Lithgow U91 price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Lithgow U91 averages 234.1 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 0.6 c/L to 233.5 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, Pearl Lithgow, is 231.5 c/L, 2.6 c/L under the average.
U91Outlook updated
Likely steady
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): little change expected by Tue 17 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 5.2 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 5.8 c/L.Cheapest of 5 stations: 231.5 c/L at Pearl Lithgow · Updated
Lowest estimate: Mon 16 Nov, about 233.5 c/L (0.6 below today).
Alert me below 230.5
U91: last 30 days and the next 7
U91: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 245.8 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 234.1 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 233.5 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Lithgow estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 234.1 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 231.9 to 238.6 c/L234.0
- likely 230.5 to 241.0 c/L233.9
- likely 229.2 to 243.4 c/L233.8
- likely 228.0 to 245.9 c/L233.7
- likely 226.7 to 248.3 c/L233.6
- likely 225.4 to 250.7 c/L233.5
- likely 225.4 to 250.7 c/L233.5
Lithgow prices are typical right now
The city average of 235.0 c/L sits inside the usual range of 211.2 to 244.7 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 41% of the last 90 days.
Lithgow U91 forecast explained
What usually happens next
Lithgow has no regular price cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in its daily averages. That puts it down about 0.6 c/L by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 13.7 c/L to 211.5 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 225.8 | Cycle paused | 223.2 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 228.9 | Cycle paused | 226.8 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 227.6 | Cycle paused | 225.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Perth | 217.4 (lowest) | Falling since its peak · 4 days since the 231.4 peak | 205.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 219.4 | Cycle paused | 217.1 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 242.3 | Cycle paused | 242.3 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Darwin | 242.3 | Cycle paused | 241.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Hobart | 240.0 | Cycle paused | 240.0 by Tue 17 Nov |
When is fuel cheapest in Lithgow?
Lithgow has no regular price cycle: its U91 prices follow wholesale costs, so they tend to move a week or two after the terminal gate price.
On Fri 6 Nov the national terminal gate (wholesale) price was 211.5 c/L and the Lithgow city average 239.4 c/L, 27.9 c/L above it.
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the U91 weekday averages in Lithgow were within 1.1 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| Cheapest weekday | No set dayNo day led most of 11 full weeks |
|---|
Terminal gate prices published by the Australian Institute of Petroleum.
See the Lithgow U91 forecast in the app
The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 5.38 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 5.58 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 310 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.90 | 0.93 | About the same as no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.45 | 2.61 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 5.38 | 5.58 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 9.26 | 9.29 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Lithgow forecast graphics for news
The Lithgow U91 forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Lithgow's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.8 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.9 c/L).
56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will U91 prices go down in Lithgow?
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): U91 in Lithgow is estimated to edge down about 0.6 c/L, to 233.5 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 225.4–250.7), from 234.1 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 5.2 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 5.8 c/L. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy U91 in Lithgow?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Lithgow over the last 11 full weeks to Sun 8 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 1.1 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's U91 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. Each estimate shows its likely range. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day U91 forecasts for Lithgow were off by 0.9 c/L on average over 56 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.9 c/L).
What were the lowest and highest U91 prices in Lithgow in the last 90 days?
Since Wed 12 Aug, the Lithgow U91 city daily average ranged from 206.2 c/L on Tue 18 Aug to 247.6 c/L on Fri 16 Oct. It was 235.0 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.
Will petrol prices go up tomorrow in Lithgow?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Lithgow estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 234.0 c/L, down 0.1 c/L on the 234.1 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Lithgow missed by 0.8 c/L on average over 56 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report