Warwick Premium diesel price forecast

As of Tue 10 Nov, Warwick premium diesel averages 272.1 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 2.1 c/L to 270.0 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, Caltex Warwick Central, is 268.5 c/L, 3.6 c/L under the average.

Premium dieselOutlook updated

Likely to fall

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may edge down about 2.1 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 4.7 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 4.5 c/L.
City average (estimate) ยท 272.1 c/L
Last 7 days From 273.8 on Mon 2 Nov
Expected by 270.0 c/L

Cheapest of 6 stations: 268.5 c/L at Caltex Warwick Central ยท Updated

Lowest estimate: Mon 16 Nov, about 270.0 c/L (2.1 below today).

Alert me below 266.4

Premium diesel: last 30 days and the next 7

Premium diesel: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 278.0 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 272.1 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 270.0 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

Reported city daily averageEstimate with likely range

Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Warwick estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.

Day by day

Each dayโ€™s likely range and estimate, with the change from todayโ€™s 272.1 c/L (dashed line).

  1. likely 270.2 to 277.7 c/L271.3
  2. likely 269.0 to 281.1 c/L270.6
  3. likely 268.4 to 284.1 c/L270.4
  4. likely 267.9 to 287.3 c/L270.3
  5. likely 267.4 to 290.4 c/L270.2
  6. likely 266.8 to 293.4 c/L270.0
  7. likely 266.8 to 293.4 c/L270.0

Warwick prices are typical right now

The city average of 272.1 c/L sits inside the usual range of 248.4 to 277.8 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 42% of the last 90 days.

Warwick Premium diesel forecast explained

What usually happens next

Premium diesel prices do not follow a regular cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in Warwick's daily averages. That puts it down about 2.1 c/L by .

What could change it

Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L to 257.0 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.

Capital cities

Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices.

Capital cities
CapitalAverage (c/L)Price cycleCall
Sydney275.7No regular cycle275.7 by Tue 17 Nov
Melbourne276.5No regular cycle273.5 by Tue 17 Nov
Brisbane278.0No regular cycle275.8 by Tue 17 Nov
Perth274.1No regular cycle270.3 by Tue 17 Nov
Adelaide267.7 (lowest)No regular cycle265.0 by Tue 17 Nov
Canberra285.0No regular cycle286.6 by Tue 17 Nov
Darwin287.9No regular cycleAbout the same
Hobart283.8No regular cycle281.1 by Tue 17 Nov

When is Premium diesel cheapest in Warwick?

No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the Premium diesel weekday averages in Warwick were within 1.5 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.

When is Premium diesel cheapest in Warwick?
90-day low239.4 c/LFri 14 Aug
Today against the 90-day low+32.7 c/LCity average 272.1 c/L on Mon 9 Nov

From 90 days of Warwick Premium diesel city daily averages to Mon 9 Nov.

See the Warwick Premium diesel forecast in the app

The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.

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FuelRadar app Today screen with the fill-up call for Brisbane and the cheapest Unleaded 91 within 15 km
FuelRadar app fuel map with Unleaded 91 prices around Brisbane, each marked Cheap, Average or Pricey

App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.

How accurate is the forecast?

Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
3.86 c/L
"Prices stay the same"
3.92 c/L

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.

From 469 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.

Average miss by days ahead, beside assuming prices stay the same
AheadMissNo changeResult
Next day0.670.72Closer than no change
3 days ahead1.761.88Closer than no change
7 days ahead3.863.92About the same as no change
14 days ahead7.217.48About the same as no change
Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction.
How we check accuracy

How we forecast

FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Warwick's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.

Next-day estimates missed by 0.8 c/L on average, no better than assuming prices stay the same (0.8 c/L).

56 days checked ยท 15 Sept to 9 Nov

Forecast test results

Forecast questions

When will Premium diesel prices go down in Warwick?

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): Premium diesel in Warwick is estimated to edge down about 2.1 c/L, to 270.0 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 266.8โ€“293.4), from 272.1 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 4.7 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 4.5 c/L. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.

What is the best day to buy Premium diesel in Warwick?

No weekday was consistently cheaper in Warwick over the last 11 full weeks to Sun 8 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 1.5 c/L of each other.

How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's Premium diesel price outlook?

Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. Each estimate shows its likely range. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day Premium diesel forecasts for Warwick were off by 0.8 c/L on average over 56 days checked. Assuming prices wouldn't move was just as close.

What were the lowest and highest Premium diesel prices in Warwick in the last 90 days?

Since Wed 12 Aug, the Warwick Premium diesel city daily average ranged from 239.4 c/L on Fri 14 Aug to 280.8 c/L on Thu 24 Sept. It was 272.1 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.

Will premium diesel prices go up tomorrow in Warwick?

Estimate only: FuelRadar's Warwick estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 271.3 c/L, down 0.8 c/L on the 272.1 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Warwick missed by 0.8 c/L on average over 56 days checked, about the same as assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.

How often is the outlook updated?

We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.

Fuel price reports

What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.