Newcastle E10 price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Newcastle E10 averages 230.2 c/L. Wait if you can: FuelRadar's forecast has prices lower by 16 Nov (yesterday's outlook). No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, Metro Petroleum West Wallsend, is 222.5 c/L, 7.7 c/L under the average.
E10Outlook updated
Wait if you can
FuelRadar's forecast has prices lower by 16 Nov (yesterday's outlook)Cheapest of 76 stations: 222.5 c/L at Metro Petroleum West Wallsend · Updated
Lowest estimate: Thu 12 Nov, about 228.6 c/L (1.6 below today).
Chance of a rise of 5 c/L or more within 3 days: 16%
Alert me below 220.9Cheapest E10 in Newcastle now
Updated
E10: last 30 days and the next 7
E10: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 240.5 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 230.2 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 229.3 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Newcastle estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 230.2 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 227.1 to 234.0 c/L229.4
- likely 225.1 to 235.8 c/L228.6
- likely 224.3 to 238.6 c/L228.8
- likely 223.6 to 241.3 c/L229.0
- likely 222.7 to 243.9 c/L229.1
- likely 222.0 to 246.7 c/L229.3
- likely 222.0 to 246.7 c/L229.3
Newcastle prices are typical right now
The city average of 231.2 c/L sits inside the usual range of 201.7 to 238.0 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 42% of the last 90 days.
Newcastle E10 forecast explained
What usually happens next
Following Newcastle's price cycle, prices usually fall: the estimate is down about 0.9 c/L to 229.3 c/L by . The modelled next low is around 228.6 c/L on . After a market-wide move, the model restated the cycle at today's price level, so it does not expect a return to the earlier low.
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 13.7 c/L to 211.5 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 224.3 | Cycle paused | 222.4 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 224.6 | Cycle paused | 222.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 224.6 | Cycle paused | 222.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 214.5 (lowest) | Cycle paused | 212.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 240.5 | Cycle paused | 240.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Hobart | 229.9 | Cycle paused | 229.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
When is E10 cheapest in Newcastle?
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the E10 weekday averages in Newcastle were within 0.5 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| 90-day low | 192.9 c/LSun 16 Aug |
|---|---|
| Today against the 90-day low | +38.3 c/LCity average 231.2 c/L on Mon 9 Nov |
From 90 days of Newcastle E10 city daily averages to Mon 9 Nov.
See the Newcastle E10 forecast in the app
The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.12 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.44 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Over 509 week-ahead checks the forecast missed by less than assuming prices stay the same.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.73 | 0.86 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 1.79 | 2.17 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.12 | 4.44 | Closer than no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.61 | 7.82 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Newcastle forecast graphics for news
The Newcastle E10 forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Newcastle's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.9 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (1.0 c/L).
56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will E10 prices go down in Newcastle?
Wait if you can (yesterday's outlook): E10 in Newcastle is estimated to edge down about 0.9 c/L, to 229.3 c/L by Mon 16 Nov (likely 222.0–246.7), from 230.2 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy E10 in Newcastle?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Newcastle over the last 11 full weeks to Sun 8 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 0.5 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's E10 price outlook?
Accurate enough for tomorrow's call. Further out it is an estimate, and the range widens with each day. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day E10 forecasts for Newcastle were off by 0.9 c/L on average over 56 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (1.0 c/L).
What were the lowest and highest E10 prices in Newcastle in the last 90 days?
Since Wed 12 Aug, the Newcastle E10 city daily average ranged from 192.9 c/L on Sun 16 Aug to 242.9 c/L on Wed 14 Oct. It was 231.2 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.
Will e10 prices go up tomorrow in Newcastle?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Newcastle estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 229.4 c/L, down 0.8 c/L on the 230.2 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Newcastle missed by 0.9 c/L on average over 56 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
When will diesel prices go down in Newcastle?
Diesel does not usually follow the petrol price cycle, so there is no regular low to wait for. The Newcastle diesel city daily average was 273.1 c/L on Mon 9 Nov, down 8.3 c/L over 30 days. The national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L over the five days to Fri 6 Nov. FuelRadar names no date for a fall: the Newcastle diesel forecast gives its day-by-day estimate and likely range.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report