Mowbray P95 price forecast
As of Sat 14 Nov, Mowbray P95 averages 241.0 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 5.4 c/L to 235.6 c/L by Sat 21 Nov.
P95
Likely to fall
Estimate only: prices may edge down about 5.4 c/L by Sat 21 Nov.
How sure: a week ahead, the estimate has been off by 5.0 c/L on average over 270 checks; assuming prices stay the same was off by 5.0 c/L.
Alert me
- At a priceAlert me when it dropsAlerts come through the free FuelRadar app.
P95: last 30 days and the next 7
P95: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 241.0 c/L on 14 Nov 2026 to 235.6 c/L on 21 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Sat 14 Nov, then the FuelRadar Launceston estimate dated Sat 14 Nov with its likely range shaded, shifted 0.1 c/L lower for Mowbray's local prices.
First lower estimate: Sun 15 Nov, about 239.5 c/L (1.5 below today).
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 241.0 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 238.4 to 241.1 c/L239.5
- likely 236.2 to 241.7 c/L238.4
- likely 234.0 to 242.3 c/L237.3
- likely 232.8 to 244.8 c/L236.8
- likely 231.8 to 247.5 c/L236.4
- likely 230.7 to 250.2 c/L236.0
- likely 229.7 to 252.8 c/L235.6
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Sat 14 Nov.
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More about the Mowbray forecast
Mowbray P95 forecast explained
Where prices sit
Mowbray uses the Launceston P95 outlook, adjusted by -0.1 c/L for Mowbray's own price history.
What usually happens next
Launceston has no regular price cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in its daily averages, blended with the latest five-day change in wholesale prices. That puts it down about 5.4 c/L by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 15.7 c/L to 195.8 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude rose 3.7% to US$96.00 a barrel. The estimate already blends in that wholesale change.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.99 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.99 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 270 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.85 | 0.85 | About the same as no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.30 | 2.30 | About the same as no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.99 | 4.99 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.83 | 7.83 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Launceston's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. Based on the Launceston P95 outlook, adjusted by -0.1 c/L using local price history. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.4 c/L on average, no better than assuming prices stay the same (0.4 c/L).
30 days checked · 10 Oct to 8 Nov
Forecast test resultsFuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report
Forecast questions
When will P95 prices go down in Mowbray?
Estimate only: P95 in Mowbray is estimated to edge down about 5.4 c/L, to 235.6 c/L by Sat 21 Nov (likely 229.7–252.8), from 241.0 c/L estimated for Sat 14 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 5.0 c/L on average, about the same as assuming prices stay the same (5.0 c/L). The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy P95 in Mowbray?
There is no fixed best day for Mowbray. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P95 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 10 Oct to 8 Nov our next-day P95 forecasts for Launceston were off by 0.4 c/L on average over 30 days checked. Assuming prices wouldn't move was just as close.
Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?
A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map.