Smythes Creek E10 price forecast
As of Sun 15 Nov, Smythes Creek E10 averages 224.4 c/L, and FuelRadar estimates it will fall about 4.5 c/L to 219.9 c/L by Sun 22 Nov.
E10
More fuels (1)
Likely to fall
Estimate only: prices may edge down about 4.5 c/L by Sun 22 Nov.
- City average (estimate)
- 224.4 c/L
- Typical miss, a week ahead
- 5.0 c/L(no change: 5.0)
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E10: last 30 days and the next 7
E10: last 30 days and the next 7. The forecast moves from 224.4 c/L on 15 Nov 2026 to 219.9 c/L on 22 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Sun 15 Nov, then the FuelRadar Ballarat estimate dated Sun 15 Nov with its likely range shaded, shifted 9.4 c/L higher for Smythes Creek's local prices.
First lower estimate: Mon 16 Nov, about 223.3 c/L (1.1 below today).
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 224.4 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 220.4 to 226.1 c/L223.3
- likely 218.8 to 225.8 c/L222.3
- likely 217.4 to 225.7 c/L221.4
- likely 215.8 to 229.2 c/L221.0
- likely 214.3 to 232.8 c/L220.6
- likely 212.7 to 236.4 c/L220.2
- likely 211.2 to 240.1 c/L219.9
Cheapest E10 near Smythes Creek now
Capital cities
City averages, Sun 15 Nov.
See the Smythes Creek E10 forecast in the app
The 7-day Smythes Creek forecast, updated each day, and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
Questions about the Smythes Creek forecast
Smythes Creek E10 forecast explained
Where prices sit
Smythes Creek uses the Ballarat E10 outlook, adjusted by 9.4 c/L for Smythes Creek's own price history.
What usually happens next
From the top of the cycle, prices usually fall: the estimate is down about 4.5 c/L to 219.9 c/L by . After a market-wide move, the model restated the cycle at today's price level, so it does not expect a return to the earlier low.
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale petrol price fell 15.7 c/L to 195.8 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude rose 3.5% to US$95.84 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 4.98 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 4.98 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 426 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 1.23 | 1.29 | About the same as no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.43 | 2.53 | About the same as no change |
| 7 days ahead | 4.98 | 4.98 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 7.31 | 7.31 | About the same as no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
How does FuelRadar make the forecast?
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Ballarat's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. Based on the Ballarat E10 outlook, adjusted by 9.4 c/L using local price history. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 1.9 c/L on average over the 30 days to 14 Nov, closer than assuming prices stay the same (2.2 c/L).
30 days checked · 16 Oct to 14 Nov
Forecast test resultsFuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L 17.3 c/L higher than the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report
Forecast questions
When will E10 prices go down in Smythes Creek?
Estimate only: E10 in Smythes Creek is estimated to edge down about 4.5 c/L, to 219.9 c/L by Sun 22 Nov (likely 211.2–240.1), from 224.4 c/L estimated for Sun 15 Nov. Past 7-day estimates missed by about 5.0 c/L on average, about the same as assuming prices stay the same (5.0 c/L). The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy E10 in Smythes Creek?
There is no fixed best day for Smythes Creek. Compare current reported station prices and their update times. A recent high or a lower estimate does not confirm a cheaper date.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's E10 price outlook?
Not accurate enough yet to tell you to fill or wait, so we don't. From 16 Oct to 14 Nov our next-day E10 forecasts for Ballarat were off by 1.9 c/L on average over 30 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (2.2 c/L).
Do higher prices mean they will fall soon?
A recent high does not confirm a turnaround. Compare the reported movement with the estimated range. If that range still includes today's price, a fall is not established. Check current station prices before deciding to wait.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map.