Orana Diesel price forecast

As of Tue 10 Nov, Orana diesel averages 267.4 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 1.7 c/L to 265.7 c/L by Tue 17 Nov.

Diesel

Likely to fall

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may edge down about 1.7 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.9 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (5.0 c/L).
City average (estimate) · 267.4 c/L
Expected by 265.7 c/L

Lowest estimate: Mon 16 Nov, about 265.7 c/L (1.7 below today).

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Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7

Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 267.4 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 265.7 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

Shaded area shows the estimated range.

Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Albany estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded, shifted 3.2 c/L higher for Orana's local prices.

Day by day

Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 267.4 c/L (dashed line).

  1. likely 265.0 to 271.9 c/L266.9
  2. likely 263.6 to 274.4 c/L266.5
  3. likely 262.6 to 277.0 c/L266.3
  4. likely 261.7 to 279.7 c/L266.1
  5. likely 260.8 to 282.3 c/L265.9
  6. likely 259.9 to 284.9 c/L265.7
  7. likely 259.9 to 284.9 c/L265.7
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Orana Diesel forecast explained

Where prices sit

Orana uses the Albany Diesel outlook, adjusted by 3.2 c/L for Orana's own price history.

What usually happens next

Diesel prices do not follow a regular cycle, and its average has moved little recently, so the estimate stays close to today's price.

What could change it

Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L to 257.0 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 1.0% to US$93.70 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.

Capital cities

Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.

Capital cities
CapitalAverage (c/L)Price cycleCall
Sydney274.8No regular cycle273.9 by Tue 17 Nov
Melbourne273.9No regular cycle271.7 by Tue 17 Nov
Brisbane274.0No regular cycle272.3 by Tue 17 Nov
Perth267.3No regular cycle262.9 by Tue 17 Nov
Adelaide263.4 (lowest)No regular cycle262.9 by Tue 17 Nov
Canberra285.7No regular cycle285.0 by Tue 17 Nov
Darwin284.4No regular cycle283.9 by Tue 17 Nov
Hobart279.7No regular cycle277.5 by Tue 17 Nov

See tomorrow's Diesel prices for Orana in the app

WA's official next-day prices, your saved stations and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.

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FuelRadar app Today screen with the fill-up call for Brisbane and the cheapest Unleaded 91 within 15 km
FuelRadar app fuel map with Unleaded 91 prices around Brisbane, each marked Cheap, Average or Pricey

App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.

How accurate is the forecast?

Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
4.89 c/L
"Prices stay the same"
5.02 c/L

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.

From 448 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.

Average miss by days ahead, beside assuming prices stay the same
AheadMissNo changeResult
Next day0.660.89Closer than no change
3 days ahead1.952.42Closer than no change
7 days ahead4.895.02About the same as no change
14 days ahead8.057.77About the same as no change
Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction.
How we check accuracy

How we forecast

FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Albany's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. Based on the Albany Diesel outlook, adjusted by 3.2 c/L using local price history. The likely range widens with each day ahead.

Next-day estimates missed by 0.3 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.3 c/L).

30 days checked · 10 Oct to 8 Nov

Forecast test results

Forecast questions

When will Diesel prices go down in Orana?

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): Diesel in Orana is estimated to edge down about 1.7 c/L, to 265.7 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 259.9–284.9), from 267.4 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.9 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (5.0 c/L). The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.

What is the best day to buy Diesel in Orana?

There is no fixed best day for Orana. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.

How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's Diesel price outlook?

Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 10 Oct to 8 Nov our next-day Diesel forecasts for Albany were off by 0.3 c/L on average over 30 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.3 c/L).

Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?

A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.

How often is the outlook updated?

We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.