Ocean Grove – Barwon Heads U91 price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Ocean Grove – Barwon Heads U91 averages 232.4 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 1.9 c/L to 230.5 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, APCO Barwon Heads, is 222.3 c/L, 10.1 c/L under the average.
U91Outlook updated
Likely to fall
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may edge down about 1.9 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 5.4 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 6.5 c/L.Cheapest of 5 stations: 222.3 c/L at APCO Barwon Heads · Updated
Lowest estimate: Thu 12 Nov, about 229.8 c/L (2.6 below today).
Chance of a rise of 5 c/L or more within 3 days: 16%
Alert me below 219.7Cheapest U91 in Ocean Grove – Barwon Heads now
Updated
U91: last 30 days and the next 7
U91: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 241.3 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 232.4 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 230.5 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Ocean Grove – Barwon Heads estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 232.4 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 229.0 to 235.6 c/L231.1
- likely 226.9 to 236.7 c/L229.8
- likely 226.0 to 239.0 c/L230.0
- likely 225.1 to 241.3 c/L230.2
- likely 224.0 to 243.5 c/L230.3
- likely 223.1 to 245.8 c/L230.5
- likely 223.1 to 245.8 c/L230.5
Ocean Grove – Barwon Heads prices are typical right now
The city average of 232.4 c/L sits inside the usual range of 201.6 to 237.9 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 47% of the last 90 days.
Ocean Grove – Barwon Heads U91 forecast explained
What usually happens next
From the top of the cycle, prices usually fall: the estimate is down about 1.9 c/L to 230.5 c/L by . The modelled next low is around 229.8 c/L on . After a market-wide move, the model restated the cycle at today's price level, so it does not expect a return to the earlier low.
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 13.7 c/L to 211.5 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 225.8 | Cycle paused | 223.2 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 228.9 | Cycle paused | 226.8 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 227.6 | Cycle paused | 225.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Perth | 217.4 (lowest) | Falling since its peak · 4 days since the 231.4 peak | 205.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 219.4 | Cycle paused | 217.1 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 242.3 | Cycle paused | 242.3 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Darwin | 242.3 | Cycle paused | 241.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Hobart | 240.0 | Cycle paused | 240.0 by Tue 17 Nov |
When is fuel cheapest in Ocean Grove – Barwon Heads?
Ocean Grove – Barwon Heads has no regular price cycle: its U91 prices follow wholesale costs, so they tend to move a week or two after the terminal gate price.
On Fri 6 Nov the national terminal gate (wholesale) price was 211.5 c/L and the Ocean Grove – Barwon Heads city average 233.3 c/L, 21.8 c/L above it.
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the U91 weekday averages in Ocean Grove – Barwon Heads were within 1.0 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| Cheapest weekday | No set dayNo day led most of 11 full weeks |
|---|
Terminal gate prices published by the Australian Institute of Petroleum.
See the Ocean Grove – Barwon Heads U91 forecast in the app
The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.82 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 5.36 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Over 360 week-ahead checks the forecast missed by less than assuming prices stay the same.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 1.00 | 1.05 | About the same as no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.18 | 2.69 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.82 | 5.36 | Closer than no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.75 | 8.49 | Closer than no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Ocean Grove – Barwon Heads forecast graphics for news
The Ocean Grove – Barwon Heads U91 forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Ocean Grove – Barwon Heads's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 1.0 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (1.1 c/L).
56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will U91 prices go down in Ocean Grove – Barwon Heads?
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): U91 in Ocean Grove – Barwon Heads is estimated to edge down about 1.9 c/L, to 230.5 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 223.1–245.8), from 232.4 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy U91 in Ocean Grove – Barwon Heads?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Ocean Grove – Barwon Heads over the last 11 full weeks to Sun 8 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 1.0 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's U91 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. Each estimate shows its likely range. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day U91 forecasts for Ocean Grove – Barwon Heads were off by 1.0 c/L on average over 56 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (1.1 c/L).
What were the lowest and highest U91 prices in Ocean Grove – Barwon Heads in the last 90 days?
Since Wed 12 Aug, the Ocean Grove – Barwon Heads U91 city daily average ranged from 197.0 c/L on Tue 18 Aug to 243.4 c/L on Wed 14 Oct. It was 232.4 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.
Will petrol prices go up tomorrow in Ocean Grove – Barwon Heads?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Ocean Grove – Barwon Heads estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 231.1 c/L, down 1.3 c/L on the 232.4 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Ocean Grove – Barwon Heads missed by 1.0 c/L on average over 56 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report