Hobart P95 price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Hobart P95 averages 256.3 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 0.9 c/L to 255.4 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, Tas Petroleum Moonah (unmanned), is 245.9 c/L, 10.4 c/L under the average.
P95Outlook updated
Likely steady
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): little change expected by Tue 17 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 5.5 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 5.6 c/L.Cheapest of 42 stations: 245.9 c/L at Tas Petroleum Moonah (unmanned) · Updated
Lowest estimate: Mon 16 Nov, about 255.4 c/L (0.9 below today).
Alert me below 244.9
P95: last 30 days and the next 7
P95: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 267.6 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 256.3 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 255.4 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Hobart estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 256.3 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 254.0 to 260.5 c/L256.2
- likely 252.7 to 262.6 c/L256.1
- likely 251.6 to 264.9 c/L255.9
- likely 250.5 to 267.2 c/L255.7
- likely 249.4 to 269.5 c/L255.6
- likely 248.3 to 271.8 c/L255.4
- likely 248.3 to 271.8 c/L255.4
Hobart prices are typical right now
The city average of 256.5 c/L sits inside the usual range of 224.1 to 261.3 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 46% of the last 90 days.
Hobart P95 forecast explained
What usually happens next
Hobart has no regular price cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in its daily averages. That puts it down about 0.9 c/L by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: wholesale petrol in Hobart fell 14.2 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Other capitals
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 243.6 | Cycle paused | 241.8 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 245.6 | Cycle paused | 243.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 244.0 | Cycle paused | 242.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Perth | 234.0 (lowest) | Falling since its peak · 4 days since the 248.2 peak | 222.1 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 236.3 | Cycle paused | 234.0 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 260.9 | Cycle paused | 260.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Darwin | 258.0 | Cycle paused | 258.6 by Tue 17 Nov |
When is P95 cheapest in Hobart?
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the P95 weekday averages in Hobart were within 0.5 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| 90-day low | 219.7 c/LSat 15 Aug |
|---|---|
| Today against the 90-day low | +36.8 c/LCity average 256.5 c/L on Mon 9 Nov |
From 90 days of Hobart P95 city daily averages to Mon 9 Nov.
Hobart this week and a year ago
Hobart P95 averaged 258.9 c/L over the seven days to 8 November 2026, 64.4 c/L above the same week a year earlier (194.5 c/L).
| Week | Average (c/L) |
|---|---|
| Latest seven days2 Nov to 8 November 2026 | 258.9 |
| Same week a year earlier3 Nov to 9 November 2025 | 194.5 |
| Change | +64.4 |
The same weekdays 52 weeks apart, from the city daily averages.
See the Hobart P95 forecast in the app
The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.55 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.70 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 50,257 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.87 | 0.97 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.08 | 2.37 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.55 | 4.70 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.89 | 8.00 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Hobart forecast graphics for news
The Hobart P95 forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Hobart's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.8 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.9 c/L).
56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will P95 prices go down in Hobart?
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): P95 in Hobart is estimated to edge down about 0.9 c/L, to 255.4 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 248.3–271.8), from 256.3 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 5.5 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 5.6 c/L. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy P95 in Hobart?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Hobart over the last 11 full weeks to Sun 8 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 0.5 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P95 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. Each estimate shows its likely range. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day P95 forecasts for Hobart were off by 0.8 c/L on average over 56 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.9 c/L).
What were the lowest and highest P95 prices in Hobart in the last 90 days?
Since Wed 12 Aug, the Hobart P95 city daily average ranged from 219.7 c/L on Sat 15 Aug to 267.7 c/L on Mon 12 Oct. It was 256.5 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.
Will p95 prices go up tomorrow in Hobart?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Hobart estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 256.2 c/L, down 0.1 c/L on the 256.3 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Hobart missed by 0.8 c/L on average over 56 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
When will diesel prices go down in Hobart?
Diesel does not usually follow the petrol price cycle, so there is no regular low to wait for. The Hobart diesel city daily average was 279.7 c/L on Mon 9 Nov, down 5.9 c/L over 30 days. Wholesale diesel in Hobart fell 10.5 c/L over the five days to Fri 6 Nov. FuelRadar names no date for a fall: the Hobart diesel forecast gives its day-by-day estimate and likely range.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report