Mowbray P98 price forecast

As of Sat 14 Nov, Mowbray P98 averages 252.2 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 5.4 c/L to 246.8 c/L by Sat 21 Nov.

P98

Likely to fall

Estimate only: prices may edge down about 5.4 c/L by Sat 21 Nov.

City average · 252.2 c/L
Expected by 246.8 c/L

How sure: a week ahead, the estimate has been off by 5.0 c/L on average over 270 checks; assuming prices stay the same was off by 5.0 c/L.

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P98: last 30 days and the next 7

P98: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 252.2 c/L on 14 Nov 2026 to 246.8 c/L on 21 Nov 2026.

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

Shaded area shows the estimated range.

Reported city averages to Sat 14 Nov, then the FuelRadar Launceston estimate dated Sat 14 Nov with its likely range shaded, the Launceston city average for Mowbray.

First lower estimate: Sun 15 Nov, about 250.8 c/L (1.4 below today).

Day by day

Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 252.2 c/L (dashed line).

  1. likely 250.1 to 252.3 c/L250.8
  2. likely 248.1 to 252.6 c/L249.7
  3. likely 246.0 to 253.0 c/L248.6
  1. likely 244.9 to 255.8 c/L248.1
  2. likely 243.9 to 258.7 c/L247.7
  3. likely 242.8 to 261.5 c/L247.2
  4. likely 241.8 to 264.4 c/L246.8

Capital cities

Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Sat 14 Nov.

Capital cities
CapitalAverage (c/L)Call
Sydney240.9↓ 5.4 by Sat 21 Nov
Melbourne243.3↓ 5.3 by Sat 21 Nov
Brisbane240.5↓ 7.4 by Sat 21 Nov
Perth229.2 (lowest)Tomorrow 226.7
Adelaide231.8↓ 7.5 by Sat 21 Nov
Canberra255.5↓ 2.0 by Sat 21 Nov
Darwin269.7↓ 2.2 by Sat 21 Nov
Hobart251.4↓ 9.7 by Sat 21 Nov

See the Mowbray P98 forecast in the app

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FuelRadar app Today screen with the fill-up call for Brisbane and the cheapest Unleaded 91 within 15 km
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More about the Mowbray forecast

Mowbray P98 forecast explained

Where prices sit

Mowbray uses the Launceston P98 outlook.

What usually happens next

Launceston has no regular price cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in its daily averages, blended with the latest five-day change in wholesale prices. That puts it down about 5.4 c/L by .

What could change it

Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 15.7 c/L to 195.8 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude rose 3.7% to US$96.00 a barrel. The estimate already blends in that wholesale change.

How accurate is the forecast?

Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
4.99 c/L
"Prices stay the same"
4.99 c/L

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.

From 270 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.

Average miss by days ahead, beside assuming prices stay the same
AheadMissNo changeResult
Next day0.850.85About the same as no change
3 days ahead2.302.30About the same as no change
7 days ahead4.994.99About the same as no change
14 days ahead7.837.83About the same as no change
Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction.
How we check accuracy

How we forecast

FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Launceston's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. These are Launceston city averages, not a separate Mowbray forecast. The likely range widens with each day ahead.

Next-day estimates missed by 0.4 c/L on average, no better than assuming prices stay the same (0.4 c/L).

30 days checked · 10 Oct to 8 Nov

Forecast test results

Fuel price reports

What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.

Australia U91
242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before

Forecast questions

When will P98 prices go down in Mowbray?

Estimate only: P98 in Mowbray is estimated to edge down about 5.4 c/L, to 246.8 c/L by Sat 21 Nov (likely 241.8–264.4), from 252.2 c/L reported Sat 14 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 5.0 c/L on average, about the same as assuming prices stay the same (5.0 c/L). The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.

What is the best day to buy P98 in Mowbray?

There is no fixed best day for Mowbray. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.

How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P98 price outlook?

Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 10 Oct to 8 Nov our next-day P98 forecasts for Launceston were off by 0.4 c/L on average over 30 days checked. Assuming prices wouldn't move was just as close.

Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?

A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.

How often is the outlook updated?

We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map.