Nowergup U91 price forecast
As of Sat 14 Nov, Nowergup U91 averages 204.0 c/L. Cheaper tomorrow: FuelWatch has confirmed 201.5 c/L for Sun 15 Nov (2.5 c/L lower than today).
U91
Cheaper tomorrow
FuelWatch has confirmed 201.5 c/L for Sun 15 Nov (2.5 c/L lower than today).
FuelWatch's official average for Sun 15 Nov is 201.5 c/L, 2.5 c/L lower than today's city average.
More about this price
The average of the prices stations must charge for 24 hours from 6 am tomorrow, as published by FuelWatch. A published price, not a FuelRadar estimate.
Perth's average peaked at 214.3 c/L on Thu 12 Nov, 2 days ago, and is 10.3 c/L lower now.
How sure: a week ahead, the estimate has been off by 4.5 c/L on average over 50,257 checks; assuming prices stay the same was off by 4.7 c/L.
Near the low point of this cycle
At 204.0 c/L, the city average is 10.3 c/L below the 214.3 peak on Thu 12 Nov and 0.1 c/L below the 204.1 low on Wed 11 Nov. Prices overall are lower than on 81% of the last 91 days.
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Cheapest U91 near Nowergup now
Updated
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Sat 14 Nov.
More about the Nowergup forecast
Nowergup U91 forecast explained
Where prices sit
Nowergup uses the Perth U91 outlook.
What usually happens next
From the bottom of the cycle, prices usually fall: the estimate is down about 2.2 c/L to 201.8 c/L by . After a market-wide move, the model restated the cycle at today's price level, so it does not expect a return to the earlier low.
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: wholesale petrol in Perth fell 15.4 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude rose 3.7% to US$96.00 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
U91 forecast chart and daily figures
U91: last 30 days and the next 7
U91: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 204.0 c/L on 14 Nov 2026 to 201.8 c/L on 21 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Sat 14 Nov, then the FuelRadar Perth estimate dated Sat 14 Nov with its likely range shaded, the Perth city average for Nowergup.
Lowest estimate: Tue 17 Nov, about 199.5 c/L (4.5 below today).
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 204.0 c/L (dashed line).
- FuelWatch official201.5
- likely 195.5 to 207.0 c/L200.5
- likely 192.1 to 210.6 c/L199.5
- likely 191.8 to 212.0 c/L200.1
- likely 191.4 to 213.3 c/L200.6
- likely 191.1 to 214.8 c/L201.2
- likely 190.8 to 216.2 c/L201.8
When is fuel cheapest in Perth?
U91 prices in Perth have cycled about every 7 days over the last 8 price restorations.
A typical cycle rose 15.9 c/L in about 1 day from its low, then fell 15.9 c/L from the peak to the next low.
Prices usually stayed within 2 c/L of the low for about 1 day.
Wednesday is usually the cheapest day for U91 in Perth: it was the lowest in 11 of 11 full weeks to , 6.7 c/L under the weekly average. Thursday was the dearest in 11 of 11.
| Typical cycle, low to low | 7 days |
|---|---|
| Rise from the low to the peak | 15.9 c/LOver about 1 day |
| Fall from the peak to the next low | 15.9 c/L |
| Days near the bottom | 1 dayWithin 2 c/L of the low |
| Cheapest weekday | WednesdayLowest in 11 of 11 full weeks |
Cycle length from the last 8 price restorations; rises, falls and days near the bottom are medians of past Perth cycles in the city daily averages.
What usually follows a Perth price peak
What usually happens after a peak
Past 8 cyclesSource: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
2 days after their peak, the last 8 Perth cycles since Sept 2026 sat a median 5.9 c/L below the peak, the middle half from 7.1 below to 5.3 below. Today is 2 days after the last peak and 10.3 c/L below the peak.
Past Perth cycles lined up on their peak day, from the city daily averages. A record of past cycles, not a forecast.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.55 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.70 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 50,257 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.87 | 0.97 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.08 | 2.37 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.55 | 4.70 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.89 | 8.00 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Tomorrow's FuelWatch price is a published price, not an estimate, so it is not counted here.
How we check accuracyHow we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Perth's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. These are Perth city averages, not a separate Nowergup forecast. The likely range widens with each day ahead. Tomorrow's figure is FuelWatch's official price, not an estimate, so the accuracy below does not count it.
Next-day estimates missed by 1.1 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (3.8 c/L).
30 days checked · 10 Oct to 8 Nov
Forecast test resultsFuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report
Forecast questions
When will U91 prices go down in Nowergup?
Cheaper tomorrow: FuelWatch has confirmed 201.5 c/L for U91 in Nowergup on Sun 15 Nov, −2.5 c/L on today's 204.0 c/L reported Sat 14 Nov. Later days are estimates. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy U91 in Nowergup?
There is no fixed best day for Nowergup. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's U91 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 10 Oct to 8 Nov our next-day U91 forecasts for Perth were off by 1.1 c/L on average over 30 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (3.8 c/L).
Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?
A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map.











