Geraldton Diesel price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Geraldton diesel averages 262.4 c/L. Wait if you can: FuelRadar's forecast has prices lower by 16 Nov (yesterday's outlook). No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, Metro Geraldton, is 249.9 c/L, 12.5 c/L under the average.
DieselOutlook updated
Wait if you can
FuelRadar's forecast has prices lower by 16 Nov (yesterday's outlook)FuelWatch official price for tomorrow,
262.4 c/L on today's city average
The average of the prices stations must charge for 24 hours from 6 am tomorrow, as published by FuelWatch. A published price, not a FuelRadar estimate.
Cheapest of 13 stations: 249.9 c/L at Metro Geraldton · Updated
Lowest estimate: Thu 12 Nov, about 261.4 c/L (1.0 below today).
Alert me below 248.9Cheapest Diesel in Geraldton now
Updated
Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7
Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 274.4 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 262.4 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 261.7 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Geraldton estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 262.4 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 260.0 to 266.6 c/L261.9
- likely 258.8 to 268.6 c/L261.4
- likely 258.1 to 271.1 c/L261.4
- likely 257.6 to 273.7 c/L261.5
- likely 257.0 to 276.3 c/L261.6
- likely 256.5 to 278.9 c/L261.7
- likely 256.5 to 278.9 c/L261.7
Geraldton prices are typical right now
The city average of 267.5 c/L sits inside the usual range of 250.4 to 273.8 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 43% of the last 90 days.
Geraldton Diesel forecast explained
What usually happens next
Diesel prices do not follow a regular cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in Geraldton's daily averages. That puts it down about 0.7 c/L by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L to 257.0 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 274.8 | No regular cycle | 273.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 273.9 | No regular cycle | 271.7 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 274.0 | No regular cycle | 272.3 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Perth | 267.3 | No regular cycle | 262.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 263.4 (lowest) | No regular cycle | 262.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 285.7 | No regular cycle | 285.0 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Darwin | 284.4 | No regular cycle | 283.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Hobart | 279.7 | No regular cycle | 277.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
When is Diesel cheapest in Geraldton?
Geraldton has no regular price cycle: its Diesel prices follow wholesale costs, so they tend to move a week or two after the terminal gate price.
On Fri 6 Nov the national terminal gate (wholesale) price was 257.0 c/L and the Geraldton city average 269.6 c/L, 12.6 c/L above it.
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the Diesel weekday averages in Geraldton were within 0.6 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| Cheapest weekday | No set dayNo day led most of 11 full weeks |
|---|
Terminal gate prices published by the Australian Institute of Petroleum.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.11 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.15 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 446 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.64 | 0.75 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 1.69 | 2.03 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.11 | 4.15 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.30 | 7.37 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Tomorrow's FuelWatch price is a published price, not an estimate, so it is not counted here.
How we check accuracyGeraldton forecast graphics for news
The Geraldton Diesel forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Geraldton's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead. Tomorrow's figure is FuelWatch's official price, not an estimate, so the accuracy below does not count it.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.7 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.9 c/L).
56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will Diesel prices go down in Geraldton?
Wait if you can (yesterday's outlook): Diesel in Geraldton is estimated to edge down about 0.7 c/L, to 261.7 c/L by Mon 16 Nov (likely 256.5–278.9), from 262.4 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy Diesel in Geraldton?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Geraldton over the last 11 full weeks to Mon 9 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 0.6 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's Diesel price outlook?
Accurate enough for tomorrow's call. Further out it is an estimate, and the range widens with each day. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day Diesel forecasts for Geraldton were off by 0.7 c/L on average over 56 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.9 c/L).
What were the lowest and highest Diesel prices in Geraldton in the last 90 days?
Since Wed 12 Aug, the Geraldton Diesel city daily average ranged from 241.0 c/L on Fri 14 Aug to 279.8 c/L on Sat 26 Sept. It was 267.5 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.
Will diesel prices go up tomorrow in Geraldton?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Geraldton estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 261.9 c/L, down 0.5 c/L on the 262.4 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Geraldton missed by 0.7 c/L on average over 56 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report












