Esperance P98 price forecast

As of Tue 10 Nov, Esperance P98 averages 260.7 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 5.5 c/L to 255.2 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, WFG Shell Esperance OPT, is 251.9 c/L, 8.8 c/L under the average.

P98Outlook updated

Likely to fall

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may edge down about 5.5 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 3.3 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 4.3 c/L.

FuelWatch official price for tomorrow,

260.7 c/L on today's city average

The average of the prices stations must charge for 24 hours from 6 am tomorrow, as published by FuelWatch. A published price, not a FuelRadar estimate.

City average · 260.7 c/L
Last 7 days From 267.1 on Mon 2 Nov

Cheapest of 6 stations: 251.9 c/L at WFG Shell Esperance OPT · Updated

Lowest estimate: Mon 16 Nov, about 255.2 c/L (5.5 below today).

Alert me below 246.4

P98: last 30 days and the next 7

P98: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 267.3 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 260.7 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 255.2 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.

FuelWatch official price: 260.7 c/L on 10 Nov 2026. Confirmed by FuelWatch WA.

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

Reported city daily averageEstimate with likely rangeFuelWatch official price

Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Esperance estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.

Day by day

Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 260.7 c/L (dashed line).

  1. likely 258.9 to 262.9 c/L259.7
  2. likely 257.4 to 263.3 c/L258.6
  3. likely 256.1 to 264.0 c/L257.8
  4. likely 254.7 to 264.6 c/L256.9
  5. likely 253.2 to 265.2 c/L256.0
  6. likely 251.9 to 265.9 c/L255.2
  7. likely 251.9 to 266.2 c/L255.2

Esperance prices are typical right now

The city average of 261.7 c/L sits inside the usual range of 236.4 to 267.1 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 50% of the last 90 days.

Esperance P98 forecast explained

What usually happens next

Esperance has no regular price cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in its daily averages. That puts it down about 5.5 c/L by .

What could change it

Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 13.7 c/L to 211.5 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.

Capital cities

Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.

Capital cities
CapitalAverage (c/L)Price cycleCall
Sydney251.8Cycle paused250.0 by Tue 17 Nov
Melbourne254.1Cycle paused252.1 by Tue 17 Nov
Brisbane252.7Cycle paused250.7 by Tue 17 Nov
Perth242.5 (lowest)Falling since its peak · 4 days since the 256.6 peak230.8 by Tue 17 Nov
Adelaide242.9Cycle paused240.4 by Tue 17 Nov
Canberra267.7Cycle paused267.7 by Tue 17 Nov
Darwin275.3Cycle paused275.5 by Tue 17 Nov
Hobart264.0Cycle paused262.8 by Tue 17 Nov

When is P98 cheapest in Esperance?

No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the P98 weekday averages in Esperance were within 0.7 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.

When is P98 cheapest in Esperance?
90-day low228.4 c/LSat 15 Aug
Today against the 90-day low+33.3 c/LCity average 261.7 c/L on Mon 9 Nov

From 90 days of Esperance P98 city daily averages to Mon 9 Nov.

See tomorrow's P98 prices for Esperance in the app

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FuelRadar app Today screen with the fill-up call for Brisbane and the cheapest Unleaded 91 within 15 km
FuelRadar app fuel map with Unleaded 91 prices around Brisbane, each marked Cheap, Average or Pricey

App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.

How accurate is the forecast?

Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
4.09 c/L
"Prices stay the same"
4.28 c/L

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.

From 326 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.

Average miss by days ahead, beside assuming prices stay the same
AheadMissNo changeResult
Next day0.670.72Closer than no change
3 days ahead1.851.99Closer than no change
7 days ahead4.094.28About the same as no change
14 days ahead7.297.73Closer than no change
Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction.

Tomorrow's FuelWatch price is a published price, not an estimate, so it is not counted here.

How we check accuracy

Esperance forecast graphics for news

The Esperance P98 forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).

Get these as graphics:

Forecast board16:94:59:16

When to fill16:94:59:16

Free to use in news coverage with the credit "Source: FuelRadar". The media page has the dated addresses.

How we forecast

FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Esperance's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead. Tomorrow's figure is FuelWatch's official price, not an estimate, so the accuracy below does not count it.

Next-day estimates missed by 0.6 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.7 c/L).

56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov

Forecast test results

Forecast questions

When will P98 prices go down in Esperance?

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): P98 in Esperance is estimated to edge down about 5.5 c/L, to 255.2 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 251.9–266.2), from 260.7 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 3.3 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 4.3 c/L. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.

What is the best day to buy P98 in Esperance?

No weekday was consistently cheaper in Esperance over the last 11 full weeks to Mon 9 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 0.7 c/L of each other.

How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P98 price outlook?

Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. Each estimate shows its likely range. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day P98 forecasts for Esperance were off by 0.6 c/L on average over 56 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.7 c/L).

What were the lowest and highest P98 prices in Esperance in the last 90 days?

Since Wed 12 Aug, the Esperance P98 city daily average ranged from 228.4 c/L on Sat 15 Aug to 270.4 c/L on Sat 24 Oct. It was 261.7 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.

Will p98 prices go up tomorrow in Esperance?

Estimate only: FuelRadar's Esperance estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 259.7 c/L, down 1.0 c/L on the 260.7 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Esperance missed by 0.6 c/L on average over 56 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.

When will diesel prices go down in Esperance?

Diesel does not usually follow the petrol price cycle, so there is no regular low to wait for. The Esperance diesel city daily average was 270.4 c/L on Mon 9 Nov, down 9.0 c/L over 30 days. The national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L over the five days to Fri 6 Nov. FuelRadar names no date for a fall: the Esperance diesel forecast gives its day-by-day estimate and likely range.

How often is the outlook updated?

We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.

Fuel price reports

What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.