Merewether Diesel price forecast

As of Tue 10 Nov, Merewether diesel averages 279.8 c/L, and FuelRadar expects little change by Tue 17 Nov (estimate 280.2 c/L).

Diesel

Likely steady

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): little change expected by Tue 17 Nov.
City average (estimate) · 279.8 c/L
Expected by 280.2 c/L

No day in the next 7 is estimated below today's 279.8 c/L.

Alert me when it drops
Compare Merewether stations Follow NewcastleFree email when prices start rising

Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7

Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 279.8 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 280.2 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

Shaded area shows the estimated range.

Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Newcastle estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded, shifted 6.8 c/L higher for Merewether's local prices.

Day by day

Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 279.8 c/L (dashed line).

  1. likely 277.9 to 285.3 c/L280.0
  2. likely 277.0 to 288.3 c/L280.2
  3. likely 276.2 to 291.9 c/L280.2
  4. likely 275.4 to 295.6 c/L280.2
  5. likely 274.7 to 299.3 c/L280.2
  6. likely 273.9 to 303.0 c/L280.2
  7. likely 273.9 to 303.0 c/L280.2
Download today and the next 7 days (CSV)

Merewether Diesel forecast explained

Where prices sit

Merewether uses the Newcastle Diesel outlook, adjusted by 6.8 c/L for Merewether's own price history.

What usually happens next

Diesel prices do not follow a regular cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in Newcastle's daily averages. That leaves it about level by .

What could change it

Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L to 257.0 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 1.0% to US$93.70 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.

Capital cities

Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.

Capital cities
CapitalAverage (c/L)Price cycleCall
Sydney274.8No regular cycle273.9 by Tue 17 Nov
Melbourne273.9No regular cycle271.7 by Tue 17 Nov
Brisbane274.0No regular cycle272.3 by Tue 17 Nov
Perth267.3No regular cycle262.9 by Tue 17 Nov
Adelaide263.4 (lowest)No regular cycle262.9 by Tue 17 Nov
Canberra285.7No regular cycle285.0 by Tue 17 Nov
Darwin284.4No regular cycle283.9 by Tue 17 Nov
Hobart279.7No regular cycle277.5 by Tue 17 Nov

See the Merewether Diesel forecast in the app

The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.

Download on the App StoreGet it on Google Play
FuelRadar app Today screen with the fill-up call for Brisbane and the cheapest Unleaded 91 within 15 km
FuelRadar app fuel map with Unleaded 91 prices around Brisbane, each marked Cheap, Average or Pricey

App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.

How accurate is the forecast?

Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
4.12 c/L
"Prices stay the same"
4.44 c/L

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

Over 509 week-ahead checks the forecast missed by less than assuming prices stay the same.

Average miss by days ahead, beside assuming prices stay the same
AheadMissNo changeResult
Next day0.730.86Closer than no change
3 days ahead1.792.17Closer than no change
7 days ahead4.124.44Closer than no change
14 days ahead7.617.82About the same as no change
Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction.
How we check accuracy

How we forecast

FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Newcastle's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. Based on the Newcastle Diesel outlook, adjusted by 6.8 c/L using local price history. The likely range widens with each day ahead.

Next-day estimates missed by 0.5 c/L on average, further off than assuming prices stay the same (0.4 c/L).

30 days checked · 10 Oct to 8 Nov

Forecast test results

Forecast questions

When will Diesel prices go down in Merewether?

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): Diesel in Merewether is estimated to change little, to 280.2 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 273.9–303.0), from 279.8 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.

What is the best day to buy Diesel in Merewether?

There is no fixed best day for Merewether. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.

How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's Diesel price outlook?

Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 10 Oct to 8 Nov our next-day Diesel forecasts for Newcastle were off by 0.5 c/L on average over 30 days checked. Assuming prices wouldn't move was closer (0.4 c/L).

Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?

A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.

How often is the outlook updated?

We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.