Orana P98 price forecast

As of Tue 10 Nov, Orana P98 averages 247.6 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 1.0 c/L to 246.6 c/L by Tue 17 Nov.

P98

Likely to fall

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may edge down about 1.0 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.9 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (5.0 c/L).
City average (estimate) · 247.6 c/L
Expected by 246.6 c/L

Lowest estimate: Thu 12 Nov, about 246.0 c/L (1.6 below today).

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P98: last 30 days and the next 7

P98: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 247.6 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 246.6 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

Shaded area shows the estimated range.

Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Albany estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded, shifted 3.4 c/L lower for Orana's local prices.

Day by day

Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 247.6 c/L (dashed line).

  1. likely 245.2 to 250.5 c/L246.8
  2. likely 243.6 to 251.6 c/L246.0
  3. likely 242.8 to 253.7 c/L246.1
  4. likely 242.2 to 255.8 c/L246.3
  5. likely 241.5 to 257.9 c/L246.5
  6. likely 240.8 to 259.9 c/L246.6
  7. likely 240.8 to 259.9 c/L246.6
Download today and the next 7 days (CSV)

Orana P98 forecast explained

Where prices sit

Orana uses the Albany P98 outlook, adjusted by -3.4 c/L for Orana's own price history.

What usually happens next

Albany has no regular price cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in its daily averages. That puts it down about 1.0 c/L by .

What could change it

Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 13.7 c/L to 211.5 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 1.0% to US$93.70 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.

Capital cities

Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.

Capital cities
CapitalAverage (c/L)Price cycleCall
Sydney251.8Cycle paused250.0 by Tue 17 Nov
Melbourne254.1Cycle paused252.1 by Tue 17 Nov
Brisbane252.7Cycle paused250.7 by Tue 17 Nov
Perth242.5 (lowest)Falling since its peak · 4 days since the 256.6 peak230.8 by Tue 17 Nov
Adelaide242.9Cycle paused240.4 by Tue 17 Nov
Canberra267.7Cycle paused267.7 by Tue 17 Nov
Darwin275.3Cycle paused275.5 by Tue 17 Nov
Hobart264.0Cycle paused262.8 by Tue 17 Nov

See tomorrow's P98 prices for Orana in the app

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FuelRadar app Today screen with the fill-up call for Brisbane and the cheapest Unleaded 91 within 15 km
FuelRadar app fuel map with Unleaded 91 prices around Brisbane, each marked Cheap, Average or Pricey

App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.

How accurate is the forecast?

Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
4.89 c/L
"Prices stay the same"
5.02 c/L

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.

From 448 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.

Average miss by days ahead, beside assuming prices stay the same
AheadMissNo changeResult
Next day0.660.89Closer than no change
3 days ahead1.952.42Closer than no change
7 days ahead4.895.02About the same as no change
14 days ahead8.057.77About the same as no change
Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction.
How we check accuracy

How we forecast

FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Albany's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. Based on the Albany P98 outlook, adjusted by -3.4 c/L using local price history. The likely range widens with each day ahead.

Next-day estimates missed by 0.5 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.6 c/L).

30 days checked · 10 Oct to 8 Nov

Forecast test results

Forecast questions

When will P98 prices go down in Orana?

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): P98 in Orana is estimated to edge down about 1.0 c/L, to 246.6 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 240.8–259.9), from 247.6 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.9 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (5.0 c/L). The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.

What is the best day to buy P98 in Orana?

There is no fixed best day for Orana. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.

How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P98 price outlook?

Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 10 Oct to 8 Nov our next-day P98 forecasts for Albany were off by 0.5 c/L on average over 30 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.6 c/L).

Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?

A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.

How often is the outlook updated?

We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.