Ballarat U91 price forecast
As of Sun 15 Nov, Ballarat U91 averages 219.2 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 4.3 c/L to 214.9 c/L by Sun 22 Nov.
U91Outlook updated
More fuels (1)
Likely to fall
Estimate only: prices may edge down about 4.3 c/L by Sun 22 Nov.
- Last 7 days
- Down 12.0 c/L
- Chance of a 5 c/L+ rise in 3 days
- 6%
- Typical miss, a week ahead
- 5.0 c/L(no change: 5.0)
Ballarat prices are typical right now
Cheaper than on 63% of the last 91 days. Usual range 204.1 to 236.5 c/L.
Alert me
- At a priceAlert me below 201.0Get a price alert in the FuelRadar app.
- Follow Ballarat (on Melbourne's cycle) by emailFollow Ballarat (on Melbourne's cycle)Free email when prices start rising
Cheapest U91 in Ballarat now
Updated
Capital cities
City averages, Sun 15 Nov.
See the Ballarat U91 forecast in the app
The 7-day Ballarat forecast, updated each day, and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
Questions about the Ballarat forecast
Ballarat U91 forecast explained
What usually happens next
From the top of the cycle, prices usually fall: the estimate is down about 4.3 c/L to 214.9 c/L by . After a market-wide move, the model restated the cycle at today's price level, so it does not expect a return to the earlier low.
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 15.7 c/L to 195.8 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude rose 3.5% to US$95.84 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
What is the U91 estimate each day, and can I download it?
U91: last 30 days and the next 7
U91: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 240.4 c/L on 17 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 219.2 c/L on 15 Nov 2026 to 214.9 c/L on 22 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Sun 15 Nov, then the FuelRadar Ballarat estimate dated Sun 15 Nov with its likely range shaded.
First lower estimate: Tue 17 Nov, about 217.7 c/L (1.5 below today).
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 219.2 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 217.0 to 220.7 c/L218.80.4 cents per litre lower
- likely 214.6 to 220.7 c/L217.71.5 cents per litre lower
- likely 212.1 to 220.6 c/L216.52.7 cents per litre lower
- likely 210.0 to 224.0 c/L216.13.1 cents per litre lower
- likely 207.9 to 227.3 c/L215.73.5 cents per litre lower
- likely 205.8 to 230.7 c/L215.33.9 cents per litre lower
- likely 203.8 to 234.0 c/L214.94.3 cents per litre lower
When is fuel cheapest in Ballarat?
Ballarat has no regular price cycle: its U91 prices follow wholesale costs, so they tend to move a week or two after the terminal gate price.
On Fri 13 Nov the national terminal gate (wholesale) price was 195.8 c/L and the Ballarat city average 221.8 c/L, 26.0 c/L above it.
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the U91 weekday averages in Ballarat were within 1.4 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| Cheapest weekday | No set dayNo day led most of 11 full weeks |
|---|
Terminal gate prices published by the Australian Institute of Petroleum.
How Ballarat compares
On Sun 15 Nov Ballarat's U91 city average was 1.3 c/L above Melbourne's. It is 2.6 c/L below the Victoria average and 4.0 c/L below the Australia average of current station reports. Ballarat's city daily average was 238.6 c/L in October, 20.2 c/L higher than in September. Ballarat prices tend to follow Melbourne's price cycle. Ballarat averaged 238.0 c/L for U91 in October 2026, the 18th cheapest of the 105 Victoria towns we ranked and 0.3 c/L above Melbourne.
| Area | U91 average (c/L) |
|---|---|
| BallaratCity daily average, Sun 15 Nov | 219.2 |
| MelbourneCity daily average, Sun 15 Nov | 217.9 |
| Victoria1,624 current station reports | 221.8 |
| Australia6,898 current station reports | 223.2 |
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.98 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.98 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 426 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 1.23 | 1.29 | About the same as no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.43 | 2.53 | About the same as no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.98 | 4.98 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.31 | 7.31 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Ballarat forecast graphics for news
How does FuelRadar make the forecast?
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Ballarat's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 1.2 c/L on average over the 56 days to 15 Nov, closer than assuming prices stay the same (1.3 c/L).
56 days checked · 21 Sept to 15 Nov
Forecast test resultsFuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report
Forecast questions
When will U91 prices go down in Ballarat?
Estimate only: U91 in Ballarat is estimated to edge down about 4.3 c/L, to 214.9 c/L by Sun 22 Nov (likely 203.8–234.0), from 219.2 c/L reported Sun 15 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 5.4 c/L on average, about the same as assuming prices stay the same (5.4 c/L). The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy U91 in Ballarat?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Ballarat over the last 11 full weeks to Sat 14 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 1.4 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's U91 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. Each estimate shows its likely range. From 21 Sept to 15 Nov our next-day U91 forecasts for Ballarat were off by 1.2 c/L on average over 56 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (1.3 c/L).
What were the lowest and highest U91 prices in Ballarat in the last 90 days?
Since Mon 17 Aug, the Ballarat U91 city daily average ranged from 197.0 c/L on Mon 17 Aug to 243.9 c/L on Mon 12 Oct. It was 219.2 c/L on Sun 15 Nov.
Will petrol prices go up tomorrow in Ballarat?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Ballarat estimate for Mon 16 Nov is 218.8 c/L, down 0.4 c/L on the 219.2 c/L reported for Sun 15 Nov. Next-day estimates for Ballarat missed by 1.2 c/L on average over 56 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you buy.
When will diesel prices go down in Ballarat?
Diesel does not usually follow the petrol price cycle, so there is no regular low to wait for. The Ballarat diesel city daily average was 264.6 c/L on Sun 15 Nov, down 11.2 c/L over 30 days. The national wholesale diesel price fell 9.9 c/L over the five days to Fri 13 Nov. FuelRadar names no date for a fall: the Ballarat diesel forecast gives its day-by-day estimate and likely range.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map.