Darwin P98 price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Darwin P98 averages 274.9 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will rise about 0.6 c/L to 275.5 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, S24 Casuarina Cityway, is 261.9 c/L, 13.0 c/L under the average.
P98Outlook updated
Likely steady
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): little change expected by Tue 17 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 3.9 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 4.5 c/L.Cheapest of 23 stations: 261.9 c/L at S24 Casuarina Cityway · Updated
No day in the next 7 is estimated below today's 274.9 c/L.
Alert me below 260.9
P98: last 30 days and the next 7
P98: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 280.1 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 274.9 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 275.5 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Darwin estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 274.9 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 273.2 to 279.4 c/L274.7
- likely 272.4 to 281.6 c/L274.5
- likely 271.9 to 284.3 c/L274.8
- likely 271.3 to 286.9 c/L275.0
- likely 270.8 to 289.6 c/L275.3
- likely 270.2 to 292.2 c/L275.5
- likely 269.3 to 292.2 c/L275.5
Darwin prices are typical right now
The city average of 275.3 c/L sits inside the usual range of 245.4 to 278.1 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 46% of the last 90 days.
Darwin P98 forecast explained
What usually happens next
Darwin has no regular price cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in its daily averages. That puts it up about 0.6 c/L by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: wholesale petrol in Darwin fell 14.2 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Other capitals
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 251.8 | Cycle paused | 250.0 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 254.1 | Cycle paused | 252.1 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 252.7 | Cycle paused | 250.7 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Perth | 242.5 (lowest) | Falling since its peak · 4 days since the 256.6 peak | 230.8 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 242.9 | Cycle paused | 240.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 267.7 | Cycle paused | 267.7 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Hobart | 264.0 | Cycle paused | 262.8 by Tue 17 Nov |
When is P98 cheapest in Darwin?
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the P98 weekday averages in Darwin were within 1.0 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| 90-day low | 237.0 c/LTue 18 Aug |
|---|---|
| Today against the 90-day low | +38.3 c/LCity average 275.3 c/L on Mon 9 Nov |
From 90 days of Darwin P98 city daily averages to Mon 9 Nov.
Darwin this week and a year ago
Darwin P98 averaged 275.9 c/L over the seven days to 8 November 2026, 52.5 c/L above the same week a year earlier (223.4 c/L).
| Week | Average (c/L) |
|---|---|
| Latest seven days2 Nov to 8 November 2026 | 275.9 |
| Same week a year earlier3 Nov to 9 November 2025 | 223.4 |
| Change | +52.5 |
The same weekdays 52 weeks apart, from the city daily averages.
See the Darwin P98 forecast in the app
The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.55 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.70 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 50,257 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.87 | 0.97 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.08 | 2.37 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.55 | 4.70 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.89 | 8.00 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Darwin forecast graphics for news
The Darwin P98 forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Darwin's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.6 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.7 c/L).
56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will P98 prices go down in Darwin?
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): P98 in Darwin is estimated to change little, to 275.5 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 269.3–292.2), from 274.9 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 3.9 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 4.5 c/L. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy P98 in Darwin?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Darwin over the last 11 full weeks to Sun 8 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 1.0 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P98 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. Each estimate shows its likely range. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day P98 forecasts for Darwin were off by 0.6 c/L on average over 56 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.7 c/L).
What were the lowest and highest P98 prices in Darwin in the last 90 days?
Since Wed 12 Aug, the Darwin P98 city daily average ranged from 237.0 c/L on Tue 18 Aug to 281.0 c/L on Thu 15 Oct. It was 275.3 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.
Will p98 prices go up tomorrow in Darwin?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Darwin estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 274.7 c/L, down 0.2 c/L on the 274.9 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Darwin missed by 0.6 c/L on average over 56 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
When will diesel prices go down in Darwin?
Diesel does not usually follow the petrol price cycle, so there is no regular low to wait for. The Darwin diesel city daily average was 284.4 c/L on Mon 9 Nov, down 5.6 c/L over 30 days. Wholesale diesel in Darwin fell 9.9 c/L over the five days to Fri 6 Nov. FuelRadar names no date for a fall: the Darwin diesel forecast gives its day-by-day estimate and likely range.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report