Lithgow Diesel price forecast

As of Tue 10 Nov, Lithgow diesel averages 276.2 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 0.6 c/L to 275.6 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. The cheapest station, Shell Reddy Express Lithgow, is 275.9 c/L, 0.3 c/L under the average.

Diesel

Likely steady

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): little change expected by Tue 17 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L).
City average (estimate) · 276.2 c/L
Expected by 275.6 c/L

Cheapest of 2 stations: 275.9 c/L at Shell Reddy Express Lithgow · Updated

Lowest estimate: Thu 12 Nov, about 274.9 c/L (1.3 below today).

Alert me below 274.6
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Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7

Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 276.2 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 275.6 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

Shaded area shows the estimated range.

Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Sydney estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded, shifted 1.7 c/L higher for Lithgow's local prices.

Day by day

Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 276.2 c/L (dashed line).

  1. likely 273.2 to 280.9 c/L275.5
  2. likely 271.4 to 283.3 c/L274.9
  3. likely 270.5 to 286.7 c/L275.0
  4. likely 269.7 to 290.3 c/L275.2
  5. likely 268.9 to 293.8 c/L275.4
  6. likely 268.1 to 297.4 c/L275.6
  7. likely 268.1 to 297.4 c/L275.6
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Lithgow Diesel forecast explained

What usually happens next

Diesel prices do not follow a regular cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in Lithgow's daily averages. That puts it down about 0.6 c/L by .

What could change it

Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L to 257.0 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 1.0% to US$93.70 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.

Capital cities

Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.

Capital cities
CapitalAverage (c/L)Price cycleCall
Sydney274.8No regular cycle273.9 by Tue 17 Nov
Melbourne273.9No regular cycle271.7 by Tue 17 Nov
Brisbane274.0No regular cycle272.3 by Tue 17 Nov
Perth267.3No regular cycle262.9 by Tue 17 Nov
Adelaide263.4 (lowest)No regular cycle262.9 by Tue 17 Nov
Canberra285.7No regular cycle285.0 by Tue 17 Nov
Darwin284.4No regular cycle283.9 by Tue 17 Nov
Hobart279.7No regular cycle277.5 by Tue 17 Nov

See the Lithgow Diesel forecast in the app

The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.

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FuelRadar app Today screen with the fill-up call for Brisbane and the cheapest Unleaded 91 within 15 km
FuelRadar app fuel map with Unleaded 91 prices around Brisbane, each marked Cheap, Average or Pricey

App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.

How accurate is the forecast?

Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
4.55 c/L
"Prices stay the same"
4.70 c/L

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.

From 50,257 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.

Average miss by days ahead, beside assuming prices stay the same
AheadMissNo changeResult
Next day0.870.97Closer than no change
3 days ahead2.082.37Closer than no change
7 days ahead4.554.70About the same as no change
14 days ahead7.898.00About the same as no change
Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction.
How we check accuracy

Sydney forecast graphics for news

The Sydney Diesel forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).

Get these as graphics:

Forecast board16:94:59:16

When to fill16:94:59:16

Free to use in news coverage with the credit "Source: FuelRadar". The media page has the dated addresses.

How we forecast

FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Lithgow's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.

Next-day estimates missed by 0.5 c/L on average, no better than assuming prices stay the same (0.6 c/L).

30 days checked · 10 Oct to 8 Nov

Forecast test results

Forecast questions

When will Diesel prices go down in Lithgow?

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): Diesel in Lithgow is estimated to change little, to 275.6 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 268.1–297.4), from 276.2 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L). The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.

What is the best day to buy Diesel in Lithgow?

There is no fixed best day for Lithgow. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.

How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's Diesel price outlook?

Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 10 Oct to 8 Nov our next-day Diesel forecasts for Sydney were off by 0.5 c/L on average over 30 days checked. Assuming prices wouldn't move was just as close.

Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?

A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.

Will diesel prices go up tomorrow in Lithgow?

Estimate only: FuelRadar's Lithgow estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 275.5 c/L, down 0.7 c/L on the 276.2 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Lithgow missed by 0.5 c/L on average over 30 days checked, about the same as assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.

How often is the outlook updated?

We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.

Fuel price reports

What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.

Australia U91
242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before