Queenstown Diesel price forecast
As of Fri 13 Nov, Queenstown diesel averages 272.5 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 4.5 c/L to 268.0 c/L by Fri 20 Nov.
Diesel
Likely to fall
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may edge down about 4.5 c/L by Fri 20 Nov.
More about this price
Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L).
How sure: a week ahead, the estimate has been off by 4.5 c/L on average over 50,257 checks.
Hobart prices are typical right now
The city average of 273.5 c/L sits inside the usual range of 255.1 to 284.4 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 37% of the last 90 days.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Thu 12 Nov.
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More about the Queenstown forecast
Queenstown Diesel forecast explained
Where prices sit
Queenstown uses the Hobart Diesel outlook, adjusted by 0.1 c/L for Queenstown's own price history.
What usually happens next
Diesel prices do not follow a regular cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in Hobart's daily averages. That puts it down about 4.5 c/L by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: wholesale diesel in Hobart fell 10.5 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.3% to US$93.12 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Diesel forecast chart and daily figures
Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7
Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 272.5 c/L on 13 Nov 2026 to 268.0 c/L on 20 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Thu 12 Nov, then the FuelRadar Hobart estimate dated Thu 12 Nov with its likely range shaded, shifted 0.1 c/L higher for Queenstown's local prices.
Lowest estimate: Thu 19 Nov, about 268.0 c/L (4.5 below today).
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 272.5 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 269.8 to 276.5 c/L271.5
- likely 268.0 to 278.3 c/L270.5
- likely 266.5 to 280.2 c/L269.9
- likely 265.0 to 282.0 c/L269.2
- likely 263.5 to 283.9 c/L268.6
- likely 262.0 to 285.8 c/L268.0
- likely 262.0 to 285.8 c/L268.0
When is fuel cheapest in Hobart?
Hobart has had no active price cycle lately (the last restoration started Sat 7 Mar): its Diesel prices are following wholesale costs and the recent trend, so they tend to move a week or two after the terminal gate price.
On Fri 6 Nov the national terminal gate (wholesale) price was 257.0 c/L and the Hobart city average 282.1 c/L, 25.1 c/L above it.
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 12 full weeks to : the Diesel weekday averages in Hobart were within 0.5 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| Cheapest weekday | No set dayNo day led most of 12 full weeks |
|---|
Terminal gate prices published by the Australian Institute of Petroleum.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.55 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.70 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 50,257 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.87 | 0.97 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.08 | 2.37 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.55 | 4.70 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.89 | 8.00 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Hobart's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. Based on the Hobart Diesel outlook, adjusted by 0.1 c/L using local price history. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.5 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.5 c/L).
30 days checked · 10 Oct to 8 Nov
Forecast test resultsFuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report
Forecast questions
When will Diesel prices go down in Queenstown?
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): Diesel in Queenstown is estimated to edge down about 4.5 c/L, to 268.0 c/L by Fri 20 Nov (likely 262.0–285.8), from 272.5 c/L estimated for Fri 13 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L). The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy Diesel in Queenstown?
There is no fixed best day for Queenstown. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's Diesel price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 10 Oct to 8 Nov our next-day Diesel forecasts for Hobart were off by 0.5 c/L on average over 30 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.5 c/L).
Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?
A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.