Blue Mountains P95 price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Blue Mountains P95 averages 253.6 c/L, and FuelRadar expects little change by Tue 17 Nov (estimate 253.3 c/L). No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, Shell Reddy Express Lawson, is 245.4 c/L, 8.2 c/L under the average.
P95Outlook updated
Likely steady
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): little change expected by Tue 17 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 5.2 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 5.4 c/L.Cheapest of 4 stations: 245.4 c/L at Shell Reddy Express Lawson · Updated
Lowest estimate: Thu 12 Nov, about 252.8 c/L (0.8 below today).
Alert me below 244.4
P95: last 30 days and the next 7
P95: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 262.7 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 253.6 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 253.3 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Blue Mountains estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 253.6 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 250.5 to 258.6 c/L253.2
- likely 248.9 to 260.6 c/L252.8
- likely 248.3 to 263.3 c/L252.9
- likely 247.8 to 265.9 c/L253.0
- likely 247.4 to 268.6 c/L253.2
- likely 246.9 to 271.2 c/L253.3
- likely 246.2 to 271.2 c/L253.3
Blue Mountains prices are typical right now
The city average of 254.5 c/L sits inside the usual range of 228.8 to 261.9 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 42% of the last 90 days.
Blue Mountains P95 forecast explained
What usually happens next
Blue Mountains has no regular price cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in its daily averages. That leaves it about level by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 13.7 c/L to 211.5 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 243.6 | Cycle paused | 241.8 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 245.6 | Cycle paused | 243.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 244.0 | Cycle paused | 242.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Perth | 234.0 (lowest) | Falling since its peak · 4 days since the 248.2 peak | 222.1 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 236.3 | Cycle paused | 234.0 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 260.9 | Cycle paused | 260.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Darwin | 258.0 | Cycle paused | 258.6 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Hobart | 256.5 | Cycle paused | 255.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
When is P95 cheapest in Blue Mountains?
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the P95 weekday averages in Blue Mountains were within 1.4 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| 90-day low | 218.5 c/LSun 16 Aug |
|---|---|
| Today against the 90-day low | +36.0 c/LCity average 254.5 c/L on Mon 9 Nov |
From 90 days of Blue Mountains P95 city daily averages to Mon 9 Nov.
See the Blue Mountains P95 forecast in the app
The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 5.52 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 5.24 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 444 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 1.45 | 1.47 | About the same as no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.99 | 3.16 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 5.52 | 5.24 | Further off than no change |
| 14 days ahead | 8.42 | 8.04 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Blue Mountains forecast graphics for news
The Blue Mountains P95 forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Blue Mountains's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 1.1 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (1.2 c/L).
56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will P95 prices go down in Blue Mountains?
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): P95 in Blue Mountains is estimated to edge down about 0.3 c/L, to 253.3 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 246.2–271.2), from 253.6 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 5.2 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 5.4 c/L. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy P95 in Blue Mountains?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Blue Mountains over the last 11 full weeks to Sun 8 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 1.4 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P95 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. Each estimate shows its likely range. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day P95 forecasts for Blue Mountains were off by 1.1 c/L on average over 56 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (1.2 c/L).
What were the lowest and highest P95 prices in Blue Mountains in the last 90 days?
Since Wed 12 Aug, the Blue Mountains P95 city daily average ranged from 218.5 c/L on Sun 16 Aug to 265.0 c/L on Tue 3 Nov. It was 254.5 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.
Will p95 prices go up tomorrow in Blue Mountains?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Blue Mountains estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 253.2 c/L, down 0.4 c/L on the 253.6 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Blue Mountains missed by 1.1 c/L on average over 56 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report