Oak Flats E10 price forecast
As of Sun 15 Nov, Oak Flats E10 averages 216.2 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 3.4 c/L to 212.8 c/L by Sun 22 Nov.
E10
Likely to fall
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may edge down about 3.4 c/L by Sun 22 Nov.
How sure: a week ahead, the estimate has been off by 4.6 c/L on average over 50,257 checks, about the same as assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L).
Sydney prices are typical right now
The city average of 214.3 c/L sits inside the usual range of 204.3 to 235.8 c/L for the last 91 days. That is higher than on 33% of the last 91 days.
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Cheapest E10 near Oak Flats now
Updated
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Sat 14 Nov.
See the Oak Flats E10 forecast in the app
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More about the Oak Flats forecast
Oak Flats E10 forecast explained
Where prices sit
Oak Flats uses the Sydney E10 outlook, adjusted by 3.4 c/L for Oak Flats's own price history.
What usually happens next
The estimate is down about 3.4 c/L to 212.8 c/L by . After a market-wide move, the model restated its estimate at today's price level, so it does not expect a return to the earlier low.
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: wholesale petrol in Sydney fell 15.3 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude rose 3.7% to US$96.00 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
E10 forecast chart and daily figures
E10: last 30 days and the next 7
E10: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 216.2 c/L on 15 Nov 2026 to 212.8 c/L on 22 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Sat 14 Nov, then the FuelRadar Sydney estimate dated Sat 14 Nov with its likely range shaded, shifted 3.4 c/L higher for Oak Flats's local prices.
Lowest estimate: Sat 21 Nov, about 212.8 c/L (3.4 below today).
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 216.2 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 212.6 to 219.2 c/L215.1
- likely 210.3 to 220.2 c/L214.0
- likely 208.4 to 222.6 c/L213.7
- likely 206.6 to 225.1 c/L213.4
- likely 204.8 to 227.5 c/L213.1
- likely 203.0 to 230.0 c/L212.8
- likely 203.0 to 230.0 c/L212.8
When is fuel cheapest in Sydney?
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the E10 weekday averages in Sydney were within 0.6 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| 90-day low | 192.7 c/LSun 16 Aug |
|---|---|
| Today against the 90-day low | 21.6 c/L overCity average 214.3 c/L on Sat 14 Nov |
From 91 days of Sydney E10 city daily averages to Sat 14 Nov.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.55 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.70 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 50,257 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.87 | 0.97 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.08 | 2.37 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.55 | 4.70 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.89 | 8.00 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Sydney's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. Based on the Sydney E10 outlook, adjusted by 3.4 c/L using local price history. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.6 c/L on average over the 30 days to 8 Nov, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.8 c/L).
30 days checked · 10 Oct to 8 Nov
Forecast test resultsFuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report
Forecast questions
When will E10 prices go down in Oak Flats?
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): E10 in Oak Flats is estimated to edge down about 3.4 c/L, to 212.8 c/L by Sun 22 Nov (likely 203.0–230.0), from 216.2 c/L estimated for Sun 15 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.6 c/L on average, about the same as assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L). The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy E10 in Oak Flats?
There is no fixed best day for Oak Flats. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's E10 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 10 Oct to 8 Nov our next-day E10 forecasts for Sydney were off by 0.6 c/L on average over 30 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.8 c/L).
Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?
A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.