Geraldton Premium diesel price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Geraldton premium diesel averages 269.0 c/L. Wait if you can: FuelRadar's forecast has prices lower by 16 Nov (yesterday's outlook). No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, Atlas Fuel Geraldton, is 264.9 c/L, 4.1 c/L under the average.
Premium dieselOutlook updated
Wait if you can
FuelRadar's forecast has prices lower by 16 Nov (yesterday's outlook)FuelWatch official price for tomorrow,
269.0 c/L on today's city average
The average of the prices stations must charge for 24 hours from 6 am tomorrow, as published by FuelWatch. A published price, not a FuelRadar estimate.
Cheapest of 10 stations: 264.9 c/L at Atlas Fuel Geraldton · Updated
Lowest estimate: Thu 12 Nov, about 267.7 c/L (1.3 below today).
Alert me below 263.6Cheapest Premium diesel in Geraldton now
Updated
Premium diesel: last 30 days and the next 7
Premium diesel: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 278.0 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 269.0 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 268.1 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Geraldton estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 269.0 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 266.4 to 273.7 c/L268.3
- likely 264.9 to 275.9 c/L267.7
- likely 264.4 to 278.9 c/L267.8
- likely 264.0 to 281.9 c/L267.9
- likely 263.5 to 284.9 c/L268.0
- likely 263.0 to 287.9 c/L268.1
- likely 263.0 to 287.9 c/L268.1
Geraldton prices are typical right now
The city average of 271.8 c/L sits inside the usual range of 253.8 to 278.0 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 41% of the last 90 days.
Geraldton Premium diesel forecast explained
What usually happens next
Premium diesel prices do not follow a regular cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in Geraldton's daily averages. That puts it down about 0.9 c/L by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L to 257.0 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 275.7 | No regular cycle | 275.7 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 276.5 | No regular cycle | 273.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 278.0 | No regular cycle | 275.8 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Perth | 274.1 | No regular cycle | 270.3 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 267.7 (lowest) | No regular cycle | 265.0 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 285.0 | No regular cycle | 286.6 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Darwin | 287.9 | No regular cycle | About the same |
| Hobart | 283.8 | No regular cycle | 281.1 by Tue 17 Nov |
When is Premium diesel cheapest in Geraldton?
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the Premium diesel weekday averages in Geraldton were within 0.6 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| 90-day low | 244.3 c/LSat 15 Aug |
|---|---|
| Today against the 90-day low | +27.5 c/LCity average 271.8 c/L on Mon 9 Nov |
From 90 days of Geraldton Premium diesel city daily averages to Mon 9 Nov.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.11 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.15 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 446 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.64 | 0.75 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 1.69 | 2.03 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.11 | 4.15 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.30 | 7.37 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Tomorrow's FuelWatch price is a published price, not an estimate, so it is not counted here.
How we check accuracyHow we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Geraldton's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead. Tomorrow's figure is FuelWatch's official price, not an estimate, so the accuracy below does not count it.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.9 c/L on average, further off than assuming prices stay the same (0.8 c/L).
56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will Premium diesel prices go down in Geraldton?
Wait if you can (yesterday's outlook): Premium diesel in Geraldton is estimated to edge down about 0.9 c/L, to 268.1 c/L by Mon 16 Nov (likely 263.0–287.9), from 269.0 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy Premium diesel in Geraldton?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Geraldton over the last 11 full weeks to Mon 9 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 0.6 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's Premium diesel price outlook?
Accurate enough for tomorrow's call. Further out it is an estimate, and the range widens with each day. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day Premium diesel forecasts for Geraldton were off by 0.9 c/L on average over 56 days checked. Assuming prices wouldn't move was closer (0.8 c/L).
What were the lowest and highest Premium diesel prices in Geraldton in the last 90 days?
Since Wed 12 Aug, the Geraldton Premium diesel city daily average ranged from 244.3 c/L on Sat 15 Aug to 284.4 c/L on Sat 26 Sept. It was 271.8 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.
Will premium diesel prices go up tomorrow in Geraldton?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Geraldton estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 268.3 c/L, down 0.7 c/L on the 269.0 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Geraldton missed by 0.9 c/L on average over 56 days checked, further off than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report











