Esperance U91 price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Esperance U91 averages 236.2 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 4.2 c/L to 232.0 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, WFG Shell Esperance OPT, is 231.9 c/L, 4.3 c/L under the average.
U91Outlook updated
Likely to fall
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may edge down about 4.2 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 4.0 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 4.5 c/L.FuelWatch official price for tomorrow,
236.2 c/L on today's city average
The average of the prices stations must charge for 24 hours from 6 am tomorrow, as published by FuelWatch. A published price, not a FuelRadar estimate.
Cheapest of 7 stations: 231.9 c/L at WFG Shell Esperance OPT · Updated
Lowest estimate: Mon 16 Nov, about 232.0 c/L (4.2 below today).
Alert me below 227.7Cheapest U91 in Esperance now
Updated
U91: last 30 days and the next 7
U91: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 246.8 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 236.2 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 232.0 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Esperance estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 236.2 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 233.8 to 238.4 c/L235.3
- likely 232.1 to 238.8 c/L234.3
- likely 230.9 to 240.0 c/L233.8
- likely 229.6 to 241.2 c/L233.2
- likely 228.4 to 242.4 c/L232.6
- likely 227.1 to 243.6 c/L232.0
- likely 227.1 to 243.6 c/L232.0
Esperance prices are typical right now
The city average of 238.2 c/L sits inside the usual range of 214.8 to 244.3 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 44% of the last 90 days.
Esperance U91 forecast explained
What usually happens next
Esperance has no regular price cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in its daily averages. That puts it down about 4.2 c/L by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 13.7 c/L to 211.5 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 225.8 | Cycle paused | 223.2 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 228.9 | Cycle paused | 226.8 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 227.6 | Cycle paused | 225.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Perth | 217.4 (lowest) | Falling since its peak · 4 days since the 231.4 peak | 205.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 219.4 | Cycle paused | 217.1 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 242.3 | Cycle paused | 242.3 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Darwin | 242.3 | Cycle paused | 241.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Hobart | 240.0 | Cycle paused | 240.0 by Tue 17 Nov |
When is fuel cheapest in Esperance?
Esperance has no regular price cycle: its U91 prices follow wholesale costs, so they tend to move a week or two after the terminal gate price.
On Fri 6 Nov the national terminal gate (wholesale) price was 211.5 c/L and the Esperance city average 241.9 c/L, 30.4 c/L above it.
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the U91 weekday averages in Esperance were within 0.6 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| Cheapest weekday | No set dayNo day led most of 11 full weeks |
|---|
Terminal gate prices published by the Australian Institute of Petroleum.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.09 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.28 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 326 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.67 | 0.72 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 1.85 | 1.99 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.09 | 4.28 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.29 | 7.73 | Closer than no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Tomorrow's FuelWatch price is a published price, not an estimate, so it is not counted here.
How we check accuracyEsperance forecast graphics for news
The Esperance U91 forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Esperance's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead. Tomorrow's figure is FuelWatch's official price, not an estimate, so the accuracy below does not count it.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.6 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.7 c/L).
56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will U91 prices go down in Esperance?
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): U91 in Esperance is estimated to edge down about 4.2 c/L, to 232.0 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 227.1–243.6), from 236.2 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 4.0 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 4.5 c/L. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy U91 in Esperance?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Esperance over the last 11 full weeks to Mon 9 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 0.6 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's U91 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. Each estimate shows its likely range. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day U91 forecasts for Esperance were off by 0.6 c/L on average over 56 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.7 c/L).
What were the lowest and highest U91 prices in Esperance in the last 90 days?
Since Wed 12 Aug, the Esperance U91 city daily average ranged from 205.6 c/L on Sat 15 Aug to 248.9 c/L on Sat 24 Oct. It was 238.2 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.
Will petrol prices go up tomorrow in Esperance?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Esperance estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 235.3 c/L, down 0.9 c/L on the 236.2 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Esperance missed by 0.6 c/L on average over 56 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
When will diesel prices go down in Esperance?
Diesel does not usually follow the petrol price cycle, so there is no regular low to wait for. The Esperance diesel city daily average was 270.4 c/L on Mon 9 Nov, down 9.0 c/L over 30 days. The national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L over the five days to Fri 6 Nov. FuelRadar names no date for a fall: the Esperance diesel forecast gives its day-by-day estimate and likely range.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report











