Blue Mountains P98 price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Blue Mountains P98 averages 263.9 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 2.6 c/L to 261.3 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, Shell Reddy Express Lawson, is 252.9 c/L, 11.0 c/L under the average.
P98Outlook updated
Likely to fall
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may edge down about 2.6 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 5.6 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 5.7 c/L.Cheapest of 4 stations: 252.9 c/L at Shell Reddy Express Lawson · Updated
Lowest estimate: Mon 16 Nov, about 261.3 c/L (2.6 below today).
Alert me below 250.3P98: last 30 days and the next 7
P98: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 271.9 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 263.9 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 261.3 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Blue Mountains estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 263.9 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 259.7 to 269.5 c/L263.2
- likely 256.7 to 272.0 c/L262.6
- likely 255.8 to 275.0 c/L262.2
- likely 255.0 to 278.0 c/L261.9
- likely 254.3 to 281.1 c/L261.6
- likely 253.5 to 284.2 c/L261.3
- likely 253.5 to 284.2 c/L261.3
Blue Mountains prices are typical right now
The city average of 263.9 c/L sits inside the usual range of 238.7 to 271.4 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 41% of the last 90 days.
Blue Mountains P98 forecast explained
What usually happens next
Blue Mountains has no regular price cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in its daily averages. That puts it down about 2.6 c/L by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 13.7 c/L to 211.5 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 251.8 | Cycle paused | 250.0 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 254.1 | Cycle paused | 252.1 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 252.7 | Cycle paused | 250.7 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Perth | 242.5 (lowest) | Falling since its peak · 4 days since the 256.6 peak | 230.8 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 242.9 | Cycle paused | 240.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 267.7 | Cycle paused | 267.7 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Darwin | 275.3 | Cycle paused | 275.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Hobart | 264.0 | Cycle paused | 262.8 by Tue 17 Nov |
When is P98 cheapest in Blue Mountains?
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the P98 weekday averages in Blue Mountains were within 2.4 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| 90-day low | 227.7 c/LSun 16 Aug |
|---|---|
| Today against the 90-day low | +36.2 c/LCity average 263.9 c/L on Mon 9 Nov |
From 90 days of Blue Mountains P98 city daily averages to Mon 9 Nov.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 5.52 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 5.24 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 444 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 1.45 | 1.47 | About the same as no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.99 | 3.16 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 5.52 | 5.24 | Further off than no change |
| 14 days ahead | 8.42 | 8.04 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Blue Mountains forecast graphics for news
The Blue Mountains P98 forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Blue Mountains's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 1.3 c/L on average, no better than assuming prices stay the same (1.3 c/L).
56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will P98 prices go down in Blue Mountains?
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): P98 in Blue Mountains is estimated to edge down about 2.6 c/L, to 261.3 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 253.5–284.2), from 263.9 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 5.6 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 5.7 c/L. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy P98 in Blue Mountains?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Blue Mountains over the last 11 full weeks to Sun 8 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 2.4 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P98 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. Each estimate shows its likely range. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day P98 forecasts for Blue Mountains were off by 1.3 c/L on average over 56 days checked. Assuming prices wouldn't move was just as close.
What were the lowest and highest P98 prices in Blue Mountains in the last 90 days?
Since Wed 12 Aug, the Blue Mountains P98 city daily average ranged from 227.7 c/L on Sun 16 Aug to 274.9 c/L on Wed 4 Nov. It was 263.9 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.
Will p98 prices go up tomorrow in Blue Mountains?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Blue Mountains estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 263.2 c/L, down 0.7 c/L on the 263.9 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Blue Mountains missed by 1.3 c/L on average over 56 days checked, about the same as assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report










