Warrawong Diesel price forecast

As of Sun 15 Nov, Warrawong diesel averages 267.8 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 4.8 c/L to 263.0 c/L by Sun 22 Nov.

Diesel

Likely to fall

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may edge down about 4.8 c/L by Sun 22 Nov.

City average (estimate) · 267.8 c/L
Expected by 263.0 c/L

How sure: a week ahead, the estimate has been off by 3.6 c/L on average over 509 checks, closer than assuming prices stay the same (4.2 c/L).

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Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7

Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 267.8 c/L on 15 Nov 2026 to 263.0 c/L on 22 Nov 2026.

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

Shaded area shows the estimated range.

Reported city averages to Sat 14 Nov, then the FuelRadar Wollongong estimate dated Sat 14 Nov with its likely range shaded, the Wollongong city average for Warrawong.

Lowest estimate: Sat 21 Nov, about 263.0 c/L (4.8 below today).

Day by day

Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 267.8 c/L (dashed line).

  1. likely 265.0 to 270.7 c/L266.6
  2. likely 263.0 to 272.0 c/L265.5
  3. likely 261.8 to 274.5 c/L264.9
  1. likely 260.5 to 277.1 c/L264.3
  2. likely 259.2 to 279.6 c/L263.6
  3. likely 257.9 to 282.2 c/L263.0
  4. likely 257.9 to 282.2 c/L263.0

Capital cities

Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Sat 14 Nov.

Capital cities
CapitalAverage (c/L)Call
Sydney267.3261.4 by Sun 22 Nov
Melbourne264.9257.5 by Sun 22 Nov
Brisbane263.9258.6 by Sun 22 Nov
Perth260.7Tomorrow 258.2
Adelaide255.4 (lowest)252.2 by Sun 22 Nov
Canberra273.4269.2 by Sun 22 Nov
Darwin278.0276.6 by Sun 22 Nov
Hobart270.3265.6 by Sun 22 Nov

See the Warrawong Diesel forecast in the app

The 7-day Warrawong forecast, updated each day, and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.

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More about the Warrawong forecast

Warrawong Diesel forecast explained

Where prices sit

Warrawong uses the Wollongong Diesel outlook.

What usually happens next

Diesel prices do not follow a regular cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in Wollongong's daily averages. That puts it down about 4.8 c/L by .

What could change it

Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale diesel price fell 9.9 c/L to 247.1 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude rose 3.7% to US$96.00 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.

How accurate is the forecast?

Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
3.63 c/L
"Prices stay the same"
4.20 c/L

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

Over 509 week-ahead checks the forecast missed by less than assuming prices stay the same.

Average miss by days ahead, beside assuming prices stay the same
AheadMissNo changeResult
Next day0.680.81Closer than no change
3 days ahead1.732.04Closer than no change
7 days ahead3.634.20Closer than no change
14 days ahead7.007.55Closer than no change
Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction.
How we check accuracy

How we forecast

FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Wollongong's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. These are Wollongong city averages, not a separate Warrawong forecast. The likely range widens with each day ahead.

Next-day estimates missed by 0.4 c/L on average over the 30 days to 8 Nov, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.5 c/L).

30 days checked · 10 Oct to 8 Nov

Forecast test results

Fuel price reports

What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.

Australia U91
242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before

Forecast questions

When will Diesel prices go down in Warrawong?

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): Diesel in Warrawong is estimated to edge down about 4.8 c/L, to 263.0 c/L by Sun 22 Nov (likely 257.9–282.2), from 267.8 c/L estimated for Sun 15 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.

What is the best day to buy Diesel in Warrawong?

There is no fixed best day for Warrawong. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.

How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's Diesel price outlook?

Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 10 Oct to 8 Nov our next-day Diesel forecasts for Wollongong were off by 0.4 c/L on average over 30 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.5 c/L).

Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?

A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.

How often is the outlook updated?

We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.