Nobby E10 price forecast
As of Mon 16 Nov, Nobby E10 averages 218.1 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 6.3 c/L to 211.8 c/L by Mon 23 Nov.
E10
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Likely to fall
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may edge down about 6.3 c/L by Mon 23 Nov.
- City average (estimate)
- 218.1 c/L
- Typical miss, a week ahead
- 3.7 c/L(no change: 4.0)
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E10: last 30 days and the next 7
E10: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 218.1 c/L on 16 Nov 2026 to 211.8 c/L on 23 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Sun 15 Nov, then the FuelRadar Toowoomba estimate dated Sun 15 Nov with its likely range shaded, shifted 4.6 c/L lower for Nobby's local prices.
Lowest estimate: Sun 22 Nov, about 211.8 c/L (6.3 below today).
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 218.1 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 215.3 to 220.8 c/L217.01.1 cents per litre lower
- likely 213.1 to 221.8 c/L215.92.2 cents per litre lower
- likely 211.1 to 223.3 c/L214.93.2 cents per litre lower
- likely 208.9 to 224.8 c/L213.84.3 cents per litre lower
- likely 206.8 to 226.3 c/L212.85.3 cents per litre lower
- likely 204.7 to 227.9 c/L211.86.3 cents per litre lower
- likely 204.7 to 227.9 c/L211.86.3 cents per litre lower
Cheapest E10 near Nobby now
Capital cities
City averages, Sun 15 Nov.
Questions about the Nobby forecast
Nobby E10 forecast explained
Where prices sit
Nobby uses the Toowoomba E10 outlook, adjusted by -4.6 c/L for Nobby's own price history.
What usually happens next
Partway down the cycle, prices usually fall: the estimate is down about 6.3 c/L to 211.8 c/L by . After a market-wide move, the model restated the cycle at today's price level, so it does not expect a return to the earlier low.
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 15.7 c/L to 195.8 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude rose 3.5% to US$95.84 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 3.68 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.02 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Over 564 week-ahead checks the forecast missed by less than assuming prices stay the same.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.56 | 0.69 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 1.49 | 1.89 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 3.68 | 4.02 | Closer than no change |
| 14 days ahead | 6.64 | 7.02 | Closer than no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
How does FuelRadar make the forecast?
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Toowoomba's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. Based on the Toowoomba E10 outlook, adjusted by -4.6 c/L using local price history. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.6 c/L on average over the 30 days to 14 Nov, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.7 c/L).
30 days checked · 16 Oct to 14 Nov
Forecast test resultsFuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report
Forecast questions
When will E10 prices go down in Nobby?
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): E10 in Nobby is estimated to edge down about 6.3 c/L, to 211.8 c/L by Mon 23 Nov (likely 204.7–227.9), from 218.1 c/L estimated for Mon 16 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy E10 in Nobby?
There is no fixed best day for Nobby. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's E10 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 16 Oct to 14 Nov our next-day E10 forecasts for Toowoomba were off by 0.6 c/L on average over 30 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.7 c/L).
Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?
A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.








