Toowoomba Diesel price forecast
As of Sat 14 Nov, Toowoomba diesel averages 265.9 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 4.8 c/L to 261.1 c/L by Sat 21 Nov.
DieselOutlook updated
Likely to fall
Estimate only: prices may fall about 5.9 c/L by Tue 17 Nov, then sit about 4.8 c/L below today by Sat 21 Nov.
Chance of a rise of 5 c/L or more within 3 days: 15%
How sure: a week ahead, the estimate has been off by 3.6 c/L on average over 516 checks, closer than assuming prices stay the same (3.9 c/L).
Toowoomba prices are typical right now
The city average of 265.9 c/L sits inside the usual range of 249.4 to 280.6 c/L for the last 91 days. That is higher than on 35% of the last 91 days.
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- At a priceAlert me below 253.0Alerts come through the free FuelRadar app.
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Cheapest Diesel in Toowoomba now
Updated
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Sat 14 Nov.
More about the Toowoomba forecast
Toowoomba Diesel forecast explained
What usually happens next
Diesel prices do not follow a regular cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in Toowoomba's daily averages, blended with the latest five-day change in wholesale prices. That puts it down about 4.8 c/L by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale diesel price fell 9.9 c/L to 247.1 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude rose 3.7% to US$96.00 a barrel. The estimate already blends in that wholesale change.
Diesel forecast chart and daily figures
Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7
Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 276.9 c/L on 16 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 265.9 c/L on 14 Nov 2026 to 261.1 c/L on 21 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Sat 14 Nov, then the FuelRadar Toowoomba estimate dated Sat 14 Nov with its likely range shaded.
Lowest estimate: Tue 17 Nov, about 260.0 c/L (5.9 below today).
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 265.9 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 262.8 to 265.6 c/L263.9
- likely 260.3 to 266.6 c/L261.9
- likely 257.8 to 267.6 c/L260.0
- likely 257.3 to 271.0 c/L260.3
- likely 256.7 to 274.4 c/L260.5
- likely 256.2 to 277.8 c/L260.8
- likely 255.6 to 281.2 c/L261.1
When is fuel cheapest in Toowoomba?
Toowoomba has had no active price cycle lately (the last restoration started Thu 9 Apr): its Diesel prices are following wholesale costs and the recent trend, so they tend to move a week or two after the terminal gate price.
On Fri 13 Nov the national terminal gate (wholesale) price was 247.1 c/L and the Toowoomba city average 267.6 c/L, 20.5 c/L above it.
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the Diesel weekday averages in Toowoomba were within 0.4 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| Cheapest weekday | No set dayNo day led most of 11 full weeks |
|---|
Terminal gate prices published by the Australian Institute of Petroleum.
How Toowoomba compares
On Sat 14 Nov Toowoomba's Diesel city average was 2.0 c/L above Brisbane's. It is 3.9 c/L below the Queensland average and 4.8 c/L below the Australia average of current station reports. Toowoomba's city daily average was 278.5 c/L in October, 11.6 c/L higher than in September. Toowoomba averaged 238.3 c/L for U91 in October 2026, the 32nd cheapest of the 131 Queensland towns we ranked and 0.8 c/L above Brisbane.
| Area | Diesel average (c/L) |
|---|---|
| ToowoombaCity daily average, Sat 14 Nov | 265.9 |
| BrisbaneCity daily average, Sat 14 Nov | 263.9 |
| Queensland929 current station reports | 269.8 |
| Australia4,326 current station reports | 270.7 |
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 3.58 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 3.88 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Over 516 week-ahead checks the forecast missed by less than assuming prices stay the same.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.54 | 0.67 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 1.50 | 1.83 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 3.58 | 3.88 | Closer than no change |
| 14 days ahead | 6.69 | 7.14 | Closer than no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Toowoomba forecast graphics for news
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Toowoomba's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.5 c/L on average over the 56 days to 14 Nov, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.6 c/L).
56 days checked · 20 Sept to 14 Nov
Forecast test resultsFuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report
Forecast questions
When will Diesel prices go down in Toowoomba?
Likely to fall: Diesel in Toowoomba is estimated to edge down about 5.1 c/L, to 260.8 c/L by Fri 20 Nov (likely 256.2–277.8), from 265.9 c/L reported Sat 14 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy Diesel in Toowoomba?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Toowoomba over the last 11 full weeks to Fri 13 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 0.4 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's Diesel price outlook?
Accurate enough for tomorrow's call. Further out it is an estimate, and the range widens with each day. From 20 Sept to 14 Nov our next-day Diesel forecasts for Toowoomba were off by 0.5 c/L on average over 56 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.6 c/L).
What were the lowest and highest Diesel prices in Toowoomba in the last 90 days?
Since Sun 16 Aug, the Toowoomba Diesel city daily average ranged from 241.2 c/L on Sun 16 Aug to 286.6 c/L on Fri 25 Sept. It was 265.9 c/L on Sat 14 Nov.
Will diesel prices go up tomorrow in Toowoomba?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Toowoomba estimate for Sun 15 Nov is 263.9 c/L, down 2.0 c/L on the 265.9 c/L reported for Sat 14 Nov. Next-day estimates for Toowoomba missed by 0.5 c/L on average over 56 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you buy.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map.









