Lithgow P95 price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Lithgow P95 averages 249.9 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 0.8 c/L to 249.1 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. The cheapest station, 7-Eleven Lithgow, is 248.9 c/L, 1.0 c/L under the average.
P95
Likely steady
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): little change expected by Tue 17 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L).Cheapest station: 248.9 c/L at 7-Eleven Lithgow · Updated
Lowest estimate: Thu 12 Nov, about 248.4 c/L (1.5 below today).
Alert me below 247.4Cheapest P95 in Lithgow now
P95: last 30 days and the next 7
P95: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 249.9 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 249.1 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Sydney estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded, shifted 7.3 c/L higher for Lithgow's local prices.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 249.9 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 246.6 to 253.9 c/L249.1
- likely 244.5 to 255.7 c/L248.4
- likely 243.5 to 258.0 c/L248.6
- likely 242.6 to 260.3 c/L248.8
- likely 241.5 to 262.5 c/L248.9
- likely 240.5 to 264.9 c/L249.1
- likely 240.3 to 264.9 c/L249.1
Lithgow P95 forecast explained
What usually happens next
From the bottom of the cycle, prices usually fall: the estimate is down about 0.8 c/L to 249.1 c/L by . After a market-wide move, the model restated the cycle at today's price level, so it does not expect a return to the earlier low.
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 13.7 c/L to 211.5 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 1.0% to US$93.70 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 243.6 | Cycle paused | 241.8 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 245.6 | Cycle paused | 243.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 244.0 | Cycle paused | 242.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Perth | 234.0 (lowest) | Falling since its peak · 4 days since the 248.2 peak | 222.1 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 236.3 | Cycle paused | 234.0 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 260.9 | Cycle paused | 260.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Darwin | 258.0 | Cycle paused | 258.6 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Hobart | 256.5 | Cycle paused | 255.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
See the Lithgow P95 forecast in the app
The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.55 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.70 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 50,257 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.87 | 0.97 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.08 | 2.37 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.55 | 4.70 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.89 | 8.00 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Sydney forecast graphics for news
The Sydney P95 forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Lithgow's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.7 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.7 c/L).
30 days checked · 10 Oct to 8 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will P95 prices go down in Lithgow?
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): P95 in Lithgow is estimated to change little, to 249.1 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 240.3–264.9), from 249.9 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L). The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy P95 in Lithgow?
There is no fixed best day for Lithgow. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P95 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 10 Oct to 8 Nov our next-day P95 forecasts for Sydney were off by 0.7 c/L on average over 30 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.7 c/L).
Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?
A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.
Will p95 prices go up tomorrow in Lithgow?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Lithgow estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 249.1 c/L, down 0.8 c/L on the 249.9 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Lithgow missed by 0.7 c/L on average over 30 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report