Geelong Diesel price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Geelong diesel averages 270.6 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 0.6 c/L to 270.0 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, Metro Petroleum Corio, is 252.9 c/L, 17.7 c/L under the average.
DieselOutlook updated
Likely steady
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): little change expected by Tue 17 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 4.3 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 4.7 c/L.Cheapest of 30 stations: 252.9 c/L at Metro Petroleum Corio · Updated
Lowest estimate: Thu 12 Nov, about 269.5 c/L (1.1 below today).
Chance of a rise of 5 c/L or more within 3 days: 16%
Alert me below 251.8
Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7
Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 277.3 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 270.6 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 270.0 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Geelong estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 270.6 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 268.4 to 275.6 c/L270.1
- likely 267.2 to 278.0 c/L269.5
- likely 266.9 to 281.1 c/L269.6
- likely 266.7 to 284.3 c/L269.8
- likely 266.3 to 287.3 c/L269.9
- likely 266.0 to 290.4 c/L270.0
- likely 266.0 to 290.4 c/L270.0
Geelong prices are typical right now
The city average of 271.3 c/L sits inside the usual range of 250.1 to 275.5 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 44% of the last 90 days.
Geelong Diesel forecast explained
What usually happens next
Diesel prices do not follow a regular cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in Geelong's daily averages. That puts it down about 0.6 c/L by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L to 257.0 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 274.8 | No regular cycle | 273.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 273.9 | No regular cycle | 271.7 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 274.0 | No regular cycle | 272.3 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Perth | 267.3 | No regular cycle | 262.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 263.4 (lowest) | No regular cycle | 262.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 285.7 | No regular cycle | 285.0 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Darwin | 284.4 | No regular cycle | 283.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Hobart | 279.7 | No regular cycle | 277.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
When is Diesel cheapest in Geelong?
Geelong has had no active price cycle lately (the last restoration started Mon 21 Sept): its Diesel prices are following wholesale costs and the recent trend, so they tend to move a week or two after the terminal gate price.
On Fri 6 Nov the national terminal gate (wholesale) price was 257.0 c/L and the Geelong city average 274.5 c/L, 17.5 c/L above it.
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the Diesel weekday averages in Geelong were within 1.2 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| Cheapest weekday | No set dayNo day led most of 11 full weeks |
|---|
Terminal gate prices published by the Australian Institute of Petroleum.
See the Geelong Diesel forecast in the app
The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 3.71 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.20 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Over 516 week-ahead checks the forecast missed by less than assuming prices stay the same.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.84 | 0.90 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 1.62 | 2.04 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 3.71 | 4.20 | Closer than no change |
| 14 days ahead | 6.63 | 7.32 | Closer than no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Geelong forecast graphics for news
The Geelong Diesel forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Geelong's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 0.9 c/L on average, no better than assuming prices stay the same (0.8 c/L).
56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will Diesel prices go down in Geelong?
Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): Diesel in Geelong is estimated to edge down about 0.6 c/L, to 270.0 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 266.0–290.4), from 270.6 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy Diesel in Geelong?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Geelong over the last 11 full weeks to Sun 8 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 1.2 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's Diesel price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. Each estimate shows its likely range. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day Diesel forecasts for Geelong were off by 0.9 c/L on average over 56 days checked. Assuming prices wouldn't move was just as close.
What were the lowest and highest Diesel prices in Geelong in the last 90 days?
Since Wed 12 Aug, the Geelong Diesel city daily average ranged from 242.4 c/L on Tue 18 Aug to 280.1 c/L on Fri 25 Sept. It was 271.3 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.
Will diesel prices go up tomorrow in Geelong?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Geelong estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 270.1 c/L, down 0.5 c/L on the 270.6 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Geelong missed by 0.9 c/L on average over 56 days checked, about the same as assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report