Geelong P95 price forecast

As of Tue 10 Nov, Geelong P95 averages 243.1 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 0.9 c/L to 242.2 c/L by Tue 17 Nov. No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, APCO South Geelong, is 229.9 c/L, 13.2 c/L under the average.

P95Outlook updated

Likely steady

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): prices may fall about 3.0 c/L by Thu 12 Nov, then return to about today's level by Tue 17 Nov. Over the last 55 days, 7-day estimates missed by 4.8 c/L on average; "no change" missed by 5.4 c/L.
City average (estimate) · 243.1 c/L
Last 7 days From 251.3 on Mon 2 Nov
Expected by 242.2 c/L

Cheapest of 39 stations: 229.9 c/L at APCO South Geelong · Updated

Lowest estimate: Thu 12 Nov, about 241.3 c/L (1.8 below today).

Chance of a rise of 5 c/L or more within 3 days: 14%

Alert me below 228.1
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P95: last 30 days and the next 7

P95: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 253.8 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 243.1 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 242.2 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

Reported city daily averageEstimate with likely range

Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Geelong estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.

Day by day

Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 243.1 c/L (dashed line).

  1. likely 240.5 to 246.2 c/L242.2
  2. likely 238.6 to 247.6 c/L241.3
  3. likely 237.8 to 250.0 c/L241.5
  4. likely 237.1 to 252.5 c/L241.7
  5. likely 236.5 to 255.0 c/L242.0
  6. likely 235.8 to 257.4 c/L242.2
  7. likely 235.8 to 257.4 c/L242.2
Download today and the next 7 days (CSV)

Geelong prices are typical right now

The city average of 244.3 c/L sits inside the usual range of 217.0 to 250.0 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 46% of the last 90 days.

Geelong P95 forecast explained

What usually happens next

Following Geelong's price cycle, prices usually fall: the estimate is down about 0.9 c/L to 242.2 c/L by . The modelled next low is around 241.3 c/L on . After a market-wide move, the model restated the cycle at today's price level, so it does not expect a return to the earlier low.

What could change it

Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 13.7 c/L to 211.5 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.

Capital cities

Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.

Capital cities
CapitalAverage (c/L)Price cycleCall
Sydney243.6Cycle paused241.8 by Tue 17 Nov
Melbourne245.6Cycle paused243.5 by Tue 17 Nov
Brisbane244.0Cycle paused242.4 by Tue 17 Nov
Perth234.0 (lowest)Falling since its peak · 4 days since the 248.2 peak222.1 by Tue 17 Nov
Adelaide236.3Cycle paused234.0 by Tue 17 Nov
Canberra260.9Cycle paused260.9 by Tue 17 Nov
Darwin258.0Cycle paused258.6 by Tue 17 Nov
Hobart256.5Cycle paused255.4 by Tue 17 Nov

When is P95 cheapest in Geelong?

No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the P95 weekday averages in Geelong were within 0.7 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.

When is P95 cheapest in Geelong?
90-day low212.5 c/LTue 18 Aug
Today against the 90-day low+31.8 c/LCity average 244.3 c/L on Mon 9 Nov

From 90 days of Geelong P95 city daily averages to Mon 9 Nov.

See the Geelong P95 forecast in the app

The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.

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FuelRadar app Today screen with the fill-up call for Brisbane and the cheapest Unleaded 91 within 15 km
FuelRadar app fuel map with Unleaded 91 prices around Brisbane, each marked Cheap, Average or Pricey

App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.

How accurate is the forecast?

Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
3.71 c/L
"Prices stay the same"
4.20 c/L

Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)

Over 516 week-ahead checks the forecast missed by less than assuming prices stay the same.

Average miss by days ahead, beside assuming prices stay the same
AheadMissNo changeResult
Next day0.840.90Closer than no change
3 days ahead1.622.04Closer than no change
7 days ahead3.714.20Closer than no change
14 days ahead6.637.32Closer than no change
Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction.
How we check accuracy

Geelong forecast graphics for news

The Geelong P95 forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).

Get these as graphics:

Forecast board16:94:59:16

When to fill16:94:59:16

Free to use in news coverage with the credit "Source: FuelRadar". The media page has the dated addresses.

How we forecast

FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Geelong's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.

Next-day estimates missed by 0.8 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (0.9 c/L).

56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov

Forecast test results

Forecast questions

When will P95 prices go down in Geelong?

Estimate only (yesterday's outlook): P95 in Geelong is estimated to fall about 3.0 c/L by Thu 12 Nov, then sit about 0.9 c/L below today, 242.2 c/L by Tue 17 Nov (likely 235.8–257.4), from 243.1 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.

What is the best day to buy P95 in Geelong?

No weekday was consistently cheaper in Geelong over the last 11 full weeks to Sun 8 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 0.7 c/L of each other.

How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's P95 price outlook?

Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. Each estimate shows its likely range. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day P95 forecasts for Geelong were off by 0.8 c/L on average over 56 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (0.9 c/L).

What were the lowest and highest P95 prices in Geelong in the last 90 days?

Since Wed 12 Aug, the Geelong P95 city daily average ranged from 212.5 c/L on Tue 18 Aug to 255.3 c/L on Wed 14 Oct. It was 244.3 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.

Will p95 prices go up tomorrow in Geelong?

Estimate only: FuelRadar's Geelong estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 242.2 c/L, down 0.9 c/L on the 243.1 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Geelong missed by 0.8 c/L on average over 56 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.

When will diesel prices go down in Geelong?

Diesel does not usually follow the petrol price cycle, so there is no regular low to wait for. The Geelong diesel city daily average was 271.3 c/L on Mon 9 Nov, down 6.6 c/L over 30 days. The national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L over the five days to Fri 6 Nov. FuelRadar names no date for a fall: the Geelong diesel forecast gives its day-by-day estimate and likely range.

How often is the outlook updated?

We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.

Fuel price reports

What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.

Australia U91
242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before