Esperance Diesel price forecast
As of Mon 9 Nov, Esperance diesel averages 270.4 c/L, and FuelRadar expects it to stay about the same over the next 7 days (estimate only). No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 8 full weeks; the cheapest station, WFG Shell Esperance OPT, is 261.9 c/L, 8.5 c/L under the average.
Diesel
About the same this week
Estimate only: expected to stay about the same over the next 7 days. Likely 261.9–278.9 c/L by Tue 17 Nov, from how far the average moved over 7 days in the last 90 days. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.1 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.3 c/L).Cheapest of 4 stations: 261.9 c/L at WFG Shell Esperance OPT · Updated
Alert me below 260.9Esperance prices are typical right now
The city average of 270.4 c/L sits inside the usual range of 251.4 to 279.2 c/L for the last 82 days. That is higher than on 48% of the last 82 days.
Esperance Diesel forecast explained
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L to 257.0 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 1.0% to US$93.70 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and where it sits in its price cycle; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 274.8 | No regular cycle | 273.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 273.9 | No regular cycle | 271.7 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 274.0 | No regular cycle | 272.3 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Perth | 267.3 | No regular cycle | 262.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 263.4 (lowest) | No regular cycle | 262.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 285.7 | No regular cycle | 285.0 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Darwin | 284.4 | No regular cycle | 283.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Hobart | 279.7 | No regular cycle | 277.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
When is Diesel cheapest in Esperance?
Esperance has no regular price cycle: its Diesel prices follow wholesale costs, so they tend to move a week or two after the terminal gate price.
On Fri 6 Nov the national terminal gate (wholesale) price was 257.0 c/L and the Esperance city average 276.6 c/L, 19.6 c/L above it.
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 8 full weeks to : the Diesel weekday averages in Esperance were within 0.6 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| Cheapest weekday | No set dayNo day led most of 8 full weeks |
|---|
Terminal gate prices published by the Australian Institute of Petroleum.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.09 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.28 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 326 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.67 | 0.72 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 1.85 | 1.99 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.09 | 4.28 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.29 | 7.73 | Closer than no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Esperance forecast graphics for news
The Esperance Diesel forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Esperance's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Forecast questions
When will Diesel prices go down in Esperance?
Estimate only: Diesel in Esperance is expected to stay about the same over the next 7 days (the latest city daily average, 270.4 c/L on Mon 9 Nov). Likely 261.9–278.9 c/L by Tue 17 Nov, from how far the average moved over 7 days in the last 90 days. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.1 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.3 c/L). Check current station prices before you fill.
What is the best day to buy Diesel in Esperance?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Esperance over the last 8 full weeks to Mon 9 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 0.6 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's Diesel price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't.
What were the lowest and highest Diesel prices in Esperance in the last 90 days?
Since Wed 12 Aug, the Esperance Diesel city daily average ranged from 240.9 c/L on Thu 13 Aug to 282.7 c/L on Fri 25 Sept. It was 270.4 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.
Will diesel prices go up tomorrow in Esperance?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Esperance estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 270.4 c/L, the same as the 270.4 c/L reported for Tue 10 Nov. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report











