Strathdale P98 price forecast

As of Mon 16 Nov, Strathdale P98 averages 242.2 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 3.1 c/L to 239.1 c/L by Mon 23 Nov.

P98

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Likely to fall

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may edge down about 3.1 c/L by Mon 23 Nov.

City average (estimate)
242.2 c/L
Typical miss, a week ahead
4.6 c/L(no change: 4.9)

Melbourne prices are typical right now

Cheaper than on 65% of the last 91 days. Usual range 232.5 to 260.8 c/L.

Today's cheapest: APCO White Hills 229.3 c/L · 12.9 c/L below the city average
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Capital cities

Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices.

Capital cities
CapitalAverage (c/L)Call
Sydney239.9↓ 3.7 by Mon 23 Nov
Melbourne242.3↓ 3.2 by Mon 23 Nov
Brisbane239.9235.3 by Mon 23 Nov
Perth226.7 (lowest)↓ 1.8 by Mon 23 Nov
Adelaide227.5↓ 5.3 by Mon 23 Nov
Canberra255.5252.2 by Mon 23 Nov
Darwin272.6↑ 4.0 by Mon 23 Nov
Hobart251.1↓ 5.9 by Mon 23 Nov

See the Strathdale P98 forecast in the app

The 7-day Strathdale forecast, updated each day, and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.

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FuelRadar app Today screen with the fill-up call for Brisbane and the cheapest Unleaded 91 within 15 km
FuelRadar app fuel map with Unleaded 91 prices around Brisbane, each marked Cheap, Average or Pricey

App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.

Questions about the Strathdale forecast

Strathdale P98 forecast explained

Where prices sit

Strathdale uses the Melbourne P98 outlook.

What usually happens next

The estimate is down about 3.1 c/L to 239.1 c/L by . After a market-wide move, the model restated its estimate at today's price level, so it does not expect a return to the earlier low.

What could change it

Wholesale and crude signals: wholesale petrol in Melbourne fell 16.0 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude rose 3.5% to US$95.84 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.

What is the P98 estimate each day, and can I download it?

P98: last 30 days and the next 7

P98: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 242.2 c/L on 16 Nov 2026 to 239.1 c/L on 23 Nov 2026.

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

Shaded area shows the estimated range.

Reported city averages to Sun 15 Nov, then the FuelRadar Melbourne estimate dated Sun 15 Nov with its likely range shaded, the Melbourne city average for Strathdale.

Lowest estimate: Sun 22 Nov, about 239.1 c/L (3.1 below today).

Day by day

Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 242.2 c/L (dashed line).

  1. likely 238.3 to 245.3 c/L241.11.1 cents per litre lower
  2. likely 236.1 to 246.1 c/L240.12.1 cents per litre lower
  3. likely 234.1 to 248.1 c/L239.82.4 cents per litre lower
  1. likely 232.1 to 250.1 c/L239.62.6 cents per litre lower
  2. likely 230.2 to 252.1 c/L239.42.8 cents per litre lower
  3. likely 228.1 to 254.1 c/L239.13.1 cents per litre lower
  4. likely 228.1 to 254.1 c/L239.13.1 cents per litre lower

When is fuel cheapest in Melbourne?

No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the P98 weekday averages in Melbourne were within 1.7 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.

When is P98 cheapest in Melbourne?
90-day low221.2 c/LWed 19 Aug
Today against the 90-day low21.1 c/L overCity average 242.3 c/L on Mon 16 Nov

From 91 days of Melbourne P98 city daily averages to Mon 16 Nov.

How accurate is the forecast?

Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
4.58 c/L
"Prices stay the same"
4.87 c/L

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

Over 51,428 week-ahead checks the forecast missed by less than assuming prices stay the same.

Average miss by days ahead, beside assuming prices stay the same
AheadMissNo changeResult
Next day0.880.98Closer than no change
3 days ahead2.052.42Closer than no change
7 days ahead4.584.87Closer than no change
14 days ahead7.978.05About the same as no change
Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction.
How we check accuracy

How does FuelRadar make the forecast?

FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Melbourne's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. These are Melbourne city averages, not a separate Strathdale forecast. The likely range widens with each day ahead.

Next-day estimates missed by 0.9 c/L on average over the 30 days to 14 Nov, closer than assuming prices stay the same (1.1 c/L).

30 days checked · 16 Oct to 14 Nov

Forecast test results

Fuel price reports

What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.

Australia U91
242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before

Forecast questions

When will P98 prices go down in Strathdale?

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): P98 in Strathdale is estimated to edge down about 3.1 c/L, to 239.1 c/L by Mon 23 Nov (likely 228.1–254.1), from 242.2 c/L estimated for Mon 16 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.

What is the best day to buy P98 in Strathdale?

There is no fixed best day for Strathdale. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.

How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P98 price outlook?

Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 16 Oct to 14 Nov our next-day P98 forecasts for Melbourne were off by 0.9 c/L on average over 30 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (1.1 c/L).

Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?

A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.

How often is the outlook updated?

We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.