Orange Diesel price forecast
As of Tue 10 Nov, Orange diesel averages 272.2 c/L. Wait if you can: FuelRadar's forecast has prices lower by 16 Nov (yesterday's outlook). No weekday has been reliably cheaper over the last 11 full weeks; the cheapest station, Pearl Energy Orange, is 265.5 c/L, 6.7 c/L under the average.
DieselOutlook updated
Wait if you can
FuelRadar's forecast has prices lower by 16 Nov (yesterday's outlook)Cheapest of 10 stations: 265.5 c/L at Pearl Energy Orange · Updated
Lowest estimate: Thu 12 Nov, about 270.8 c/L (1.4 below today).
Alert me below 264.1
Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7
Diesel: last 30 days and the next 7. Reported history begins at 276.3 c/L on 11 Oct 2026. The forecast moves from 272.2 c/L on 10 Nov 2026 to 271.3 c/L on 17 Nov 2026.
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
Reported city averages to Mon 9 Nov, then the FuelRadar Orange estimate dated Mon 9 Nov with its likely range shaded.
Day by day
Each day’s likely range and estimate, with the change from today’s 272.2 c/L (dashed line).
- likely 269.0 to 277.3 c/L271.5
- likely 267.2 to 279.7 c/L270.8
- likely 266.7 to 283.2 c/L270.9
- likely 266.2 to 286.7 c/L271.0
- likely 265.8 to 290.3 c/L271.2
- likely 265.3 to 293.8 c/L271.3
- likely 265.3 to 293.8 c/L271.3
Orange prices are typical right now
The city average of 272.5 c/L sits inside the usual range of 252.9 to 278.0 c/L for the last 90 days. That is higher than on 41% of the last 90 days.
Orange Diesel forecast explained
What usually happens next
Diesel prices do not follow a regular cycle, so the estimate follows the recent trend in Orange's daily averages. That puts it down about 0.9 c/L by .
What could change it
Wholesale and crude signals: the national wholesale diesel price fell 9.7 c/L to 257.0 c/L over the five days to , and Brent crude fell 5.1% to US$98.32 a barrel. The estimate does not use them directly.
Capital cities
Each capital's latest city daily average and its call; each row opens that city's forecast. City daily averages, not station prices. Averages dated Mon 9 Nov.
| Capital | Average (c/L) | Price cycle | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 274.8 | No regular cycle | 273.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Melbourne | 273.9 | No regular cycle | 271.7 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Brisbane | 274.0 | No regular cycle | 272.3 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Perth | 267.3 | No regular cycle | 262.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Adelaide | 263.4 (lowest) | No regular cycle | 262.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Canberra | 285.7 | No regular cycle | 285.0 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Darwin | 284.4 | No regular cycle | 283.9 by Tue 17 Nov |
| Hobart | 279.7 | No regular cycle | 277.5 by Tue 17 Nov |
When is Diesel cheapest in Orange?
Orange has no regular price cycle: its Diesel prices follow wholesale costs, so they tend to move a week or two after the terminal gate price.
On Fri 6 Nov the national terminal gate (wholesale) price was 257.0 c/L and the Orange city average 273.4 c/L, 16.4 c/L above it.
No weekday was the cheapest in most of the last 11 full weeks to : the Diesel weekday averages in Orange were within 1.0 c/L of each other once the overall price movement is removed.
| Cheapest weekday | No set dayNo day led most of 11 full weeks |
|---|
Terminal gate prices published by the Australian Institute of Petroleum.
See the Orange Diesel forecast in the app
The 7-day forecast, a fill-now-or-wait call each day and price alerts. Free on iPhone and Android.
App preview. Prices shown are example captures, not current reports.
How accurate is the forecast?
- Forecast miss, 7 days ahead
- 5.49 c/L
- "Prices stay the same"
- 5.46 c/L
Source: FuelRadar (fuelradar.com.au)
The week-ahead forecast has not yet beaten "prices stay the same", so every estimate is labelled "Estimate only" with its average miss.
From 536 checks of the seven-day estimate against the reported city daily average, beside assuming prices stay the same over the same days.
| Ahead | Miss | No change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next day | 0.94 | 1.05 | Closer than no change |
| 3 days ahead | 2.43 | 2.74 | Closer than no change |
| 7 days ahead | 5.49 | 5.46 | About the same as no change |
| 14 days ahead | 9.24 | 8.60 | Further off than no change |
| Average miss in c/L over each horizon's replay checks. The 7-day row decides whether the call names a direction. | |||
Orange forecast graphics for news
The Orange Diesel forecast board and "When to fill", sized for TV (16:9), feeds (4:5) and stories (9:16).
How we forecast
FuelRadar has helped Australian drivers find cheaper fuel since 2020. Each estimate starts from Orange's reported daily city averages and how they have moved recently. A city daily average is FuelRadar's scheduled morning average of the city's reported station prices, the figure this page quotes for every capital. Where a city has a regular price cycle, the estimate projects that cycle; elsewhere it follows the recent trend, blended with the latest dated wholesale price change. The likely range widens with each day ahead.
Next-day estimates missed by 1.1 c/L on average, closer than assuming prices stay the same (1.2 c/L).
56 days checked · 15 Sept to 9 Nov
Forecast test resultsForecast questions
When will Diesel prices go down in Orange?
Wait if you can (yesterday's outlook): Diesel in Orange is estimated to edge down about 0.9 c/L, to 271.3 c/L by Mon 16 Nov (likely 265.3–293.8), from 272.2 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. The dated 30-day forecast shows a likely range, not a promised low date. Check current station prices before changing when you fill.
What is the best day to buy Diesel in Orange?
No weekday was consistently cheaper in Orange over the last 11 full weeks to Sun 8 Nov once the overall price movement is removed: the weekday averages were within 1.0 c/L of each other.
How accurate is FuelRadar Australia's Diesel price outlook?
Accurate enough for tomorrow's call. Further out it is an estimate, and the range widens with each day. From 15 Sept to 9 Nov our next-day Diesel forecasts for Orange were off by 1.2 c/L on average over 56 days checked. That beat assuming prices wouldn't move (1.2 c/L).
What were the lowest and highest Diesel prices in Orange in the last 90 days?
Since Wed 12 Aug, the Orange Diesel city daily average ranged from 245.5 c/L on Sun 16 Aug to 289.0 c/L on Fri 25 Sept. It was 272.5 c/L on Mon 9 Nov.
Will diesel prices go up tomorrow in Orange?
Estimate only: FuelRadar's Orange estimate for Wed 11 Nov is 271.5 c/L, down 0.7 c/L on the 272.2 c/L estimated for Tue 10 Nov. Next-day estimates for Orange missed by 1.1 c/L on average over 56 days checked, closer than assuming prices stay the same. Check current station prices before you wait to fill.
How often is the outlook updated?
We update the forecast overnight. For anything that changed today, check the map. While the update runs, we may show the previous forecast with its date.
Fuel price reports
What drivers paid in every state and territory in October 2026, town by town.
- Australia U91
- 242.8c/L +17.3 on the period before
- Read the Australian reportEvery town we could rank, the capital against the rest and the cost of a litre
- Australian fuel price reportPDF · October 2026Download
- Every fuel price report