Doveton Diesel price forecast
As of Fri 13 Nov, Doveton diesel averages 264.6 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 5.4 c/L to 259.2 c/L by Fri 20 Nov.
Diesel
Likely to fall
Estimate only: prices may edge down about 5.4 c/L by Fri 20 Nov.
More about this price
Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L).
How sure: a week ahead, the estimate has been off by 4.5 c/L on average over 50,257 checks.
Melbourne prices are typical right now
The city average of 267.2 c/L sits inside the usual range of 252.1 to 279.6 c/L for the last 91 days. That is higher than on 37% of the last 91 days.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Fri 13 Nov.
Cheapest Diesel near Doveton now
Updated
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More about the Doveton forecast
Doveton Diesel forecast explained
Where prices sit
Doveton uses the Melbourne Diesel outlook, adjusted by -2.6 c/L for Doveton's own price history.
What usually happens next
Diesel prices do not follow a regular cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in Melbourne's daily averages, blended with the latest five-day change in wholesale prices. That puts it down about 5.4 c/L by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: wholesale diesel in Melbourne fell 9.5 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude rose 2.8% to US$95.20 a barrel. The estimate already blends in that wholesale change.
Diesel forecast chart and daily figures
Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7
Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 264.6 c/L on 13 Nov 2026 to 259.2 c/L on 20 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Fri 13 Nov, then the FuelRadar Melbourne estimate dated Fri 13 Nov with its likely range shaded, shifted 2.6 c/L lower for Doveton's local prices.
First lower estimate: Sat 14 Nov, about 263.1 c/L (1.5 below today).
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 264.6 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 262.0 to 265.1 c/L263.1
- likely 260.1 to 266.8 c/L261.9
- likely 258.3 to 268.7 c/L260.8
- likely 256.7 to 271.5 c/L260.4
- likely 255.1 to 274.4 c/L260.0
- likely 253.5 to 277.2 c/L259.6
- likely 251.9 to 280.0 c/L259.2
When is fuel cheapest in Melbourne?
Melbourne has had no active price cycle lately (the last restoration started Mon 21 Sept): its Diesel prices are following wholesale costs and the recent trend, so they tend to move a week or two after the terminal gate price.
On Fri 6 Nov the national terminal gate (wholesale) price was 257.0 c/L and the Melbourne city average 276.4 c/L, 19.4 c/L above it.
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 12 full weeks to : the Diesel weekday averages in Melbourne were within 0.9 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| Cheapest weekday | No set dayNo day led most of 12 full weeks |
|---|
Terminal gate prices published by the Australian Institute of Petroleum.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.55 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.70 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 50,257 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.87 | 0.97 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.08 | 2.37 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.55 | 4.70 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.89 | 8.00 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Melbourne's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. Based on the Melbourne Diesel outlook, adjusted by -2.6 c/L using local price history. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.6 c/L on average, no better than assuming prices stay the same (0.7 c/L).
30 days checked · 10 Oct to 8 Nov
Forecast test resultsFuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report
Forecast questions
When will Diesel prices go down in Doveton?
Estimate only: Diesel in Doveton is estimated to edge down about 5.4 c/L, to 259.2 c/L by Fri 20 Nov (likely 251.9–280.0), from 264.6 c/L estimated for Fri 13 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L). The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy Diesel in Doveton?
There is no fixed best day for Doveton. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's Diesel price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 10 Oct to 8 Nov our next-day Diesel forecasts for Melbourne were off by 0.6 c/L on average over 30 days checked. Assuming prices wouldn't move was just as close.
Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?
A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map.