Morwell U91 price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Morwell U91 averages 231.2 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 1.7 c/L to 229.5 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, Endeavour Midvalley, is 225.9 c/L, 5.3 c/L under the average.
U91Outlook updated
Likely to fall
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may edge down about 1.7 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 5.0 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 5.4 c/L.Cheapest of 7 stations: 225.9 c/L at Endeavour Midvalley · Updated
Lowest estimate: Mon 16 Nov, about 229.5 c/L (1.7 below today).
Chance of a rise of 5 c/L or more within 3 days: 14%
Alert me below 224.2
U91: last 30 days and the next 7
U91: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 242.1 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 231.2 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 229.5 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Morwell estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 231.2 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 228.8 to 234.7 c/L230.5
- likely 227.5 to 236.2 c/L229.9
- likely 226.5 to 238.4 c/L229.8
- likely 225.6 to 240.6 c/L229.7
- likely 224.6 to 242.8 c/L229.6
- likely 223.6 to 245.1 c/L229.5
- likely 223.6 to 245.1 c/L229.5
Morwell prices are typical right now
The city average of 231.2 c/L sits inside the usual range of 203.8 to 236.4 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 44% of the last 90 days.
Morwell U91 forecast explained
What usually happens next
From the top of the cycle, prices usually fall: the estimate is down about 1.7 c/L to 229.5 c/L by . The modelled next low is around 229.5 c/L on . After a market-wide move, the model restated the cycle at today's price level, so it does not expect a return to the earlier low.
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 13.7 c/L to 211.5 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 225.8 | Cycle paused | 223.2 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 228.9 | Cycle paused | 226.8 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 227.6 | Cycle paused | 225.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Perth | 217.4 (lowest) | Falling since its peak · 4 days since the 231.4 peak | 205.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 219.4 | Cycle paused | 217.1 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 242.3 | Cycle paused | 242.3 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Darwin | 242.3 | Cycle paused | 241.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Hobart | 240.0 | Cycle paused | 240.0 by Tue 17 Nov |
When is fuel cheapest in Morwell?
Morwell has no regular price cycle: its U91 prices follow wholesale costs, so they tend to move a week or two after the terminal gate price.
On Fri 6 Nov the national terminal gate (wholesale) price was 211.5 c/L and the Morwell city average 233.3 c/L, 21.8 c/L above it.
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the U91 weekday averages in Morwell were within 0.7 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| Cheapest weekday | No set dayNo day led most of 11 full weeks |
|---|
Terminal gate prices published by the Australian Institute of Petroleum.
See the Morwell U91 forecast in the app
The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.89 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 5.31 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Over 359 week-ahead checks the forecast missed by less than assuming prices stay the same.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.88 | 0.99 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 1.94 | 2.61 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.89 | 5.31 | Closer than no change |
| 14 days ahead | 8.69 | 8.63 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Morwell forecast graphics for news
The Morwell U91 forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Morwell's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.9 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (1.0 c/L).
56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will U91 prices go down in Morwell?
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): U91 in Morwell is estimated to edge down about 1.7 c/L, to 229.5 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 223.6–245.1), from 231.2 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy U91 in Morwell?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Morwell over the last 11 full weeks to Sun 8 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 0.7 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's U91 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. Each estimate shows its likely range. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day U91 forecasts for Morwell were off by 0.9 c/L on average over 56 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (1.0 c/L).
What were the lowest and highest U91 prices in Morwell in the last 90 days?
Since Wed 12 Aug, the Morwell U91 city daily average ranged from 196.7 c/L on Sun 16 Aug to 242.1 c/L on Mon 12 Oct. It was 231.2 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.
Will petrol prices go up tomorrow in Morwell?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Morwell estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 230.5 c/L, down 0.7 c/L on the 231.2 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Morwell missed by 0.9 c/L on average over 56 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
When will diesel prices go down in Morwell?
Diesel does not usually follow the petrol price cycle, so there is no regular low to wait for. The Morwell diesel city daily average was 268.0 c/L on Mon 9 Nov, down 9.6 c/L over 30 days. The national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L over the five days to Fri 6 Nov. FuelRadar names no date for a fall: the Morwell diesel forecast gives its day-by-day estimate and likely range.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report