Esperance P98 price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Esperance P98 averages 260.7 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 5.5 c/L to 255.2 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, WFG Shell Esperance OPT, is 251.9 c/L, 8.8 c/L under the average.
P98Outlook updated
Likely to fall
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may edge down about 5.5 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 3.3 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 4.3 c/L.FuelWatch official price for tomorrow,
260.7 c/L on today's city average
The average of the prices stations must charge for 24 hours from 6 am tomorrow, as published by FuelWatch. A published price, not a FuelRadar estimate.
Cheapest of 6 stations: 251.9 c/L at WFG Shell Esperance OPT · Updated
Lowest estimate: Mon 16 Nov, about 255.2 c/L (5.5 below today).
Alert me below 246.4Cheapest P98 in Esperance now
Updated
P98: last 30 days and the next 7
P98: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 267.3 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 260.7 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 255.2 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Esperance estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 260.7 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 258.9 to 262.9 c/L259.7
- likely 257.4 to 263.3 c/L258.6
- likely 256.1 to 264.0 c/L257.8
- likely 254.7 to 264.6 c/L256.9
- likely 253.2 to 265.2 c/L256.0
- likely 251.9 to 265.9 c/L255.2
- likely 251.9 to 266.2 c/L255.2
Esperance prices are typical right now
The city average of 261.7 c/L sits inside the usual range of 236.4 to 267.1 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 50% of the last 90 days.
Esperance P98 forecast explained
What usually happens next
Esperance has no regular price cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in its daily averages. That puts it down about 5.5 c/L by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 13.7 c/L to 211.5 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 251.8 | Cycle paused | 250.0 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 254.1 | Cycle paused | 252.1 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 252.7 | Cycle paused | 250.7 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Perth | 242.5 (lowest) | Falling since its peak · 4 days since the 256.6 peak | 230.8 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 242.9 | Cycle paused | 240.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 267.7 | Cycle paused | 267.7 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Darwin | 275.3 | Cycle paused | 275.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Hobart | 264.0 | Cycle paused | 262.8 by Tue 17 Nov |
When is P98 cheapest in Esperance?
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the P98 weekday averages in Esperance were within 0.7 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| 90-day low | 228.4 c/LSat 15 Aug |
|---|---|
| Today against the 90-day low | +33.3 c/LCity average 261.7 c/L on Mon 9 Nov |
From 90 days of Esperance P98 city daily averages to Mon 9 Nov.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.09 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.28 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 326 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.67 | 0.72 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 1.85 | 1.99 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.09 | 4.28 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.29 | 7.73 | Closer than no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Tomorrow's FuelWatch price is a published price, not an estimate, so it is not counted here.
How we check accuracyEsperance forecast graphics for news
The Esperance P98 forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Esperance's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead. Tomorrow's figure is FuelWatch's official price, not an estimate, so the accuracy below does not count it.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.6 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.7 c/L).
56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will P98 prices go down in Esperance?
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): P98 in Esperance is estimated to edge down about 5.5 c/L, to 255.2 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 251.9–266.2), from 260.7 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 3.3 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 4.3 c/L. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy P98 in Esperance?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Esperance over the last 11 full weeks to Mon 9 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 0.7 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P98 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. Each estimate shows its likely range. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day P98 forecasts for Esperance were off by 0.6 c/L on average over 56 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.7 c/L).
What were the lowest and highest P98 prices in Esperance in the last 90 days?
Since Wed 12 Aug, the Esperance P98 city daily average ranged from 228.4 c/L on Sat 15 Aug to 270.4 c/L on Sat 24 Oct. It was 261.7 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.
Will p98 prices go up tomorrow in Esperance?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Esperance estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 259.7 c/L, down 1.0 c/L on the 260.7 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Esperance missed by 0.6 c/L on average over 56 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
When will diesel prices go down in Esperance?
Diesel does not usually follow the petrol price cycle, so there is no regular low to wait for. The Esperance diesel city daily average was 270.4 c/L on Mon 9 Nov, down 9.0 c/L over 30 days. The national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L over the five days to Fri 6 Nov. FuelRadar names no date for a fall: the Esperance diesel forecast gives its day-by-day estimate and likely range.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report











