Sydenham Diesel price forecast
As of Mon 16 Nov, Sydenham diesel averages 262.2 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 3.7 c/L to 258.5 c/L by Mon 23 Nov.
Diesel
More fuels (1)
Likely to fall
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may edge down about 3.7 c/L by Mon 23 Nov.
- City average (estimate)
- 262.2 c/L
- Typical miss, a week ahead
- 4.6 c/L(no change: 4.9)
Melbourne prices are typical right now
Cheaper than on 66% of the last 91 days. Usual range 253.8 to 279.6 c/L.
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Cheapest Diesel near Sydenham now
Updated
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices.
See the Sydenham Diesel forecast in the app
The 7-day Sydenham forecast, updated each day, and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
Questions about the Sydenham forecast
Sydenham Diesel forecast explained
Where prices sit
Sydenham uses the Melbourne Diesel outlook, adjusted by -0.8 c/L for Sydenham's own price history.
What usually happens next
Diesel prices do not follow a regular cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in Melbourne's daily averages. That puts it down about 3.7 c/L by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: wholesale diesel in Melbourne fell 9.8 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude rose 3.5% to US$95.84 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
What is the Diesel estimate each day, and can I download it?
Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7
Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 262.2 c/L on 16 Nov 2026 to 258.5 c/L on 23 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Sun 15 Nov, then the FuelRadar Melbourne estimate dated Sun 15 Nov with its likely range shaded, shifted 0.8 c/L lower for Sydenham's local prices.
Lowest estimate: Sun 22 Nov, about 258.5 c/L (3.7 below today).
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 262.2 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 259.3 to 265.6 c/L261.11.1 cents per litre lower
- likely 257.5 to 267.1 c/L260.02.2 cents per litre lower
- likely 255.9 to 269.9 c/L259.62.6 cents per litre lower
- likely 254.3 to 272.8 c/L259.23.0 cents per litre lower
- likely 252.7 to 275.6 c/L258.83.4 cents per litre lower
- likely 251.2 to 278.6 c/L258.53.7 cents per litre lower
- likely 251.2 to 278.6 c/L258.53.7 cents per litre lower
When is fuel cheapest in Melbourne?
Melbourne has had no active price cycle lately (the last restoration started Mon 21 Sept): its Diesel prices are following wholesale costs and the recent trend, so they tend to move a week or two after the terminal gate price.
On Fri 13 Nov the national terminal gate (wholesale) price was 247.1 c/L and the Melbourne city average 267.2 c/L, 20.1 c/L above it.
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the Diesel weekday averages in Melbourne were within 0.9 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| Cheapest weekday | No set dayNo day led most of 11 full weeks |
|---|
Terminal gate prices published by the Australian Institute of Petroleum.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.58 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.87 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Over 51,428 week-ahead checks the forecast missed by less than assuming prices stay the same.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.88 | 0.98 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.05 | 2.42 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.58 | 4.87 | Closer than no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.97 | 8.05 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
How does FuelRadar make the forecast?
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Melbourne's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. Based on the Melbourne Diesel outlook, adjusted by -0.8 c/L using local price history. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.9 c/L on average over the 30 days to 14 Nov, about the same as assuming prices stay the same (0.9 c/L).
30 days checked · 16 Oct to 14 Nov
Forecast test resultsFuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report
Forecast questions
When will Diesel prices go down in Sydenham?
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): Diesel in Sydenham is estimated to edge down about 3.7 c/L, to 258.5 c/L by Mon 23 Nov (likely 251.2–278.6), from 262.2 c/L estimated for Mon 16 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy Diesel in Sydenham?
There is no fixed best day for Sydenham. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's Diesel price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 16 Oct to 14 Nov our next-day Diesel forecasts for Melbourne were off by 0.9 c/L on average over 30 days checked. Assuming prices wouldn't move was just as close.
Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?
A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.