Esperance P95 price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Esperance P95 averages 235.3 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will rise about 1.4 c/L to 236.7 c/L by Tue 17 Nov.
P95
Likely to rise
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may edge up about 1.4 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L).Cheapest of 2 stations: 256.9 c/L at Ampol Foodary Esperance · Updated
No day in the next 7 is estimated below today's 235.3 c/L.
Alert me below 255.9Cheapest P95 in Esperance now
Updated
P95: last 30 days and the next 7
P95: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 235.3 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 236.7 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Perth estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded, shifted 14.6 c/L higher for Esperance's local prices.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 235.3 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 232.4 to 243.9 c/L237.2
- likely 232.3 to 250.9 c/L239.2
- Same as today (estimate)238.6
- Same as today (estimate)237.9
- Same as today (estimate)237.3
- Same as today (estimate)236.7
- Same as today (estimate)236.7
Esperance P95 forecast explained
What usually happens next
From the bottom of the cycle, prices usually climb: the estimate is up about 1.4 c/L to 236.7 c/L by . After a market-wide move, the model restated the cycle at today's price level, so it does not expect a return to the earlier low.
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 13.7 c/L to 211.5 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 1.0% to US$93.70 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 243.6 | Cycle paused | 241.8 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 245.6 | Cycle paused | 243.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 244.0 | Cycle paused | 242.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Perth | 234.0 (lowest) | Falling since its peak · 4 days since the 248.2 peak | 222.1 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 236.3 | Cycle paused | 234.0 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 260.9 | Cycle paused | 260.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Darwin | 258.0 | Cycle paused | 258.6 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Hobart | 256.5 | Cycle paused | 255.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
See tomorrow's P95 prices for Esperance in the app
WA's official next-day prices, your saved stations and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.55 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.70 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 50,257 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.87 | 0.97 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.08 | 2.37 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.55 | 4.70 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.89 | 8.00 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Perth forecast graphics for news
The Perth P95 forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Esperance's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 1.0 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (3.9 c/L).
30 days checked · 10 Oct to 8 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will P95 prices go down in Esperance?
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): P95 in Esperance is estimated to edge up about 1.4 c/L, to 236.7 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 225.4–251.3), from 235.3 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L). The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy P95 in Esperance?
There is no fixed best day for Esperance. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P95 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 10 Oct to 8 Nov our next-day P95 forecasts for Perth were off by 1.0 c/L on average over 30 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (3.9 c/L).
Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?
A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.
Will p95 prices go up tomorrow in Esperance?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Esperance estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 237.2 c/L, up 1.9 c/L on the 235.3 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Esperance missed by 1.0 c/L on average over 30 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
When will diesel prices go down in Esperance?
Diesel does not usually follow the petrol price cycle, so there is no regular low to wait for. The Esperance diesel city daily average was 270.4 c/L on Mon 9 Nov, down 9.0 c/L over 30 days. The national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L over the five days to Fri 6 Nov. FuelRadar names no date for a fall: the Esperance diesel forecast gives its day-by-day estimate and likely range.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report