Caroline Springs Diesel price forecast

As of Mon 16 Nov, Caroline Springs diesel averages 264.0 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 2.8 c/L to 261.2 c/L by Mon 23 Nov.

Diesel

More fuels (1)

Likely to fall

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may edge down about 2.8 c/L by Mon 23 Nov.

City average (estimate)
264.0 c/L
Typical miss, a week ahead
5.9 c/L(no change: 6.3)
Today's cheapest: OOM energy Deer Park 251.7 c/L · 12.3 c/L below the city average
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Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7

Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 264.0 c/L on 16 Nov 2026 to 261.2 c/L on 23 Nov 2026.

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

Shaded area shows the estimated range.

Reported city averages to Sun 15 Nov, then the FuelRadar Melton estimate dated Sun 15 Nov with its likely range shaded, the Melton city average for Caroline Springs.

Lowest estimate: Sun 22 Nov, about 261.2 c/L (2.8 below today).

Day by day

Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 264.0 c/L (dashed line).

  1. likely 260.0 to 267.5 c/L263.10.9 cents per litre lower
  2. likely 257.8 to 269.0 c/L262.21.8 cents per litre lower
  3. likely 256.2 to 272.6 c/L261.92.1 cents per litre lower
  1. likely 254.8 to 276.2 c/L261.72.3 cents per litre lower
  2. likely 253.3 to 279.9 c/L261.52.5 cents per litre lower
  3. likely 251.7 to 283.4 c/L261.22.8 cents per litre lower
  4. likely 251.7 to 283.4 c/L261.22.8 cents per litre lower

Capital cities

Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices.

Capital cities
CapitalAverage (c/L)Call
Sydney267.0↓ 3.4 by Mon 23 Nov
Melbourne263.8↓ 4.5 by Mon 23 Nov
Brisbane263.3261.1 by Mon 23 Nov
Perth258.2↓ 3.5 by Mon 23 Nov
Adelaide253.2 (lowest)↑ 0.6 by Mon 23 Nov
Canberra273.4↓ 3.2 by Mon 23 Nov
Darwin276.1↑ 1.6 by Mon 23 Nov
Hobart270.1↓ 3.9 by Mon 23 Nov

See the Caroline Springs Diesel forecast in the app

The 7-day Caroline Springs forecast, updated each day, and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.

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FuelRadar app Today screen with the fill-up call for Brisbane and the cheapest Unleaded 91 within 15 km
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Questions about the Caroline Springs forecast

Caroline Springs Diesel forecast explained

Where prices sit

Caroline Springs uses the Melton Diesel outlook.

What usually happens next

Diesel prices do not follow a regular cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in Melton's daily averages. That puts it down about 2.8 c/L by .

What could change it

Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale diesel price fell 9.9 c/L to 247.1 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude rose 3.5% to US$95.84 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.

How accurate is the forecast?

Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
5.93 c/L
"Prices stay the same"
6.29 c/L

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

Over 538 week-ahead checks the forecast missed by less than assuming prices stay the same.

Average miss by days ahead, beside assuming prices stay the same
AheadMissNo changeResult
Next day1.331.45Closer than no change
3 days ahead2.663.29Closer than no change
7 days ahead5.936.29Closer than no change
14 days ahead9.509.69About the same as no change
Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction.
How we check accuracy

How does FuelRadar make the forecast?

FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Melton's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. These are Melton city averages, not a separate Caroline Springs forecast. The likely range widens with each day ahead.

Next-day estimates missed by 0.96 c/L on average over the 30 days to 14 Nov, closer than assuming prices stay the same (1.03 c/L).

30 days checked · 16 Oct to 14 Nov

Forecast test results

Fuel price reports

What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.

Australia U91
242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before

Forecast questions

When will Diesel prices go down in Caroline Springs?

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): Diesel in Caroline Springs is estimated to edge down about 2.8 c/L, to 261.2 c/L by Mon 23 Nov (likely 251.7–283.4), from 264.0 c/L estimated for Mon 16 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.

What is the best day to buy Diesel in Caroline Springs?

There is no fixed best day for Caroline Springs. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.

How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's Diesel price outlook?

Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 16 Oct to 14 Nov our next-day Diesel forecasts for Melton were off by 1.0 c/L on average over 30 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (1.0 c/L).

Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?

A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.

How often is the outlook updated?

We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.