Cairns Diesel price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Cairns diesel averages 272.6 c/L. Little change expected: FuelRadar's forecast shows little change through 16 Nov (yesterday's outlook). No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, OOM Energy Cairns Central, is 259.5 c/L, 13.1 c/L under the average.
DieselOutlook updated
Little change expected
FuelRadar's forecast shows little change through 16 Nov (yesterday's outlook)Cheapest of 28 stations: 259.5 c/L at OOM Energy Cairns Central · Updated
No day in the next 7 is estimated below today's 272.6 c/L.
Alert me below 258.5Cheapest Diesel in Cairns now
Updated
Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7
Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 283.2 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 272.6 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 272.2 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Cairns estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 272.6 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 270.8 to 277.7 c/L272.6
- likely 269.9 to 280.1 c/L272.5
- likely 268.7 to 283.2 c/L272.4
- likely 267.7 to 286.3 c/L272.4
- likely 266.5 to 289.4 c/L272.3
- likely 265.3 to 292.5 c/L272.2
- likely 265.3 to 292.5 c/L272.2
Cairns prices are typical right now
The city average of 273.2 c/L sits inside the usual range of 251.6 to 282.6 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 42% of the last 90 days.
Cairns Diesel forecast explained
What usually happens next
Diesel prices do not follow a regular cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in Cairns's daily averages. That leaves it about level by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L to 257.0 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 274.8 | No regular cycle | 273.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 273.9 | No regular cycle | 271.7 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 274.0 | No regular cycle | 272.3 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Perth | 267.3 | No regular cycle | 262.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 263.4 (lowest) | No regular cycle | 262.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 285.7 | No regular cycle | 285.0 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Darwin | 284.4 | No regular cycle | 283.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Hobart | 279.7 | No regular cycle | 277.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
When is Diesel cheapest in Cairns?
Cairns has had no active price cycle lately (the last restoration started Wed 8 Apr): its Diesel prices are following wholesale costs and the recent trend, so they tend to move a week or two after the terminal gate price.
On Fri 6 Nov the national terminal gate (wholesale) price was 257.0 c/L and the Cairns city average 276.4 c/L, 19.4 c/L above it.
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the Diesel weekday averages in Cairns were within 0.4 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| Cheapest weekday | No set dayNo day led most of 11 full weeks |
|---|
Terminal gate prices published by the Australian Institute of Petroleum.
See the Cairns Diesel forecast in the app
The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 3.12 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 3.51 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Over 506 week-ahead checks the forecast missed by less than assuming prices stay the same.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.49 | 0.61 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 1.34 | 1.67 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 3.12 | 3.51 | Closer than no change |
| 14 days ahead | 5.91 | 6.48 | Closer than no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Cairns forecast graphics for news
The Cairns Diesel forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Cairns's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.6 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.7 c/L).
56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will Diesel prices go down in Cairns?
Little change expected (yesterday's outlook): Diesel in Cairns is estimated to change little, to 272.2 c/L by Mon 16 Nov (likely 265.3–292.5), from 272.6 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy Diesel in Cairns?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Cairns over the last 11 full weeks to Sun 8 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 0.4 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's Diesel price outlook?
Accurate enough for tomorrow's call. Further out it is an estimate, and the range widens with each day. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day Diesel forecasts for Cairns were off by 0.6 c/L on average over 56 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.7 c/L).
What were the lowest and highest Diesel prices in Cairns in the last 90 days?
Since Wed 12 Aug, the Cairns Diesel city daily average ranged from 241.3 c/L on Sat 15 Aug to 285.3 c/L on Fri 25 Sept. It was 273.2 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.
Will diesel prices go up tomorrow in Cairns?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Cairns estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 272.6 c/L, the same as the 272.6 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Cairns missed by 0.6 c/L on average over 56 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report