Tamworth Diesel price forecast

As of Tue 10 Nov, Tamworth diesel averages 272.8 c/L, and FuelRadar expects little change by Tue 17 Nov (estimate 272.7 c/L). No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, United Petroleum Tamworth, is 259.5 c/L, 13.3 c/L under the average.

DieselOutlook updated

Likely steady

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): little change expected by Tue 17 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 4.5 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 5.5 c/L.
City average (estimate) · 272.8 c/L
Last 7 days From 278.7 on Mon 2 Nov
Expected by 272.7 c/L

Cheapest of 11 stations: 259.5 c/L at United Petroleum Tamworth · Updated

No day in the next 7 is estimated below today's 272.8 c/L.

Alert me below 258.5

Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7

Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 281.7 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 272.8 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 272.7 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

Reported city daily averageEstimate with likely range

Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Tamworth estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.

Day by day

Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 272.8 c/L (dashed line).

  1. likely 271.2 to 278.4 c/L272.7
  2. likely 270.4 to 281.4 c/L272.6
  3. likely 269.6 to 284.1 c/L272.6
  4. likely 268.7 to 286.8 c/L272.6
  5. likely 267.9 to 289.6 c/L272.6
  6. likely 267.2 to 292.4 c/L272.7
  7. likely 267.2 to 292.4 c/L272.7

Tamworth prices are typical right now

The city average of 272.9 c/L sits inside the usual range of 250.7 to 281.6 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 41% of the last 90 days.

Tamworth Diesel forecast explained

What usually happens next

Diesel prices do not follow a regular cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in Tamworth's daily averages. That leaves it about level by .

What could change it

Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L to 257.0 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.

Capital cities

Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.

Capital cities
CapitalAverage (c/L)Price cycleCall
Sydney274.8No regular cycle273.9 by Tue 17 Nov
Melbourne273.9No regular cycle271.7 by Tue 17 Nov
Brisbane274.0No regular cycle272.3 by Tue 17 Nov
Perth267.3No regular cycle262.9 by Tue 17 Nov
Adelaide263.4 (lowest)No regular cycle262.9 by Tue 17 Nov
Canberra285.7No regular cycle285.0 by Tue 17 Nov
Darwin284.4No regular cycle283.9 by Tue 17 Nov
Hobart279.7No regular cycle277.5 by Tue 17 Nov

When is Diesel cheapest in Tamworth?

Tamworth has no regular price cycle: its Diesel prices follow wholesale costs, so they tend to move a week or two after the terminal gate price.

On Fri 6 Nov the national terminal gate (wholesale) price was 257.0 c/L and the Tamworth city average 275.7 c/L, 18.7 c/L above it.

No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the Diesel weekday averages in Tamworth were within 0.8 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.

When is Diesel cheapest in Tamworth?
Cheapest weekdayNo set dayNo day led most of 11 full weeks

Terminal gate prices published by the Australian Institute of Petroleum.

See the Tamworth Diesel forecast in the app

The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.

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FuelRadar app Today screen with the fill-up call for Brisbane and the cheapest Unleaded 91 within 15 km
FuelRadar app fuel map with Unleaded 91 prices around Brisbane, each marked Cheap, Average or Pricey

App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.

How accurate is the forecast?

Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
4.67 c/L
"Prices stay the same"
4.79 c/L

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.

From 537 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.

Average miss by days ahead, beside assuming prices stay the same
AheadMissNo changeResult
Next day0.830.92Closer than no change
3 days ahead2.042.31Closer than no change
7 days ahead4.674.79About the same as no change
14 days ahead8.118.28About the same as no change
Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction.
How we check accuracy

Tamworth forecast graphics for news

The Tamworth Diesel forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).

Get these as graphics:

Forecast board16:94:59:16

When to fill16:94:59:16

Free to use in news coverage with the credit "Source: FuelRadar". The media page has the dated addresses.

How we forecast

FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Tamworth's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.

Next-day estimates missed by 0.8 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.9 c/L).

56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov

Forecast test results

Forecast questions

When will Diesel prices go down in Tamworth?

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): Diesel in Tamworth is estimated to change little, to 272.7 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 267.2–292.4), from 272.8 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 4.5 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 5.5 c/L. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.

What is the best day to buy Diesel in Tamworth?

No weekday was consistently cheaper in Tamworth over the last 11 full weeks to Sun 8 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 0.8 c/L of each other.

How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's Diesel price outlook?

Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. Each estimate shows its likely range. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day Diesel forecasts for Tamworth were off by 0.8 c/L on average over 56 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.9 c/L).

What were the lowest and highest Diesel prices in Tamworth in the last 90 days?

Since Wed 12 Aug, the Tamworth Diesel city daily average ranged from 241.6 c/L on Tue 18 Aug to 287.7 c/L on Fri 25 Sept. It was 272.9 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.

Will diesel prices go up tomorrow in Tamworth?

Estimate only: FuelRadar's Tamworth estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 272.7 c/L, down 0.1 c/L on the 272.8 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Tamworth missed by 0.8 c/L on average over 56 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.

How often is the outlook updated?

We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.

Fuel price reports

What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.