95Outlook updated
Likely to fall
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may edge down about 1.4 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 5.6 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 5.9 c/L.Cheapest of 227 stations: 219.5 c/L at Mobil Sheidow Park · Updated
Lowest estimate: Mon 16 Nov, about 234.0 c/L (1.4 below today).
Alert me below 218.1Cheapest P95 in Adelaide now
Updated
P95: last 30 days and the next 7
P95: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 255.2 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 235.4 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 234.0 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Adelaide estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 235.4 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 232.8 to 240.0 c/L235.3
- likely 231.1 to 242.4 c/L235.2
- likely 229.6 to 244.7 c/L234.9
- likely 228.0 to 247.1 c/L234.6
- likely 226.4 to 249.5 c/L234.3
- likely 224.9 to 251.8 c/L234.0
- likely 224.9 to 251.8 c/L234.0
Adelaide prices are typical right now
The city average of 236.3 c/L sits inside the usual range of 220.3 to 250.2 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 40% of the last 90 days.
Adelaide P95 forecast explained
What usually happens next
Adelaide has no regular price cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in its daily averages. That puts it down about 1.4 c/L by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: wholesale petrol in Adelaide fell 14.3 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Other capitals
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 243.6 | Cycle paused | 241.8 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 245.6 | Cycle paused | 243.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 244.0 | Cycle paused | 242.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Perth | 234.0 (lowest) | Falling since its peak · 4 days since the 248.2 peak | 222.1 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 260.9 | Cycle paused | 260.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Darwin | 258.0 | Cycle paused | 258.6 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Hobart | 256.5 | Cycle paused | 255.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
When is P95 cheapest in Adelaide?
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the P95 weekday averages in Adelaide were within 0.3 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| 90-day low | 213.0 c/LSat 15 Aug |
|---|---|
| Today against the 90-day low | +23.3 c/LCity average 236.3 c/L on Mon 9 Nov |
From 90 days of Adelaide P95 city daily averages to Mon 9 Nov.
Adelaide this week and a year ago
Adelaide P95 averaged 240.3 c/L over the seven days to 8 November 2026, 45.7 c/L above the same week a year earlier (194.6 c/L).
| Week | Average (c/L) |
|---|---|
| Latest seven days2 Nov to 8 November 2026 | 240.3 |
| Same week a year earlier3 Nov to 9 November 2025 | 194.6 |
| Change | +45.7 |
The same weekdays 52 weeks apart, from the city daily averages.
See the Adelaide P95 forecast in the app
The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.55 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.70 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 50,257 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.87 | 0.97 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.08 | 2.37 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.55 | 4.70 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.89 | 8.00 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Adelaide forecast graphics for news
The Adelaide P95 forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Adelaide's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.8 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (1.0 c/L).
56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will P95 prices go down in Adelaide?
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): P95 in Adelaide is estimated to edge down about 1.4 c/L, to 234.0 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 224.9–251.8), from 235.4 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 5.6 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 5.9 c/L. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy P95 in Adelaide?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Adelaide over the last 11 full weeks to Sun 8 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 0.3 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P95 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. Each estimate shows its likely range. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day P95 forecasts for Adelaide were off by 0.8 c/L on average over 56 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (1.0 c/L).
What were the lowest and highest P95 prices in Adelaide in the last 90 days?
Since Wed 12 Aug, the Adelaide P95 city daily average ranged from 213.0 c/L on Sat 15 Aug to 255.3 c/L on Mon 12 Oct. It was 236.3 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.
Will p95 prices go up tomorrow in Adelaide?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Adelaide estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 235.3 c/L, down 0.1 c/L on the 235.4 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Adelaide missed by 0.8 c/L on average over 56 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
When will diesel prices go down in Adelaide?
Diesel does not usually follow the petrol price cycle, so there is no regular low to wait for. The Adelaide diesel city daily average was 263.4 c/L on Mon 9 Nov, down 18.8 c/L over 30 days. Wholesale diesel in Adelaide fell 9.9 c/L over the five days to Fri 6 Nov. FuelRadar names no date for a fall: the Adelaide diesel forecast gives its day-by-day estimate and likely range.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report