Fuel market data

Track the signals behind pump prices: crude oil, AUD/USD, wholesale margins, petroleum stock cover, station outages and U91 state averages.

Market context

Price drivers

Use this page to separate broad market pressure from local station pricing. U91 state averages and cheapest-price figures are shown separately from diesel and other fuel grades.

Brent crude

US$100.04

Global crude benchmark. Large moves usually filter into Australian wholesale prices with a delay.

AUD/USD

0.6977

Fuel is traded in US dollars. A weaker AUD increases local import costs.

Retail-TGP

+8.1c/L

Gap between the national U91 retail average and terminal gate wholesale benchmark.

Petrol cover

46d

Reported national petrol stock cover in days.

Diesel cover

39d

Reported national diesel stock cover in days.

Jet cover

34d

Reported national jet fuel stock cover in days.

Stations dry

336

Stations with at least one fuel grade currently reported as unavailable.

Current scenario · Mixed

Read national signals against your city cycle

This view compares the local cycle, wholesale prices, AUD/USD and retail margin. It describes the Australia market, not the price at every station.

  • Wholesale, currency and city-cycle signals can point in different directions. Use the national update as context, then check the local map before driving.
  • Pump prices can rise when terminal-gate prices, crude oil or a city reset move up. They can ease when wholesale costs fall or retailers keep discounting. If the indicators disagree, check nearby station reports.

Price stack

What actually sets the pump price

The bowser price is built from global supply, currency, wholesale terminal pricing, taxes and local competition. That is why Australia petrol can move even when one headline input looks calm.

  1. Refined fuel benchmark

    Retail petrol and diesel start with the global price of refined fuel, not just crude oil. Crude moves first, but the refined benchmark is closer to what importers and wholesalers pay.

    Global
  2. AUD/USD exchange rate

    Fuel is priced in US dollars. A weaker Australian dollar lifts the local cost of imported fuel even when the US-dollar oil price is steady.

    FX
  3. Terminal Gate Price

    TGP is the wholesale terminal price retailers pay before their own margin and local costs. Comparing TGP with retail average shows whether the bowser price is stretched.

  4. Excise and GST

    Fuel excise and GST create a tax floor that does not disappear when wholesale costs fall. That is why a crude fall never reaches the pump cent-for-cent.

    Tax
  5. Retail margin and cycles

    Retailers raise prices to rebuild margin, then compete down through the discounting phase. City-cycle timing explains many short-term jumps and drops.

  6. Local supply and competition

    Freight costs, outages, opening hours and suburb competition shape the final station price. Use the national average for context, then check the stations on your route.

Common questions

Fuel market data FAQ

Pump prices are a layered cake: wholesale (TGP), excise (~50c/L flat tax), GST (10%), retailer margin, transport. Only the wholesale component is exposed to crude. A 10% Brent move filters through to 3–5c/L at the pump.