Alderley E10 price forecast
As of Fri 13 Nov, Alderley E10 averages 221.0 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 6.5 c/L to 214.5 c/L by Fri 20 Nov.
E10
Likely to fall
Estimate only: prices may edge down about 6.5 c/L by Fri 20 Nov.
More about this price
Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L).
How sure: a week ahead, the estimate has been off by 4.5 c/L on average over 50,257 checks.
Brisbane prices are typical right now
The city average of 214.5 c/L sits inside the usual range of 202.6 to 233.5 c/L for the last 91 days. That is higher than on 35% of the last 91 days.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Fri 13 Nov.
Cheapest E10 near Alderley now
Updated
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More about the Alderley forecast
Alderley E10 forecast explained
Where prices sit
Alderley uses the Brisbane E10 outlook, adjusted by 6.5 c/L for Alderley's own price history.
What usually happens next
Following Brisbane's price cycle, prices usually fall: the estimate is down about 6.5 c/L to 214.5 c/L by . After a market-wide move, the model restated the cycle at today's price level, so it does not expect a return to the earlier low.
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: wholesale petrol in Brisbane fell 13.6 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude rose 2.8% to US$95.20 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
E10 forecast chart and daily figures
E10: last 30 days and the next 7
E10: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 221.0 c/L on 13 Nov 2026 to 214.5 c/L on 20 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Fri 13 Nov, then the FuelRadar Brisbane estimate dated Fri 13 Nov with its likely range shaded, shifted 6.5 c/L higher for Alderley's local prices.
First lower estimate: Sat 14 Nov, about 219.2 c/L (1.8 below today).
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 221.0 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 218.1 to 220.6 c/L219.2
- likely 215.7 to 221.9 c/L217.9
- likely 213.3 to 223.2 c/L216.6
- likely 211.1 to 224.8 c/L216.1
- likely 208.9 to 226.5 c/L215.6
- likely 206.6 to 228.0 c/L215.0
- likely 204.3 to 229.7 c/L214.5
When is fuel cheapest in Brisbane?
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 12 full weeks to : the E10 weekday averages in Brisbane were within 0.6 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| 90-day low | 195.9 c/LTue 18 Aug |
|---|---|
| Today against the 90-day low | 18.6 c/L overCity average 214.5 c/L on Fri 13 Nov |
From 91 days of Brisbane E10 city daily averages to Fri 13 Nov.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.55 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.70 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 50,257 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.87 | 0.97 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.08 | 2.37 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.55 | 4.70 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.89 | 8.00 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Brisbane's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. Based on the Brisbane E10 outlook, adjusted by 6.5 c/L using local price history. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.5 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.6 c/L).
30 days checked · 10 Oct to 8 Nov
Forecast test resultsFuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report
Forecast questions
When will E10 prices go down in Alderley?
Estimate only: E10 in Alderley is estimated to edge down about 6.5 c/L, to 214.5 c/L by Fri 20 Nov (likely 204.3–229.7), from 221.0 c/L estimated for Fri 13 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 4.5 c/L on average, only slightly less than assuming prices stay the same (4.7 c/L). The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy E10 in Alderley?
There is no fixed best day for Alderley. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's E10 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 10 Oct to 8 Nov our next-day E10 forecasts for Brisbane were off by 0.5 c/L on average over 30 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.6 c/L).
Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?
A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map.