Warrnambool P98 price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Warrnambool P98 averages 260.3 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 2.2 c/L to 258.1 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, APCO Warrnambool, is 249.9 c/L, 10.4 c/L under the average.
P98Outlook updated
Likely to fall
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may edge down about 2.2 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 5.3 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 5.7 c/L.Cheapest of 11 stations: 249.9 c/L at APCO Warrnambool · Updated
Lowest estimate: Mon 16 Nov, about 258.1 c/L (2.2 below today).
Chance of a rise of 5 c/L or more within 3 days: 12%
Alert me below 247.7Cheapest P98 in Warrnambool now
Updated
P98: last 30 days and the next 7
P98: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 269.2 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 260.3 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 258.1 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Warrnambool estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 260.3 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 258.1 to 263.9 c/L259.5
- likely 256.6 to 265.5 c/L258.6
- likely 255.6 to 267.4 c/L258.5
- likely 254.7 to 269.3 c/L258.4
- likely 253.6 to 271.1 c/L258.2
- likely 252.7 to 273.0 c/L258.1
- likely 252.7 to 273.0 c/L258.1
Warrnambool prices are typical right now
The city average of 260.3 c/L sits inside the usual range of 230.0 to 264.6 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 56% of the last 90 days.
Warrnambool P98 forecast explained
What usually happens next
From the top of the cycle, prices usually fall: the estimate is down about 2.2 c/L to 258.1 c/L by . The modelled next low is around 258.1 c/L on . After a market-wide move, the model restated the cycle at today's price level, so it does not expect a return to the earlier low.
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 13.7 c/L to 211.5 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 251.8 | Cycle paused | 250.0 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 254.1 | Cycle paused | 252.1 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 252.7 | Cycle paused | 250.7 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Perth | 242.5 (lowest) | Falling since its peak · 4 days since the 256.6 peak | 230.8 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 242.9 | Cycle paused | 240.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 267.7 | Cycle paused | 267.7 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Darwin | 275.3 | Cycle paused | 275.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Hobart | 264.0 | Cycle paused | 262.8 by Tue 17 Nov |
When is P98 cheapest in Warrnambool?
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the P98 weekday averages in Warrnambool were within 1.0 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| 90-day low | 224.3 c/LMon 17 Aug |
|---|---|
| Today against the 90-day low | +36.0 c/LCity average 260.3 c/L on Mon 9 Nov |
From 90 days of Warrnambool P98 city daily averages to Mon 9 Nov.
See the Warrnambool P98 forecast in the app
The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.06 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.23 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 523 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.72 | 0.75 | About the same as no change |
| 3 days ahead | 1.77 | 2.01 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.06 | 4.23 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 6.78 | 7.04 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Warrnambool forecast graphics for news
The Warrnambool P98 forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Warrnambool's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.7 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.9 c/L).
56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will P98 prices go down in Warrnambool?
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): P98 in Warrnambool is estimated to edge down about 2.2 c/L, to 258.1 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 252.7–273.0), from 260.3 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 5.3 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 5.7 c/L. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy P98 in Warrnambool?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Warrnambool over the last 11 full weeks to Sun 8 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 1.0 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P98 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. Each estimate shows its likely range. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day P98 forecasts for Warrnambool were off by 0.7 c/L on average over 56 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.9 c/L).
What were the lowest and highest P98 prices in Warrnambool in the last 90 days?
Since Wed 12 Aug, the Warrnambool P98 city daily average ranged from 224.3 c/L on Mon 17 Aug to 269.5 c/L on Wed 14 Oct. It was 260.3 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.
Will p98 prices go up tomorrow in Warrnambool?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Warrnambool estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 259.5 c/L, down 0.8 c/L on the 260.3 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Warrnambool missed by 0.7 c/L on average over 56 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
When will diesel prices go down in Warrnambool?
Diesel does not usually follow the petrol price cycle, so there is no regular low to wait for. The Warrnambool diesel city daily average was 278.3 c/L on Mon 9 Nov, down 6.5 c/L over 30 days. The national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L over the five days to Fri 6 Nov. FuelRadar names no date for a fall: the Warrnambool diesel forecast gives its day-by-day estimate and likely range.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report