Newcastle Diesel price forecast
As of Sun 15 Nov, Newcastle diesel averages 264.4 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 4.2 c/L to 260.2 c/L by Sun 22 Nov.
DieselOutlook updated
More fuels (1)
Likely to fall
Estimate only: prices may edge down about 4.2 c/L by Sun 22 Nov.
- Last 7 days
- Down 8.7 c/L
- Chance of a 5 c/L+ rise in 3 days
- 19%
- Typical miss, a week ahead
- 4.3 c/L(no change: 4.7)
Newcastle prices are typical right now
Cheaper than on 66% of the last 91 days. Usual range 250.0 to 280.7 c/L.
Alert me
- At a priceAlert me below 255.3Get a price alert in the FuelRadar app.
- Follow Newcastle by emailFollow NewcastleFree email when prices start rising
Capital cities
City averages, Sun 15 Nov.
See the Newcastle Diesel forecast in the app
The 7-day Newcastle forecast, updated each day, and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
Questions about the Newcastle forecast
Newcastle Diesel forecast explained
What usually happens next
Diesel prices do not follow a regular cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in Newcastle's daily averages, blended with the latest five-day change in wholesale prices. That puts it down about 4.2 c/L by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale diesel price fell 9.9 c/L to 247.1 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude rose 3.5% to US$95.84 a barrel. The estimate already blends in that wholesale change.
What is the Diesel estimate each day, and can I download it?
Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7
Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 278.5 c/L on 17 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 264.4 c/L on 15 Nov 2026 to 260.2 c/L on 22 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Sun 15 Nov, then the FuelRadar Newcastle estimate dated Sun 15 Nov with its likely range shaded.
First lower estimate: Mon 16 Nov, about 263.8 c/L (0.6 below today).
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 264.4 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 262.5 to 265.5 c/L263.8
- likely 260.1 to 267.1 c/L262.5
- likely 257.8 to 268.7 c/L261.3
- likely 256.6 to 271.6 c/L261.0
- likely 255.5 to 274.5 c/L260.7
- likely 254.5 to 277.5 c/L260.5
- likely 253.4 to 280.3 c/L260.2
When is fuel cheapest in Newcastle?
Newcastle has no regular price cycle: its Diesel prices follow wholesale costs, so they tend to move a week or two after the terminal gate price.
On Fri 13 Nov the national terminal gate (wholesale) price was 247.1 c/L and the Newcastle city average 267.3 c/L, 20.2 c/L above it.
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the Diesel weekday averages in Newcastle were within 0.4 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| Cheapest weekday | No set dayNo day led most of 11 full weeks |
|---|
Terminal gate prices published by the Australian Institute of Petroleum.
How Newcastle compares
On Sun 15 Nov Newcastle's Diesel city average was 2.7 c/L below Sydney's. It is 5.5 c/L below the New South Wales average and 6.1 c/L below the Australia average of current station reports. Newcastle's city daily average was 279.7 c/L in October, 12.2 c/L higher than in September. Newcastle averaged 240.1 c/L for U91 in October 2026, the 40th cheapest of the 182 New South Wales towns we ranked and 1.7 c/L above Sydney.
| Area | Diesel average (c/L) |
|---|---|
| NewcastleCity daily average, Sun 15 Nov | 264.4 |
| SydneyCity daily average, Sun 15 Nov | 267.1 |
| New South Wales1,058 current station reports | 269.9 |
| Australia4,330 current station reports | 270.5 |
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.30 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.68 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Over 551 week-ahead checks the forecast missed by less than assuming prices stay the same.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.73 | 0.88 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 1.79 | 2.26 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.30 | 4.68 | Closer than no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.66 | 7.86 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Newcastle forecast graphics for news
How does FuelRadar make the forecast?
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Newcastle's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.6 c/L on average over the 56 days to 15 Nov, about the same as assuming prices stay the same (0.5 c/L).
56 days checked · 21 Sept to 15 Nov
Forecast test resultsFuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report
Forecast questions
When will Diesel prices go down in Newcastle?
Likely to fall: Diesel in Newcastle is estimated to edge down about 3.9 c/L, to 260.5 c/L by Sat 21 Nov (likely 254.5–277.5), from 264.4 c/L reported Sun 15 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy Diesel in Newcastle?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Newcastle over the last 11 full weeks to Sat 14 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 0.4 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's Diesel price outlook?
Accurate enough for tomorrow's call. Further out it is an estimate, and the range widens with each day. From 21 Sept to 15 Nov our next-day Diesel forecasts for Newcastle were off by 0.6 c/L on average over 56 days checked. Assuming prices wouldn't move was just as close.
What were the lowest and highest Diesel prices in Newcastle in the last 90 days?
Since Mon 17 Aug, the Newcastle Diesel city daily average ranged from 236.8 c/L on Mon 17 Aug to 286.0 c/L on Thu 24 Sept. It was 264.4 c/L on Sun 15 Nov.
Will diesel prices go up tomorrow in Newcastle?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Newcastle estimate for Mon 16 Nov is 263.8 c/L, down 0.6 c/L on the 264.4 c/L reported for Sun 15 Nov. Next-day estimates for Newcastle missed by 0.6 c/L on average over 56 days checked, about the same as assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you buy.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map.