Penrith Premium diesel price forecast
As of Mon 16 Nov, Penrith premium diesel averages an estimated 276.2 c/L, and FuelRadar expects little change by Sun 22 Nov (estimate 276.0 c/L).
Premium diesel
Likely steady
- Typical miss, a week ahead
- 4.6 c/L(no change: 4.9)
Sydney prices are typical right now
Cheaper than on 68% of the last 91 days. Usual range 256.0 to 284.2 c/L.
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Cheapest Premium diesel near Penrith now
Updated
Capital cities
City averages, Mon 16 Nov.
Questions about the Penrith forecast
Penrith Premium diesel forecast explained
Where prices sit
Penrith uses the Sydney Premium diesel outlook, adjusted by 8.8 c/L for Penrith's own price history.
What usually happens next
Premium diesel prices do not follow a regular cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in Sydney's daily averages, blended with the latest five-day change in wholesale prices. That leaves it about level by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: wholesale diesel in Sydney fell 9.8 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude rose 4.8% to US$95.84 a barrel. The estimate already blends in that wholesale change.
What is the Premium diesel estimate each day, and can I download it?
Premium diesel: last 30 days and the next 7
Premium diesel: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 276.2 c/L on 16 Nov 2026 to 276.2 c/L on 23 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 16 Nov, then the FuelRadar Sydney estimate dated Mon 16 Nov with its likely range shaded, shifted 8.8 c/L higher for Penrith's local prices.
Lowest estimate: Thu 19 Nov, about 275.2 c/L (1.0 below today).
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 276.2 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 275.2 to 277.4 c/L275.90.3 cents per litre lower
- likely 273.2 to 278.7 c/L275.50.7 cents per litre lower
- likely 271.3 to 280.1 c/L275.21.0 cents per litre lower
- Same as today (estimate)275.5
- Same as today (estimate)275.7
- Same as today (estimate)276.0
- Same as today (estimate)276.2
When is fuel cheapest in Sydney?
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the Premium diesel weekday averages in Sydney were within 0.7 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| 90-day low | 244.4 c/LTue 18 Aug |
|---|---|
| Today against the 90-day low | 23.0 c/L overCity average 267.4 c/L on Mon 16 Nov |
From 91 days of Sydney Premium diesel city daily averages to Mon 16 Nov.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.58 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.87 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Over 51,428 week-ahead checks the forecast missed by less than assuming prices stay the same.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.88 | 0.98 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.05 | 2.42 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.58 | 4.87 | Closer than no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.97 | 8.05 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
How does FuelRadar make the forecast?
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Sydney's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. Based on the Sydney Premium diesel outlook, adjusted by 8.8 c/L using local price history. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.6 c/L on average over the 30 days to 14 Nov, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.7 c/L).
30 days checked · 16 Oct to 14 Nov
Forecast test resultsFuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report
Forecast questions
When will Premium diesel prices go down in Penrith?
Estimate only: Premium diesel in Penrith is estimated to change little, to 276.2 c/L by Mon 23 Nov (likely 265.0–295.1), from 276.2 c/L estimated for Mon 16 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy Premium diesel in Penrith?
There is no fixed best day for Penrith. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's Premium diesel price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 16 Oct to 14 Nov our next-day Premium diesel forecasts for Sydney were off by 0.6 c/L on average over 30 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.7 c/L).
Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?
A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map.











