Ballarat P95 price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Ballarat P95 averages 247.5 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will rise about 0.6 c/L to 248.1 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, APCO Alfredton, is 219.9 c/L, 27.6 c/L under the average.
P95Outlook updated
Likely steady
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): little change expected by Tue 17 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 5.7 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 5.7 c/L.Cheapest of 24 stations: 219.9 c/L at APCO Alfredton · Updated
No day in the next 7 is estimated below today's 247.5 c/L.
Chance of a rise of 5 c/L or more within 3 days: 7%
Alert me below 218.9
P95: last 30 days and the next 7
P95: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 256.8 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 247.5 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 248.1 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Ballarat estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 247.5 c/L (dashed line).
- Same as today (estimate)247.8
- Same as today (estimate)248.1
- Same as today (estimate)248.1
- Same as today (estimate)248.1
- Same as today (estimate)248.1
- Same as today (estimate)248.1
- Same as today (estimate)248.1
Ballarat prices are typical right now
The city average of 248.1 c/L sits inside the usual range of 219.2 to 252.6 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 47% of the last 90 days.
Ballarat P95 forecast explained
What usually happens next
From the top of the cycle, prices usually climb: the estimate is up about 0.6 c/L to 248.1 c/L by . After a market-wide move, the model restated the cycle at today's price level, so it does not expect a return to the earlier low.
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 13.7 c/L to 211.5 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 243.6 | Cycle paused | 241.8 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 245.6 | Cycle paused | 243.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 244.0 | Cycle paused | 242.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Perth | 234.0 (lowest) | Falling since its peak · 4 days since the 248.2 peak | 222.1 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 236.3 | Cycle paused | 234.0 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 260.9 | Cycle paused | 260.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Darwin | 258.0 | Cycle paused | 258.6 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Hobart | 256.5 | Cycle paused | 255.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
When is P95 cheapest in Ballarat?
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the P95 weekday averages in Ballarat were within 1.5 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| 90-day low | 214.2 c/LMon 17 Aug |
|---|---|
| Today against the 90-day low | +33.9 c/LCity average 248.1 c/L on Mon 9 Nov |
From 90 days of Ballarat P95 city daily averages to Mon 9 Nov.
See the Ballarat P95 forecast in the app
The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.62 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.62 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 378 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 1.24 | 1.26 | About the same as no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.34 | 2.35 | About the same as no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.62 | 4.62 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.15 | 7.15 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Ballarat forecast graphics for news
The Ballarat P95 forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Ballarat's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 1.4 c/L on average, no better than assuming prices stay the same (1.4 c/L).
56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will P95 prices go down in Ballarat?
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): P95 in Ballarat is estimated to change little, to 248.1 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 238.5–268.4), from 247.5 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 5.7 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 5.7 c/L. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy P95 in Ballarat?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Ballarat over the last 11 full weeks to Sun 8 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 1.5 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P95 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. Each estimate shows its likely range. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day P95 forecasts for Ballarat were off by 1.4 c/L on average over 56 days checked. Assuming prices wouldn't move was just as close.
What were the lowest and highest P95 prices in Ballarat in the last 90 days?
Since Wed 12 Aug, the Ballarat P95 city daily average ranged from 214.2 c/L on Mon 17 Aug to 260.8 c/L on Mon 12 Oct. It was 248.1 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.
Will p95 prices go up tomorrow in Ballarat?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Ballarat estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 247.8 c/L, up 0.3 c/L on the 247.5 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Ballarat missed by 1.4 c/L on average over 56 days checked, about the same as assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
When will diesel prices go down in Ballarat?
Diesel does not usually follow the petrol price cycle, so there is no regular low to wait for. The Ballarat diesel city daily average was 270.4 c/L on Mon 9 Nov, down 7.4 c/L over 30 days. The national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L over the five days to Fri 6 Nov. FuelRadar names no date for a fall: the Ballarat diesel forecast gives its day-by-day estimate and likely range.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report