Newcastle Premium diesel price forecast
As of Sun 15 Nov, Newcastle premium diesel averages 270.2 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 2.9 c/L to 267.3 c/L by Sun 22 Nov.
Premium dieselOutlook updated
Likely to fall
Estimate only: prices may edge down about 2.9 c/L by Sun 22 Nov.
- Last 7 days
- Down 9.6 c/L
- Chance of a 5 c/L+ rise in 3 days
- 7%
- Typical miss, a week ahead
- 4.3 c/L(no change: 4.7)
Newcastle prices are typical right now
Cheaper than on 67% of the last 91 days. Usual range 255.4 to 285.7 c/L.
Alert me
- At a priceAlert me below 255.7Get a price alert in the FuelRadar app.
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Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices.
See the Newcastle Premium diesel forecast in the app
The 7-day Newcastle forecast, updated each day, and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
Questions about the Newcastle forecast
Newcastle Premium diesel forecast explained
What usually happens next
Premium diesel prices do not follow a regular cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in Newcastle's daily averages, blended with the latest five-day change in wholesale prices. That puts it down about 2.9 c/L by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale diesel price fell 9.9 c/L to 247.1 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude rose 3.5% to US$95.84 a barrel. The estimate already blends in that wholesale change.
What is the Premium diesel estimate each day, and can I download it?
Premium diesel: last 30 days and the next 7
Premium diesel: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 283.9 c/L on 17 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 270.2 c/L on 15 Nov 2026 to 267.3 c/L on 22 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Sun 15 Nov, then the FuelRadar Newcastle estimate dated Sun 15 Nov with its likely range shaded.
Lowest estimate: Wed 18 Nov, about 267.2 c/L (3.0 below today).
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 270.2 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 268.3 to 270.9 c/L269.2
- likely 265.4 to 271.6 c/L268.2
- likely 262.4 to 272.4 c/L267.2
- likely 261.1 to 276.1 c/L267.2
- likely 259.8 to 279.9 c/L267.2
- likely 258.6 to 283.7 c/L267.3
- likely 257.3 to 287.5 c/L267.3
When is fuel cheapest in Newcastle?
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the Premium diesel weekday averages in Newcastle were within 0.5 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| 90-day low | 240.9 c/LMon 17 Aug |
|---|---|
| Today against the 90-day low | 29.3 c/L overCity average 270.2 c/L on Sun 15 Nov |
From 91 days of Newcastle Premium diesel city daily averages to Sun 15 Nov.
How Newcastle compares
On Sun 15 Nov Newcastle's Premium diesel city average was 2.5 c/L above Sydney's. It is 0.6 c/L above the New South Wales average and 1.8 c/L above the Australia average of current station reports. Newcastle's city daily average was 285.0 c/L in October, 11.3 c/L higher than in September. Newcastle averaged 240.1 c/L for U91 in October 2026, the 40th cheapest of the 182 New South Wales towns we ranked and 1.7 c/L above Sydney.
| Area | Premium diesel average (c/L) |
|---|---|
| NewcastleCity daily average, Sun 15 Nov | 270.2 |
| SydneyCity daily average, Sun 15 Nov | 267.7 |
| New South Wales1,367 current station reports | 269.6 |
| Australia4,252 current station reports | 268.4 |
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.30 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.68 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Over 551 week-ahead checks the forecast missed by less than assuming prices stay the same.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.73 | 0.88 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 1.79 | 2.26 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.30 | 4.68 | Closer than no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.66 | 7.86 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
How does FuelRadar make the forecast?
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Newcastle's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.5 c/L on average over the 56 days to 15 Nov, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.6 c/L).
56 days checked · 21 Sept to 15 Nov
Forecast test resultsFuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report
Forecast questions
When will Premium diesel prices go down in Newcastle?
Likely to fall: Premium diesel in Newcastle is estimated to edge down about 2.9 c/L, to 267.3 c/L by Sat 21 Nov (likely 258.6–283.7), from 270.2 c/L reported Sun 15 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy Premium diesel in Newcastle?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Newcastle over the last 11 full weeks to Sat 14 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 0.5 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's Premium diesel price outlook?
Accurate enough for tomorrow's call. Further out it is an estimate, and the range widens with each day. From 21 Sept to 15 Nov our next-day Premium diesel forecasts for Newcastle were off by 0.5 c/L on average over 56 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.6 c/L).
What were the lowest and highest Premium diesel prices in Newcastle in the last 90 days?
Since Mon 17 Aug, the Newcastle Premium diesel city daily average ranged from 240.9 c/L on Mon 17 Aug to 291.2 c/L on Wed 23 Sept. It was 270.2 c/L on Sun 15 Nov.
Will premium diesel prices go up tomorrow in Newcastle?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Newcastle estimate for Mon 16 Nov is 269.2 c/L, down 1.0 c/L on the 270.2 c/L reported for Sun 15 Nov. Next-day estimates for Newcastle missed by 0.5 c/L on average over 56 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you buy.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map.